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Time series forecasting (TSF) is a fundamental and widely studied task, spanning methods from classical statistical approaches to modern deep learning and multimodal language modeling. Despite their effectiveness, these methods often follow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Mingyue Cheng , Jiahao Wang , Daoyu Wang , Xiaoyu Tao , Qi Liu , Enhong Chen

Time series forecasting (TSF) has long been a crucial task in both industry and daily life. Most classical statistical models may have certain limitations when applied to practical scenarios in fields such as energy, healthcare, traffic,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Xiangjie Kong , Zhenghao Chen , Weiyao Liu , Kaili Ning , Lechao Zhang , Syauqie Muhammad Marier , Yichen Liu , Yuhao Chen , Feng Xia

Time series forecasting is crucial in many fields, yet current deep learning models struggle with noise, data sparsity, and capturing complex multi-scale patterns. This paper presents MFF-FTNet, a novel framework addressing these challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Yangyang Shi , Qianqian Ren , Yong Liu , Jianguo Sun

The immense success of the Transformer architecture in Natural Language Processing has led to its adoption in Time Se ries Forecasting (TSF), where superior performance has been shown. However, a recent important paper questioned their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Musleh Alharthi , Kaleel Mahmood , Sarosh Patel , Ausif Mahmood

Multivariate time series forecasting often struggles to capture long-range dependencies due to fixed lookback windows. Retrieval-augmented forecasting addresses this by retrieving historical segments from memory, but existing approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Junhyeok Kang , Jun Seo , Soyeon Park , Sangjun Han , Seohui Bae , Hyeokjun Choe , Soonyoung Lee

Although the rise of large language models (LLMs) has introduced new opportunities for time series forecasting, existing LLM-based solutions require excessive training and exhibit limited transferability. In view of these challenges, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Silin Yang , Dong Wang , Haoqi Zheng , Ruochun Jin

Human Trajectory Forecasting (HTF) predicts future human movements from past trajectories and environmental context, with applications in Autonomous Driving, Smart Surveillance, and Human-Robot Interaction. While prior work has focused on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Manuel Hetzel , Kerim Turacan , Hannes Reichert , Konrad Doll , Bernhard Sick

We consider nonnegative time series forecasting framework. Based on recent advances in Nonnegative Matrix Factorization (NMF) and Archetypal Analysis, we introduce two procedures referred to as Sliding Mask Method (SMM) and Latent Clustered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Yohann de Castro , Luca Mencarelli

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) are revolutionizing the forecasting landscape from specific dataset modeling to generalizable task evaluation. However, we contend that existing benchmarks exhibit common limitations in four dimensions:…

Catastrophic forgetting (CF) poses a persistent challenge in continual learning (CL), especially within federated learning (FL) environments characterized by non-i.i.d. time series data. While existing research has largely focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Khaled Hallak , Oudom Kem

This paper introduces SparseTSF, a novel, extremely lightweight model for Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), designed to address the challenges of modeling complex temporal dependencies over extended horizons with minimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shengsheng Lin , Weiwei Lin , Wentai Wu , Haojun Chen , Junjie Yang

Classification of multi-dimensional time series from real-world systems require fine-grained learning of complex features such as cross-dimensional dependencies and intra-class variations-all under the practical challenge of low training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Anushiya Arunan , Yan Qin , Xiaoli Li , Yuen Chau

Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is fundamental to applications ranging from urban mobility and resource management to climate modeling. While recent generative models based on denoising diffusion have advanced state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Seyed Mohamad Moghadas , Bruno Cornelis , Adrian Munteanu

Time series forecasting in specialized domains is often constrained by limited data availability, where conventional models typically require large-scale datasets to effectively capture underlying temporal dynamics. To tackle this few-shot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Haonan Shi , Dehua Shuai , Liming Wang , Xiyang Liu , Long Tian

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) has long been a key research focus. Traditionally, these studies assume a fixed number of variables, but in real-world applications, Cyber-Physical Systems often expand as new sensors are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Minbo Ma , Kai Tang , Huan Li , Fei Teng , Dalin Zhang , Tianrui Li

Deep time-series forecasting can be formulated as a distribution balancing problem aimed at aligning the distribution of the forecasts and ground truths. According to Imbens' criterion, true distribution balance requires matching the first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Licheng Pan , Hao Wang , Haocheng Yang , Yuqi Li , Qingsong Wen , Xiaoxi Li , Zhichao Chen , Haoxuan Li , Zhixuan Chu , Yuan Lu

Recently, there has been a surge of Transformer-based solutions for the long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) task. Despite the growing performance over the past few years, we question the validity of this line of research in this work.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-18 Ailing Zeng , Muxi Chen , Lei Zhang , Qiang Xu

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Accurate forecasting in financial markets requires integrating diverse data sources, from historical prices to macroeconomic indicators and financial news. However, existing models often fail to align these modalities effectively, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yunhua Pei , John Cartlidge , Anandadeep Mandal , Daniel Gold , Enrique Marcilio , Riccardo Mazzon

Time series forecasting (TSF) remains a challenging problem due to the intricate entanglement of intraperiod-fluctuations and interperiod-trends. While recent advances have attempted to reshape 1D sequences into 2D period-phase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Yixin Wang , Yifan Hu , Peiyuan Liu , Naiqi Li , Dai Tao , Shu-Tao Xia
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