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Automated multimodal depression estimation in unconstrained environments is inherently challenged by naturalistic noise and complex behavioral variability. Prevailing deterministic methods, however, produce uncalibrated point estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Fangyuan Liu , Sirui Zhao , Zeyu Zhang , Jinyang Huang , Feng-Qi Cui , Bin Luo , Meng Li , Tong Xu , Enhong Chen

We present a novel class of Physics-Informed Neural Networks that is formulated based on the principles of Evidential Deep Learning, where the model incorporates uncertainty quantification by learning parameters of a higher-order…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Hai Siong Tan , Kuancheng Wang , Rafe McBeth

Although current semi-supervised medical segmentation methods can achieve decent performance, they are still affected by the uncertainty in unlabeled data and model predictions, and there is currently a lack of effective strategies that can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-10 Yuanpeng He

In automatic emotion recognition (AER), labels assigned by different human annotators to the same utterance are often inconsistent due to the inherent complexity of emotion and the subjectivity of perception. Though deterministic labels…

Sound · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Wen Wu , Chao Zhang , Philip C. Woodland

Calibrated probabilistic classifiers are models whose predicted probabilities can directly be interpreted as uncertainty estimates. It has been shown recently that deep neural networks are poorly calibrated and tend to output overconfident…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Teodora Popordanoska , Raphael Sayer , Matthew B. Blaschko

A reliable representation of uncertainty is essential for the application of modern machine learning methods in safety-critical settings. In this regard, the use of credal sets (i.e., convex sets of probability distributions) has recently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Paul Hofman , Timo Löhr , Maximilian Muschalik , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Deep learning models frequently make incorrect predictions with high confidence when presented with test examples that are not well represented in their training dataset. We propose a novel and straightforward approach to estimate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-04 Tiago Ramalho , Miguel Miranda

Deep learning is advancing EEG processing for automated epileptic seizure detection and onset zone localization, yet its performance relies heavily on high-quality annotated training data. However, scalp EEG is susceptible to high noise…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-06 Deeksha M. Shama , Archana Venkataraman

Despite the recent progress in medical image segmentation with scribble-based annotations, the segmentation results of most models are still not ro-bust and generalizable enough in open environments. Evidential deep learn-ing (EDL) has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yitong Yang , Xinli Xu , Haigen Hu , Haixia Long , Qianwei Zhou , Qiu Guan

Time series forecasting in real-world applications requires both high predictive accuracy and interpretable uncertainty quantification. Traditional point prediction methods often fail to capture the inherent uncertainty in time series data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Zhen Zhou , Zhirui Wang , Qi Hong , Yunyang Shi , Ziyuan Gu , Zhiyuan Liu

Computer-aided diagnosis systems must make critical decisions from medical images that are often noisy, ambiguous, or conflicting, yet today's models are trained on overly simplistic labels that ignore diagnostic uncertainty. One-hot labels…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Ang Nan Gu , Michael Tsang , Hooman Vaseli , Purang Abolmaesumi , Teresa Tsang

While fully-supervised deep learning yields good models for urban scene semantic segmentation, these models struggle to generalize to new environments with different lighting or weather conditions for instance. In addition, producing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-17 Antoine Saporta , Tuan-Hung Vu , Matthieu Cord , Patrick Pérez

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

A set of novel approaches for estimating epistemic uncertainty in deep neural networks with a single forward pass has recently emerged as a valid alternative to Bayesian Neural Networks. On the premise of informative representations, these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-07-06 Janis Postels , Mattia Segu , Tao Sun , Luca Sieber , Luc Van Gool , Fisher Yu , Federico Tombari

Reliable radar pulse classification is essential in Electromagnetic Warfare for situational awareness and decision support. Deep Neural Networks have shown strong performance in radar pulse and RF emitter recognition; however, on their own…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Mohamed Rabie , Chinthana Panagamuwa , Konstantinos G. Kyriakopoulos

The calibration of predictive distributions has been widely studied in deep learning, but the same cannot be said about the more specific epistemic uncertainty as produced by Deep Ensembles, Bayesian Deep Networks, or Evidential Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Mohammed Fellaji , Frédéric Pennerath , Brieuc Conan-Guez , Miguel Couceiro

Crucial for building trust in deep learning models for critical real-world applications is efficient and theoretically sound uncertainty quantification, a task that continues to be challenging. Useful uncertainty information is expected to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Zhen Lin , Shubhendu Trivedi , Jimeng Sun

Deep learning (DL) techniques have achieved great success in predictive accuracy in a variety of tasks, but deep neural networks (DNNs) are shown to produce highly overconfident scores for even abnormal samples. Well-defined uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-26 Yufei Li , Simin Chen , Wei Yang

Large Language Models (LLMs) often exhibit misalignment between the quality of their generated responses and the confidence estimates they assign to them. Bayesian treatments, such as marginalizing over a reliable weight posterior or over…

With the recently rapid development in deep learning, deep neural networks have been widely adopted in many real-life applications. However, deep neural networks are also known to have very little control over its uncertainty for unseen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-23 Wenhu Chen , Yilin Shen , Hongxia Jin , William Wang