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Time series forecasting is a long-standing and highly challenging research topic. Recently, driven by the rise of large language models (LLMs), research has increasingly shifted from purely time series methods toward harnessing textual…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Shiqiao Zhou , Holger Schöner , Huanbo Lyu , Edouard Fouché , Shuo Wang

Unsupervised/self-supervised time series representation learning is a challenging problem because of its complex dynamics and sparse annotations. Existing works mainly adopt the framework of contrastive learning with the time-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Ling Yang , Shenda Hong

Predicting volatility in financial markets, including stocks, index ETFs, foreign exchange, and cryptocurrencies, remains a challenging task due to the inherent complexity and non-linear dynamics of these time series. In this study, I apply…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-17 Alex Li

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have recently achieved remarkable success in universal forecasting by leveraging large-scale pretraining on diverse time series data. Complementing this progress, incorporating frequency-domain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunyu Wu , Jiawei Huang , Weibin Feng , Boxin Li , Xiao Zhang , Erli Meng , Dan Li , Jian Lou , See-Kiong Ng

In the burgeoning ecosystem of Internet of Things, multivariate time series (MTS) data has become ubiquitous, highlighting the fundamental role of time series forecasting across numerous applications. The crucial challenge of long-term MTS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Zhenwei Zhang , Linghang Meng , Yuantao Gu

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in numerous real-world applications, yet existing models remain constrained by their reliance on a limited historical context. This limitation prevents them from effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Fanpu Cao , Lu Dai , Jindong Han , Hui Xiong

Large pre-trained models excel in zero/few-shot learning for language and vision tasks but face challenges in multivariate time series (TS) forecasting due to diverse data characteristics. Consequently, recent research efforts have focused…

Dynamic graph signal processing provides a principled framework for analyzing time-varying data defined on irregular graph domains. However, existing joint time-vertex transforms such as the joint time-vertex fractional Fourier transform…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-21 Manjun Cui , Ziqi Yan , Yangfan He , Zhichao Zhang

Time series data is prevalent across numerous fields, necessitating the development of robust and accurate forecasting models. Capturing patterns both within and between temporal and multivariate components is crucial for reliable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Maurice Kraus , Felix Divo , Devendra Singh Dhami , Kristian Kersting

In the past few years, time series foundation models have achieved superior predicting accuracy. However, real-world time series often exhibit significant diversity in their temporal patterns across different time spans and domains, making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Aobo Liang , Yan Sun , Xiaohou Shi , Ke Li

Time series forecasting (TSF) faces challenges in modeling complex intra-channel temporal dependencies and inter-channel correlations. Although recent research has highlighted the efficiency of linear architectures in capturing global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Gawon Lee , Hanbyeol Park , Minseop Kim , Dohee Kim , Hyerim Bae

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

Transformer-based models have greatly pushed the boundaries of time series forecasting recently. Existing methods typically encode time series data into $\textit{patches}$ using one or a fixed set of patch lengths. This, however, could…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 Linfeng Du , Ji Xin , Alex Labach , Saba Zuberi , Maksims Volkovs , Rahul G. Krishnan

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications, such as weather prediction and traffic flow forecasting. Although recent advances have significantly improved the modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Beiliang Wu , Peiyuan Liu , Yifan Hu , Luyan Zhang , Ao Hu , Zenglin Xu

In long-term multivariate time series forecasting, effectively capturing both periodic patterns and residual dynamics is essential. To address this within standard deep learning benchmark settings, we propose the Hierarchical Patching Mixer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Jung Min Choi , Vijaya Krishna Yalavarthi , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Accurate forecasting in financial markets requires integrating diverse data sources, from historical prices to macroeconomic indicators and financial news. However, existing models often fail to align these modalities effectively, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Yunhua Pei , John Cartlidge , Anandadeep Mandal , Daniel Gold , Enrique Marcilio , Riccardo Mazzon

Diffusion models achieve remarkable success in processing images and text, and have been extended to special domains such as time series forecasting (TSF). Existing diffusion-based approaches for TSF primarily focus on modeling…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Chen Su , Yuanhe Tian , Yan Song

Accurate forecasting of passenger flows is critical for maintaining the efficiency and resilience of airport operations. Recent advances in patch-based Transformer models have shown strong potential in various time series forecasting tasks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Wenbo Du , Lingling Han , Ying Xiong , Ling Zhang , Biyue Li , Yisheng Lv , Tong Guo

Irregular Multivariate Time Series (IMTS) are common in practice, yet their irregular sampling complicates effective modeling. Existing approaches typically either (i) design specialized architectures that limit the reuse of proven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 JungHoon Lim

Time-series forecasting plays a critical role in many real-world applications. Although increasingly powerful models have been developed and achieved superior results on benchmark datasets, through a fine-grained sample-level inspection, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Zhining Liu , Ze Yang , Xiao Lin , Ruizhong Qiu , Tianxin Wei , Yada Zhu , Hendrik Hamann , Jingrui He , Hanghang Tong