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This study examines the impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on market efficiency by analyzing three time series -- price returns, absolute returns, and volatility increments -- in stock (Deutscher Aktienindex, Nikkei…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-16 Tetsuya Takaishi

This paper investigates the impact of COVID-19 on financial markets. It focuses on the evolution of the market efficiency, using two efficiency indicators: the Hurst exponent and the memory parameter of a fractional L\'evy-stable motion.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-29 Ayoub Ammy-Driss , Matthieu Garcin

The imposition of tariffs by President Trump during his second term had far-reaching consequences for global markets, including Australia. This study investigates how both the announcement and subsequent implementation of these tariffs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Mridul Patel

The COVID-19 recession that started in March 2020 led to an unprecedented decline in economic activity across the globe. To fight this recession, policy makers in central banks engaged in expansionary monetary policy. This paper asks…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-31 Martin Feldkircher , Florian Huber , Michael Pfarrhofer

The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

The ongoing COVID-19 shocked financial markets globally, including China's crude oil future market, which is the third most traded crude oil futures after WTI and Brent. As China's first crude oil futures accessible to foreign investors,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-11 Shao Ying-Hui , Liu Ying-Lin , Yang Yan-Hong

The performance of the multifractal detrended analysis on short time series is evaluated for synthetic samples of several mono- and multifractal models. The reconstruction of the generalized Hurst exponents is used to determine the range of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-12 Juan Luis Lopez , Jesus Guillermo Contreras

This study investigates the emotional rhythms and behavioral mechanisms of dominant political leaders in strategic decision-making. Using the Trump administration's 125 percent tariff hike on China as a case, it adopts a Multimodal…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Wei Meng

Reliable estimates of volatility and correlation are fundamental in economics and finance for understanding the impact of macroeconomics events on the market and guiding future investments and policies. Dependence across financial returns…

This letter investigates the dynamic relationship between market efficiency, liquidity, and multifractality of Bitcoin. We find that before 2013 liquidity is low and the Hurst exponent is less than 0.5, indicating that the Bitcoin time…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-16 Tetsuya Takaishi , Takanori Adachi

In this paper, we use the generalized Hurst exponent approach to study the multi- scaling behavior of different financial time series. We show that this approach is robust and powerful in detecting different types of multiscaling. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-25 Jozef Barunik , Tomaso Aste , Tiziana Di Matteo , Ruipeng Liu

We studied the volatility and cross-sectional return dispersion effect of S&P Health Care Sector under the covid-19 epidemic. We innovatively used the Google index to proxy the impact of the epidemic and modeled the volatility. We also…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-25 Jiawei Du

We analyze the price return distributions of currency exchange rates, cryptocurrencies, and contracts for differences (CFDs) representing stock indices, stock shares, and commodities. Based on recent data from the years 2017--2020, we model…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

We study the temporal fluctuations in time-dependent stock prices (both individual and composite) as a stochastic phenomenon using general techniques and methods of nonequilibrium statistical mechanics. In particular, we analyze stock price…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Constantin , S. Das Sarma

This paper studies the effects of unexpected changes in US monetary policy on digital asset returns. We use event study regressions and find that monetary policy surprises negatively affect BTC and ETH, the two largest digital assets, but…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-22 Antzelos Kyriazis , Iason Ofeidis , Georgios Palaiokrassas , Leandros Tassiulas

Social systems are characterized by an enormous network of connections and factors that can influence the structure and dynamics of these systems. All financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market, belong to the economical sphere…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Paweł Oświęcimka , Tomasz Stanisz , Marcin Wątorek

The multifractal structure of the temporal dependence of the Deutsche Aktienindex (DAX) is analyzed. The $q$-th order moments of the structure functions and the singular measures are calculated. The generalized Hurst exponent $H(q)$ and the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Ausloos , K. Ivanova

This research examines the correlations between the return volatility of cryptocurrencies, global stock market indices, and the spillover effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we employed a two-stage multivariate volatility…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-26 Apostolos Ampountolas

We present a systematic study of various statistical characteristics of high-frequency returns from the foreign exchange market. This study is based on six exchange rates forming two triangles: EUR-GBP-USD and GBP-CHF-JPY. It is shown that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-24 Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka , Rafal Rak

The finite sample effect on the Hurst exponent (HE) of realized volatility time series is examined using Bitcoin data. This study finds that the HE decreases as the sampling period $\Delta$ increases and a simple finite sample ansatz…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-06 Tetsuya Takaishi
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