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Reasoning models improve their problem-solving ability through inference-time scaling, allocating more compute via longer token budgets. Identifying which reasoning traces are likely to succeed remains a key opportunity: reliably predicting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Martina G. Vilas , Safoora Yousefi , Besmira Nushi , Eric Horvitz , Vidhisha Balachandran

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are powerful tools for sequential modeling, but typically require significant overparameterization and regularization to achieve optimal performance. This leads to difficulties in the deployment of large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-11 Charles C. Onu , Jacob E. Miller , Doina Precup

Sequential probabilistic inference from streaming observations requires modeling distributions over future trajectories as new observations arrive. Although diffusion and flow-matching models are effective at capturing high-dimensional,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Yinan Huang , Hans Hao-Hsun Hsu , Junran Wang , Bo Dai , Pan Li

We propose a novel method for approximate inference in Bayesian networks (BNs). The idea is to sample data from a BN, learn a latent tree model (LTM) from the data offline, and when online, make inference with the LTM instead of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Yi Wang , Nevin L. Zhang , Tao Chen

Adept traffic models are critical to both planning and closed-loop simulation for autonomous vehicles (AV), and key design objectives include accuracy, diverse multimodal behaviors, interpretability, and downstream compatibility. Recently,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Yuxiao Chen , Sander Tonkens , Marco Pavone

We introduce a semiparametric latent space model for analyzing longitudinal network data. The model consists of a static latent space component and a time-varying node-specific baseline component. We develop a semiparametric efficient score…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-14 Yinqiu He , Jiajin Sun , Yuang Tian , Zhiliang Ying , Yang Feng

Sequential modelling of high-dimensional data is an important problem that appears in many domains including model-based reinforcement learning and dynamics identification for control. Latent variable models applied to sequential data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Oliver Limoyo , Trevor Ablett , Jonathan Kelly

Metric Temporal Logic (MTL) is a popular formalism to specify temporal patterns with timing constraints over the behavior of cyber-physical systems with application areas ranging in property-based testing, robotics, optimization, and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Dogan Ulus

There has been considerable recent interest in Bayesian modeling of high-dimensional networks via latent space approaches. When the number of nodes increases, estimation based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo can be extremely slow and show poor…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-30 Emanuele Aliverti , Massimiliano Russo

The Bayesian Context Trees (BCT) framework is a recently introduced, general collection of statistical and algorithmic tools for modelling, analysis and inference with discrete-valued time series. The foundation of this development is built…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Traditional model-based RL relies on hand-specified or learned models of transition dynamics of the environment. These methods are sample efficient and facilitate learning in the real world but fail to generalize to subtle variations in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Christian F. Perez , Felipe Petroski Such , Theofanis Karaletsos

A fully nonparametric approach for making probabilistic predictions in multi-response regression problems is introduced. Random forests are used as marginal models for each response variable and, as novel contribution of the present work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Marius Hofert , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Embedding tables are usually huge in click-through rate (CTR) prediction models. To train and deploy the CTR models efficiently and economically, it is necessary to compress their embedding tables at the training stage. To this end, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Shiwei Li , Huifeng Guo , Lu Hou , Wei Zhang , Xing Tang , Ruiming Tang , Rui Zhang , Ruixuan Li

We present a data-driven framework that extends the predictive capability of classical lifting-line theory (LLT) to a wider aerodynamic regime by incorporating higher-fidelity aerodynamic data from panel method simulations. A neural network…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-01 Arjun Sharma , Jonas A. Actor , Peter A. Bosler

This paper introduces a flexible time-varying network vector autoregressive model framework for large-scale time series. A latent group structure is imposed on the heterogeneous and node-specific time-varying momentum and network spillover…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Bin Peng , Songqiao Tang , Weibiao Wu

Many latent (factorized) models have been proposed for recommendation tasks like collaborative filtering and for ranking tasks like document or image retrieval and annotation. Common to all those methods is that during inference the items…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Jason Weston , John Blitzer

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

In this paper, we present a non-parametric structured latent variable model for image generation, called NP-DRAW, which sequentially draws on a latent canvas in a part-by-part fashion and then decodes the image from the canvas. Our key…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Xiaohui Zeng , Raquel Urtasun , Richard Zemel , Sanja Fidler , Renjie Liao

Recent lightweight MLP-based models have achieved strong performance in time series forecasting by capturing stable trends and seasonal patterns. However, their effectiveness hinges on an implicit assumption of local stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Zhiyu Chen , Minhao Liu , Yanru Zhang

Latent reasoning represents a new development in Transformer language models that has shown potential in compressing reasoning lengths compared to chain-of-thought reasoning. By directly passing the information-rich previous final latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Alex Ning , Yen-Ling Kuo , Gabe Gomes