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Multifractal analysis is a forecasting technique used to study the scaling regularity properties of financial returns, to analyze the long-term memory and predictability of financial markets. In this paper, we propose a novel structural…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-18 Foued Saâdaoui

Few assets in financial history have been as notoriously volatile as cryptocurrencies. While the long term outlook for this asset class remains unclear, we are successful in making short term price predictions for several major crypto…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-02 David Zhao , Alessandro Rinaldo , Christopher Brookins

Within machine learning model evaluation regimes, feature selection is a technique to reduce model complexity and improve model performance in regards to generalization, model fit, and accuracy of prediction. However, the search over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-19 David Von Dollen , Florian Neukart , Daniel Weimer , Thomas Bäck

Federated Learning (FL) involves training a model over a dataset distributed among clients, with the constraint that each client's dataset is localized and possibly heterogeneous. In FL, small and noisy datasets are common, highlighting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Mohsin Hasan , Guojun Zhang , Kaiyang Guo , Xi Chen , Pascal Poupart

Economic indicators such as Consumer Price Index (CPI) have frequently used in predicting future economic wealth for financial policy makers of respective country. Most central banks, on guidelines of research studies, have recently adopted…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-10-18 Godwin Ambukege , Godfrey Justo , Joseph Mushi

High performance computing (HPC) is a very attractive and relatively new area of research, which gives promising results in many applications. In this paper HPC is used for pricing of American options. Although the American options are very…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Verche Cvetanoska , Toni Stojanovski

Experience has shown that trading in stock and cryptocurrency markets has the potential to be highly profitable. In this light, considerable effort has been recently devoted to investigate how to apply machine learning and deep learning to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Mohammadmahdi Ghahramani , Hamid Esmaeili Najafabadi

Federated Learning using the Federated Averaging algorithm has shown great advantages for large-scale applications that rely on collaborative learning, especially when the training data is either unbalanced or inaccessible due to privacy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Jonatan Reyes , Lisa Di Jorio , Cecile Low-Kam , Marta Kersten-Oertel

This paper presents a fully coupled blockchain-assisted federated learning architecture that effectively eliminates single points of failure by decentralizing both the training and aggregation tasks across all participants. Our proposed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-21 Huong Nguyen , Tri Nguyen , Lauri Lovén , Susanna Pirttikangas

The aim of this paper is to analyse the Bitcoin in order to shed some light on its nature and behaviour. We select 9 cryptocurrencies that account for almost 75\% of total market capitalisation and compare their evolution with that of a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 Esther Cabezas-Rivas , Felipe Sánchez-Coll , Isaac Tormo-Xaixo

Bitcoin, with its ever-growing popularity, has demonstrated extreme price volatility since its origin. This volatility, together with its decentralised nature, make Bitcoin highly subjective to speculative trading as compared to more…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-13 Yanzhao Zou , Dorien Herremans

The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of a novel method called linear law-based feature space transformation (LLT) on the accuracy of intraday price movement prediction of cryptocurrencies. To do this, the 1-minute interval…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcell T. Kurbucz , Péter Pósfay , Antal Jakovác

The Bitcoin Lightning Network is a Layer 2 payment protocol that addresses Bitcoin's scalability by facilitating quick and cost effective transactions through payment channels. This research explores the feasibility of using machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Vincent Davis , Emanuele Rossi , Vikash Singh

We develop a strong diagnostic for bubbles and crashes in bitcoin, by analyzing the coincidence (and its absence) of fundamental and technical indicators. Using a generalized Metcalfe's law based on network properties, a fundamental value…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-16 Spencer Wheatley , Didier Sornette , Tobias Huber , Max Reppen , Robert N. Gantner

There were many algorithms to substitute the back-propagation (BP) in the deep neural network (DNN) training. However, they could not become popular because their training accuracy and the computational efficiency were worse than BP. One of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-09 Donghyeon Han , Hoi-jun Yoo

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

Cryptocurrency is a cryptography-based digital asset with extremely volatile prices. Around USD 70 billion worth of cryptocurrency is traded daily on exchanges. Trading cryptocurrency is difficult due to the inherent volatility of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-12 Hongshen Yang , Avinash Malik

Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer cryptographic currency system. Since its introduction in 2008, Bitcoin has gained noticeable popularity, mostly due to its following properties: (1) the transaction fees are very low, and (2) it is not controlled…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-07-01 Marcin Andrychowicz , Stefan Dziembowski , Daniel Malinowski , Łukasz Mazurek

Prediction markets are long known for prediction accuracy. This study systematically explores the fundamental properties of prediction markets, addressing questions about their information aggregation process and the factors contributing to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-10 Dian Yu , Jianjun Gao , Weiping Wu , Zizhuo Wang

We study the design of iterative combinatorial auctions (ICAs). The main challenge in this domain is that the bundle space grows exponentially in the number of items. To address this, recent work has proposed machine learning (ML)-based…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Ermis Soumalias , Jakob Heiss , Jakob Weissteiner , Sven Seuken