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Cryptocurrency markets present unique prediction challenges due to their extreme volatility, 24/7 operation, and hypersensitivity to news events, with existing approaches suffering from key information extraction and poor sideways market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-10 Kairan Hong , Jinling Gan , Qiushi Tian , Yanglinxuan Guo , Rui Guo , Runnan Li

For a long time predicting, studying and analyzing financial indices has been of major interest for the financial community. Recently, there has been a growing interest in the Deep-Learning community to make use of reinforcement learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Jatin Nainani , Nirman Taterh , Md Ausaf Rashid , Ankit Khivasara

Predicting cryptocurrency returns is notoriously difficult: price movements are driven by a fast-shifting blend of on-chain activity, news flow, and social sentiment, while labeled training data are scarce and expensive. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Junqiao Wang , Zhaoyang Guan , Guanyu Liu , Tianze Xia , Xianzhi Li , Shuo Yin , Xinyuan Song , Chuhan Cheng , Tianyu Shi , Alex Lee

Trajectory prediction modules are key enablers for safe and efficient planning of autonomous vehicles (AVs), particularly in highly interactive traffic scenarios. Recently, learning-based trajectory predictors have experienced considerable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Sushant Veer , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone

Bitcoin mining presents a significant economic incentive for efficient hashing and broadcast of data, both parameters stemming from the Proofs of Work used to advance the network. This incentive has led to the development of Bitcoin…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-17 Jonathan Harvey-Buschel , Can Kisagun

Federated Learning has emerged as a dominant computational paradigm for distributed machine learning. Its unique data privacy properties allow us to collaboratively train models while offering participating clients certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Dimitris Stripelis , Marcin Abram , Jose Luis Ambite

Financial market prediction is a challenging application of machine learning, where even small improvements in directional accuracy can yield substantial value. Most models struggle to exceed 55--57\% accuracy due to high noise,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Abraham Itzhak Weinberg

This work addresses the problem of analyzing multi-channel time series data %. In this paper, we by proposing an unsupervised fusion framework based on %the recently proposed convolutional transform learning. Each channel is processed by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Pooja Gupta , Jyoti Maggu , Angshul Majumdar , Emilie Chouzenoux , Giovanni Chierchia

With increasing competition and pace in the financial markets, robust forecasting methods are becoming more and more valuable to investors. While machine learning algorithms offer a proven way of modeling non-linearities in time series,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-09 Lukas Ryll , Sebastian Seidens

This research is to assess cryptocurrencies with the conditional beta, compared with prior studies based on unconditional beta or fixed beta. It is a new approach to building a pricing model for cryptocurrencies. Therefore, we expect that…

General Economics · Economics 2020-10-27 Khanh Q. Nguyen

Modeling the behavior of stock price data has always been one of the challengeous applications of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) due to its high complexity and dependence on various conditions. Recent studies show…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-14 Xinyuan Song

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. In this work, we propose a hybrid approach for stock price prediction using machine learning and deep learning-based methods. We select the NIFTY…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Precise short-term price prediction in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is critical for informed trading strategies. Although Temporal Fusion Transformers (TFTs) have shown potential, their direct use often struggles in the face of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-16 Arash Peik , Mohammad Ali Zare Chahooki , Amin Milani Fard , Mehdi Agha Sarram

Bitcoin has become the leading cryptocurrency system, but the limit on its transaction processing capacity has resulted in increased transaction fees and delayed transaction confirmation. As such, it is pertinent to understand and probably…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-21 Befekadu G. Gebraselase , Bjarne E. Helvik , Yuming Jiang

A model is proposed for Bitcoin prices that takes into account market attention. Market attention, modeled by a mean-reverting Cox-Ingersoll-Ross processes, affects the volatility of Bitcoin returns, with some delay. The model is affine and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-17 Alvaro Guinea Julia , Alet Roux

This paper presents MSMF (Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Fusion), a novel approach for enhanced stock market prediction. MSMF addresses key challenges in multi-modal stock analysis by integrating a modality completion encoder, multi-scale feature…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Jiahao Qin

In this paper we apply neural networks and Artificial Intelligence (AI) to historical records of high-risk cryptocurrency coins to train a prediction model that guesses their price. This paper's code contains Jupyter notebooks, one of which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Jacques Fleischer , Gregor von Laszewski , Carlos Theran , Yohn Jairo Parra Bautista

This paper proposes a novel stock selection strategy framework based on combined machine learning algorithms. Two types of weighting methods for three representative machine learning algorithms are developed to predict the returns of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-27 Lin Cai , Zhiyang He , Caiya Zhang

Federated Learning (FL) is a machine learning framework where many clients collaboratively train models while keeping the training data decentralized. Despite recent advances in FL, the uncertainty quantification topic (UQ) remains…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Vincent Plassier , Mehdi Makni , Aleksandr Rubashevskii , Eric Moulines , Maxim Panov

This study enhances a Deep Q-Network (DQN) trading model by incorporating advanced techniques like Prioritized Experience Replay, Regularized Q-Learning, Noisy Networks, Dueling, and Double DQN. Extensive tests on assets like BTC/USD and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Gang Hu
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