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We investigate the full temporal evolution of epidemic outbreaks in complex networks, focusing on the susceptible-infected (SI) model of disease transmission. Combining theoretical analysis with large-scale numerical simulations, we uncover…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-09-23 Mateusz J. Samsel , Agata Fronczak , Piotr Fronczak

Irregularly sampled time series are increasingly prevalent, particularly in medical domains. While various specialized methods have been developed to handle these irregularities, effectively modeling their complex dynamics and pronounced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Zekun Li , Shiyang Li , Xifeng Yan

Semantic segmentation is an important branch of image processing and computer vision. With the popularity of deep learning, various convolutional neural networks have been proposed for pixel-level classification and segmentation tasks. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-01 Xinyu Xu , Huazhen Liu , Tao Zhang , Huilin Xiong , Wenxian Yu

The COVID-19 pandemic has been a great catastrophe that upended human lives and caused millions of deaths all over the world. The rapid spread of the virus, with its early-stage exponential growth and subsequent 'waves', caught many medical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-31 Anne V. Ginzburg , Valeriy V. Ginzburg , Julia O. Ginzburg , Ana Garcia Arias , Leela Rakesh

Objectives: Prior event rate ratio (PERR) is a method shown to perform well in mitigating confounding in real-world evidence research but it depends on several model assumptions. We propose an analytic strategy to correct biases arising…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Xiangmei Ma , Grace Meijuan Yang , Qingyuan Zhuang , Yin Bun Cheung

Interval censored data commonly arise in medical studies when the event time of interest is only known to lie within an interval. In the presence of a cure subgroup, conventional mixture cure models typically assume a logistic model for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Xiaoru Huang , Tonghui Yu , Xiaoyu Liu

Diffusion models have quickly risen in popularity for their ability to model complex distributions and perform effective posterior sampling. Unfortunately, the iterative nature of these generative models makes them computationally expensive…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Tristan S. W. Stevens , Oisín Nolan , Jean-Luc Robert , Ruud J. G. van Sloun

The reconstruction of missing information in epidemic spreading on contact networks can be essential in the prevention and containment strategies. The identification and warning of infectious but asymptomatic individuals (i.e., contact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Indaco Biazzo , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Fabio Mazza

Domain gaps are among the most relevant roadblocks in the clinical translation of machine learning (ML)-based solutions for medical image analysis. While current research focuses on new training paradigms and network architectures, little…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-25 Patrick Godau , Piotr Kalinowski , Evangelia Christodoulou , Annika Reinke , Minu Tizabi , Luciana Ferrer , Paul Jäger , Lena Maier-Hein

Generalization methods offer a powerful solution to one of the key drawbacks of randomized controlled trials (RCTs): their limited representativeness. By enabling the transport of treatment effect estimates to target populations subject to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Ahmed Boughdiri , Clément Berenfeld , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet

We propose a general Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference in the point treatment setting. The joint distribution of the observed data (outcome, treatment, and confounders) is modeled using an enriched Dirichlet process.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-01 Jason Roy , Kirsten J Lum , Michael J. Daniels , Bret Zeldow , Jordan Dworkin , Vincent Lo Re

$\textbf{Objective}$ Develop an automatic diagnostic system which only uses textual admission information from Electronic Health Records (EHRs) and assist clinicians with a timely and statistically proved decision tool. The hope is that the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-12-08 Christy Li , Dimitris Konomis , Graham Neubig , Pengtao Xie , Carol Cheng , Eric Xing

Bayesian inference for inverse problems hinges critically on the choice of priors. In the absence of specific prior information, population-level distributions can serve as effective priors for parameters of interest. With the advent of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-11 Gabriel Missael Barco , Alexandre Adam , Connor Stone , Yashar Hezaveh , Laurence Perreault-Levasseur

We present an approach to studying and predicting the spatio-temporal progression of infectious diseases. We treat the problem by adopting a partial differential equation (PDE) version of the Susceptible, Infected, Recovered, Deceased…

Biological Physics · Physics 2021-04-30 Zhenlin Wang , Mariana Carrasco Teja , Xiaoxuan Zhang , Gregory Teichert , Krishna Garikipati

The dramatic outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemics and its ongoing progression boosted the scientific community's interest in epidemic modeling and forecasting. The SIR (Susceptible-Infected-Removed) model is a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Dimiter Prodanov

Our study is based on an epidemiological compartmental model, the SIRS model. In the SIRS model, each individual is in one of the states susceptible (S), infected(I) or recovered (R), depending on its state of health. In compartment R, an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-10 Michael Bestehorn , Thomas M. Michelitsch

Infectious diseases pose significant human and economic burdens. Accurately forecasting disease incidence can enable public health agencies to respond effectively to existing or emerging diseases. Despite progress in the field, developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Michael Morris

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

We consider the problem of efficient inference of the Average Treatment Effect in a sequential experiment where the policy governing the assignment of subjects to treatment or control can change over time. We first provide a central limit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-05 Thomas Cook , Alan Mishler , Aaditya Ramdas

Recent pandemics have highlighted the critical role of infectious disease models in guiding public health decision-making, driving demand for realistic models that can provide timely answers under uncertainty. Compartmental models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Xiahui Li , Fergus J. Chadwick , Ben Swallow