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In this paper we build on an approach proposed by Zou et al. (2014) for nonpara- metric changepoint detection. This approach defines the best segmentation for a data set as the one which minimises a penalised cost function, with the cost…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-04 Kaylea Haynes , Paul Fearnhead , Idris A. Eckley

We study the multivariate nonparametric change point detection problem, where the data are a sequence of independent $p$-dimensional random vectors whose distributions are piecewise-constant with Lipschitz densities changing at unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We consider the situation where a temporal process is composed of contiguous segments with differing slopes and replicated noise-corrupted time series measurements are observed. The unknown mean of the data generating process is modelled as…

This work addresses the problem of segmentation in time series data with respect to a statistical parameter of interest in Bayesian models. It is common to assume that the parameters are distinct within each segment. As such, many Bayesian…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-01-18 Alireza Ahrabian

This paper studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of networks using the Separable Temporal Exponential-family Random Graph Model (STERGM). Inherently, dynamic network patterns are complex due to dyadic and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Yik Lun Kei , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Modeling the temporal behavior of data is of primordial importance in many scientific and engineering fields. Baseline methods assume that both the dynamic and observation equations follow linear-Gaussian models. However, there are many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Xavier Alameda-Pineda , Vincent Drouard , Radu Horaud

Modern time series are usually composed of multiple oscillatory components, with time-varying frequency and amplitude contaminated by noise. The signal processing mission is further challenged if each component has an oscillatory pattern,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-04 Marcelo A. Colominas , Hau-Tieng Wu

We consider the problem of detecting change-points in univariate time series by fitting a continuous piecewise linear signal using the residual sum of squares. Values of the inferred signal at slope breaks are restricted to a finite set of…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-08 Vincent Runge , Marco Pascucci , Nicolas Deschamps de Boishebert

We investigate sequential change point estimation and detection in univariate nonparametric settings, where a stream of independent observations from sub-Gaussian distributions with a common variance factor and piecewise-constant but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-16 Yi Yu , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

Multiple change point (MCP) detection in non-stationary time series is challenging due to the variety of underlying patterns. To address these challenges, we propose a novel algorithm that integrates Active Learning (AL) with Deep Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Hao Zhao , Rong Pan

Bayesian On-line Changepoint Detection is extended to on-line model selection and non-stationary spatio-temporal processes. We propose spatially structured Vector Autoregressions (VARs) for modelling the process between changepoints (CPs)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-07 Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas

We derive an exact and efficient Bayesian regression algorithm for piecewise constant functions of unknown segment number, boundary location, and levels. It works for any noise and segment level prior, e.g. Cauchy which can handle outliers.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Marcus Hutter

Information from frequency bands in biomedical time series provides useful summaries of the observed signal. Many existing methods consider summaries of the time series obtained over a few well-known, pre-defined frequency bands of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Raanju R. Sundararajan , Scott A. Bruce

We study change point detection and localization for univariate data in fully nonparametric settings in which, at each time point, we acquire an i.i.d. sample from an unknown distribution. We quantify the magnitude of the distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-27 Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Daren Wang , Alessandro Rinaldo

We introduce a statistical method to detect nonlinearity and nonstationarity in time series, that works even for short sequences and in presence of noise. The method has a discrimination power similar to that of the most advanced estimators…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-11-16 M. De Domenico , V. Latora

In this paper, we propose a new test for the detection of a change in a non-linear (auto-)regressive time series as well as a corresponding estimator for the unknown time point of the change. To this end, we consider an at-most-one-change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Claudia Kirch , Stefanie Schwaar

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

$\textbf{Objective}$: To develop a multi-channel device event segmentation and feature extraction algorithm that is robust to changes in data distribution. $\textbf{Methods}$: We introduce an adaptive transfer learning algorithm to classify…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-24 Xichen She , Yaya Zhai , Ricardo Henao , Christopher W. Woods , Christopher Chiu , Geoffrey S. Ginsburg , Peter X. K. Song , Alfred O. Hero

Detecting changes in high-dimensional time series is difficult because it involves the comparison of probability densities that need to be estimated from finite samples. In this paper, we present the first feature extraction method tailored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Duncan Blythe , Paul von Bünau , Frank Meinecke , Klaus-Robert Müller

For data segmentation in high-dimensional linear regression settings, the regression parameters are often assumed to be sparse segment-wise, which enables many existing methods to estimate the parameters locally via $\ell_1$-regularised…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Haeran Cho , Tobias Kley , Housen Li