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We compare convergence rates of Metropolis--Hastings chains to multi-modal target distributions when the proposal distributions can be of ``local'' and ``small world'' type. In particular, we show that by adding occasional long-range jumps…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yongtao Guan , Stephen M. Krone

Following the seminal approach by Talagrand, the concept of Rademacher complexity for independent sequences of random variables is extended to Markov chains. The proposed notion of "block Rademacher complexity" (of a class of functions)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-09 Patrice Bertail , François Portier

We describe ergodic properties of some Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithms for heavy-tailed target distributions. The analysis usually falls into sub-geometric ergodicity framework but we prove that the mixed preconditioned Crank-Nicolson…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-10 Kengo Kamatani

Recent advances in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) extend the scope of Bayesian inference to models for which the likelihood function is intractable. Although these developments allow us to estimate model parameters, other basic problems…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-12 Minh-Ngoc Tran , Marcel Scharth , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Scott D. Brown , Guy E. Hawkins

Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a powerful method for Bayesian inference in models where the posterior distribution is analytical intractable or computationally costly to evaluate directly. It operates by introducing…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-06 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Joel Kronander , Thomas B. Schön

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a cornerstone of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, underpinning a wide range of applications in computational physics, Bayesian inference, and machine learning. Quantum variants of Metropolis-Hastings…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-07 Miguel Carrasco-Arango , Rosa M. Badia , Artur Garcia-Saez

Estimating model parameters of a general family of cure models is always a challenging task mainly due to flatness and multimodality of the likelihood function. In this work, we propose a fully Bayesian approach in order to overcome these…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Fotios Milienos

We investigate the use of a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo to map out the posterior density function for supermassive black hole binaries. While previous Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, such as Metropolis-Hastings MCMC, have been…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2019-08-19 Edward K. Porter , Jérôme Carré

Pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for sampling from intractable distributions have gained recent interest and have been theoretically studied in considerable depth. Their main appeal is that they are exact, in the sense that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-25 Felipe J. Medina-Aguayo , Anthony Lee , Gareth O. Roberts

Monte Carlo methods, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), remain the most regularly-used approach for implementing Bayesian inference. However, the computational cost of these approaches usually scales worse than linearly with the…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-12 Leonardo Ripoli , Richard G. Everitt

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm is a widely recognised as an efficient method for sampling a specified posterior distribution. However, when the posterior is multi-modal, conventional MCMC algorithms either tend to become…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-08-19 Yi-Ming Hu , Martin Hendry , Ik Siong Heng

Over the last decades, various "non-linear" MCMC methods have arisen. While appealing for their convergence speed and efficiency, their practical implementation and theoretical study remain challenging. In this paper, we introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Grégoire Clarté , Antoine Diez , Jean Feydy

Convergence analysis of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods in high-dimensional statistical applications is increasingly recognized. In this paper, we develop general mixing time bounds for Metropolis-Hastings algorithms on discrete spaces by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-29 Hyunwoong Chang , Quan Zhou

This paper studies a non-random-walk Markov Chain Monte Carlo method, namely the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method in the context of Subset Simulation used for structural reliability analysis. The HMC method relies on a deterministic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-20 Ziqi Wang , Marco Broccardo , Junho Song

The need to calibrate increasingly complex statistical models requires a persistent effort for further advances on available, computationally intensive Monte Carlo methods. We study here an advanced version of familiar Markov Chain Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-20 Alexandros Beskos , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Erik Pazos

Adaptive and interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (MCMC) have been recently introduced in the literature. These novel simulation algorithms are designed to increase the simulation efficiency to sample complex distributions.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 G. Fort , E. Moulines , P. Priouret

We introduce a framework for inference in general state-space hidden Markov models (HMMs) under likelihood misspecification. In particular, we leverage the loss-theoretic perspective of Generalized Bayesian Inference (GBI) to define…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-22 Ayman Boustati , Ömer Deniz Akyildiz , Theodoros Damoulas , Adam M. Johansen

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a sampling-based method for estimating features of probability distributions. MCMC methods produce a serially correlated, yet representative, sample from the desired distribution. As such it can be…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-10 Dootika Vats , Nathan Robertson , James M Flegal , Galin L Jones

Pseudo-marginal Metropolis-Hastings (pmMH) is a versatile algorithm for sampling from target distributions which are not easy to evaluate point-wise. However, pmMH requires good proposal distributions to sample efficiently from the target,…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-30 Johan Dahlin , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) provides a feasible method for inferring Hidden Markov models, however, it is often computationally prohibitive, especially constrained by the curse of dimensionality, as the Monte Carlo sampler traverses…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Xiongming Dai , Gerald Baumgartner