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This study explores the behavior of machine learning-based flare forecasting models deployed in a simulated operational environment. Using Georgia State University's Space Weather Analytics for Solar Flares benchmark dataset (Angryk et al.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-09 Griffin T. Goodwin , Viacheslav M. Sadykov , Petrus C. Martens

Accurate mechanisms for forecasting solar irradiance and insolation provide important information for the planning of renewable energy and agriculture projects as well as for environmental and socio-economical studies. This research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Laura S. Hoyos-Gómez , Jose F. Ruiz-Muñoz , Belizza J. Ruiz-Mendoza

Most useful weather prediction for the public is near the surface. The processes that are most relevant for near-surface weather prediction are also those that are most interactive and exhibit positive feedback or have key role in energy…

Deep learning models have gained increasing prominence in recent years in the field of solar pho-tovoltaic (PV) forecasting. One drawback of these models is that they require a lot of high-quality data to perform well. This is often…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-13 Joris Depoortere , Johan Driesen , Johan Suykens , Hussain Syed Kazmi

We present a comparative study of transformer-based architectures for solar flare forecasting using heterogeneous data modalities, including images, video sequences, and time-series observations. Our analysis evaluates three recent…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-05 S. Riggi , P. Romano , A. Pilzer , U. Becciani

This study progresses solar flare prediction research by presenting a full-disk deep-learning model to forecast $\geq$M-class solar flares and evaluating its efficacy on both central (within $\pm$70$^\circ$) and near-limb (beyond…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-08-31 Chetraj Pandey , Anli Ji , Trisha Nandakumar , Rafal A. Angryk , Berkay Aydin

With the recent interest in net-zero sustainability for commercial buildings, integration of photovoltaic (PV) assets becomes even more important. This integration remains a challenge due to high solar variability and uncertainty in the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-08-28 Chaitanya Poolla , Abraham K. Ishihara

Accurate load forecasting is essential to the operation of modern electric power systems. Given the sensitivity of electricity demand to weather variability and temporal dynamics, capturing non-linear patterns is essential for long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Abhiram Bhupatiraju , Sung Bum Ahn

Forecast of optical turbulence and atmospheric parameters relevant for ground-based astronomy is becoming an important goal for telescope planning and AO instruments optimization in several major telescope. Such detailed and accurate…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-10-21 A. Turchi , E. Masciadri , L. Fini

Reliable forecasting of renewable energy generation is a foundational requirement for grid stability energy trading battery scheduling and carbon aware operational planning Solar and wind resources are inherently intermittent their output…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Pavan Manjunath , Thomas Pruefer

Solar active regions and the processes that occur in them have been extensively studied and analyzed and many types of models and characterizations have been proposed for the occurrence of different eruptive events that take place in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-09 N. Granados Hernández , S. Vargas Domínguez

Time Series Forecasting (TSF) is critical in many real-world domains like financial planning and health monitoring. Recent studies have revealed that Large Language Models (LLMs), with their powerful in-contextual modeling capabilities,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Jialiang Tang , Shuo Chen , Chen Gong , Jing Zhang , Dacheng Tao

The Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellite (GOES) solar soft X-ray (SXR) irradiance in the 1-8{\AA} wavelength range is a long-standing measure of solar activity, used to define the classification of flare strengths. As a result,…

We study the prediction of solar flare size and time-to-flare using 38 features describing magnetic complexity of the photospheric magnetic field. This work uses support vector regression to formulate a mapping from the 38-dimensional…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-11-09 Laura E. Boucheron , Amani Al-Ghraibah , R. T. James McAteer

The accumulated remote sensing data of altimeters and scatterometers have provided a new opportunity to forecast the ocean states and improve the knowledge in ocean/atmosphere exchanges. Few previous studies have focused on sea level…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 Guosong Wang , Xidong Wang , Xinrong Wu , Kexiu Liu , Yiquan Qi , Chunjian Sun , Hongli Fu

Machine learning models for forecasting solar flares have been trained and evaluated using a variety of data sources, including Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) operational and science-quality data. Typically, data from these sources…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-02 Ke Hu , Kevin Jin , Victor Verma , Weihao Liu , Ward Manchester , Lulu Zhao , Tamas Gombosi , Yang Chen

Distributed photovoltaic (DPV) systems are essential for advancing renewable energy applications and achieving energy independence. Accurate DPV power forecasting can optimize power system planning and scheduling while significantly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Huapeng Lin , Miao Yu

In this letter, we use large language models (LLMs) to develop a high-performing and robust beam prediction method. We formulate the millimeter wave (mmWave) beam prediction problem as a time series forecasting task, where the historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Yucheng Sheng , Kai Huang , Le Liang , Peng Liu , Shi Jin , Geoffrey Ye Li

Accurate beam prediction is a key enabler for next-generation wireless communication systems. In this paper, we propose a multimodal large language model (LLM)-based beam prediction framework that effectively utilizes contextual…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Tianhao Mao , Le Liang , Jie Yang , Xiao Li , Shi Jin , Geoffrey Ye Li

Weather forecasting is crucial for public safety, disaster prevention and mitigation, agricultural production, and energy management, with global relevance. Although deep learning has significantly advanced weather prediction, current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shixuan Li , Wei Yang , Peiyu Zhang , Xiongye Xiao , Defu Cao , Yuehan Qin , Xiaole Zhang , Yue Zhao , Paul Bogdan