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The sparse Cholesky parametrization of the inverse covariance matrix can be interpreted as a Gaussian Bayesian network; however its counterpart, the covariance Cholesky factor, has received, with few notable exceptions, little attention so…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-03 Irene Córdoba , Concha Bielza , Pedro Larrañaga , Gherardo Varando

Designing robust trajectories under uncertainties is an emerging technology that may represent a key paradigm shift in space mission design. As we pursue more ambitious scientific goals (e.g., multi-moon tours, missions with extensive…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-23 Kenshiro Oguri , Gregory Lantoine

This paper is concerned with the design of a linear control law for linear systems with stationary additive disturbances. The objective is to find a state feedback gain that minimizes a quadratic stage cost function, while observing chance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-03 Georg Schildbach , Paul Goulart , Manfred Morari

Stochastic linearization is a method used in Quasilinear Control (QLC) to replace a nonlinearity by an equivalent gain and a bias, utilizing the statistical properties of random inputs. In this paper, the theory of stochastic linearization…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Sarnaduti Brahma , Hamid R. Ossareh

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

Estimation of covariance matrices is a fundamental problem in multivariate statistics. Recently, growing efforts have focused on incorporating covariate effects into these matrices, facilitating subject-specific estimation. Despite these…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-10 Rakheon Kim , Emma Jingfei Zhang

In a chance constrained program (CCP), the decision-makers aim to seek the best decision whose probability of violating the uncertainty constraints is within the prespecified risk level. As a CCP is often nonconvex and is difficult to solve…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-18 Nan Jiang , Weijun Xie

Using the array form of numerically stable square-root implementation methods for Kalman filtering formulas, we construct a new square-root algorithm for the log-likelihood gradient (score) evaluation. This avoids the use of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Maria V. Kulikova

Estimating large covariance matrices has been a longstanding important problem in many applications and has attracted increased attention over several decades. This paper deals with two methods based on pre-existing works to impose sparsity…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-06 Ahmad W. Bitar , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Loong-Fah Cheong

Polynomial Chaos Expansions represent a powerful tool to simulate stochastic models of dynamical systems. Yet, deriving the expansion's coefficients for complex systems might require a significant and non-trivial manipulation of the model,…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-13 Lorenzo Fagiano , Mustafa Khammash

Covariance selection seeks to estimate a covariance matrix by maximum likelihood while restricting the number of nonzero inverse covariance matrix coefficients. A single penalty parameter usually controls the tradeoff between log likelihood…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Vijay Krishnamurthy , Alexandre d'Aspremont

Accurate and concise governing equations are crucial for understanding system dynamics. Recently, data-driven methods such as sparse regression have been employed to automatically uncover governing equations from data, representing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Boqian Zhang , Juanmian Lei , Guoyou Sun , Shuaibing Ding , Jian Guo

Nonparametric regression subject to convexity or concavity constraints is increasingly popular in economics, finance, operations research, machine learning, and statistics. However, the conventional convex regression based on the least…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-27 Zhiqiang Liao , Sheng Dai , Timo Kuosmanen

We propose a data-driven way to reduce the noise of covariance matrices of nonstationary systems. In the case of stationary systems, asymptotic approaches were proved to converge to the optimal solutions. Such methods produce eigenvalues…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-10 Christian Bongiorno , Damien Challet , Grégoire Loeper

Finding an unconstrained and statistically interpretable reparameterization of a covariance matrix is still an open problem in statistics. Its solution is of central importance in covariance estimation, particularly in the recent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-09 Mohsen Pourahmadi

Many popular specifications for Vector Autoregressions (VARs) with multivariate stochastic volatility are not invariant to the way the variables are ordered due to the use of a Cholesky decomposition for the error covariance matrix. We show…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-16 Joshua C. C. Chan , Gary Koop , Xuewen Yu

Inferring the infinitesimal rates of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is a central challenge in many scientific domains. This task is hindered by three factors: quadratic growth in the number of rates as the CTMC state space expands,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Filippo Monti , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

We present a methodology for predictable and safe covariance steering control of uncertain nonlinear stochastic processes. The systems under consideration are subject to general uncertainties, which include unbounded random disturbances…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-08 Aditya Gahlawat , Vivek Khatana , Duo Wang , Sambhu H. Karumanchi , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros Voulgaris

In this paper we develop a sequential convex programming (SCP) framework for free-final-time covariance steering of nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) subject to both additive and multiplicative diffusion. We cast the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Joshua Pilipovsky

High dimensional covariance estimation and graphical models is a contemporary topic in statistics and machine learning having widespread applications. An important line of research in this regard is to shrink the extreme spectrum of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-28 Sang-Yun Oh , Bala Rajaratnam , Joong-Ho Won
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