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We introduce and develop moment propagation for approximate Bayesian inference. This method can be viewed as a variance correction for mean field variational Bayes which tends to underestimate posterior variances. Focusing on the case where…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-22 John Ormerod , Weichang Yu

Uncertainty quantification of neural networks is critical to measuring the reliability and robustness of deep learning systems. However, this often involves costly or inaccurate sampling methods and approximations. This paper presents a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Oren Wright , Yorie Nakahira , José M. F. Moura

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have been an important framework in the study of uncertainty quantification. Deterministic variational inference, one of the inference methods, utilizes moment propagation to compute the predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuki Hirayama , Sinya Takamaeda-Yamazaki

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a $d$-dimensional rectified Gaussian distribution from i.i.d. samples. A rectified Gaussian distribution is defined by passing a standard Gaussian distribution through a one-layer ReLU…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shanshan Wu , Alexandros G. Dimakis , Sujay Sanghavi

Phase-averaged dilute bubbly flow models require high-order statistical moments of the bubble population. The method of classes, which directly evolve bins of bubbles in the probability space, are accurate but computationally expensive.…

We consider the well-studied problem of learning a linear combination of $k$ ReLU activations with respect to a Gaussian distribution on inputs in $d$ dimensions. We give the first polynomial-time algorithm that succeeds whenever $k$ is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Sitan Chen , Zehao Dou , Surbhi Goel , Adam R Klivans , Raghu Meka

This paper proposes a novel method for deep learning based on the analytical convolution of multidimensional Gaussian mixtures. In contrast to tensors, these do not suffer from the curse of dimensionality and allow for a compact…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-21 Adam Celarek , Pedro Hermosilla , Bernhard Kerbl , Timo Ropinski , Michael Wimmer

We investigate the convergence guarantee of two-layer neural network training with Gaussian randomly masked inputs. This scenario corresponds to Gaussian dropout at the input level, or noisy input training common in sensor networks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Afroditi Kolomvaki , Fangshuo Liao , Evan Dramko , Ziyun Guang , Anastasios Kyrillidis

We consider the problem of learning deep generative models from data. We formulate a method that generates an independent sample via a single feedforward pass through a multilayer perceptron, as in the recently proposed generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-02-11 Yujia Li , Kevin Swersky , Richard Zemel

Hybrid Bayesian Networks (HBNs), which contain both discrete and continuous variables, arise naturally in many application areas (e.g., image understanding, data fusion, medical diagnosis, fraud detection). This paper concerns inference in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-21 Cheol Young Park , Kathryn Blackmond Laskey , Paulo C. G. Costa , Shou Matsumoto

We give a new algorithm for learning mixtures of $k$ Gaussians (with identity covariance in $\mathbb{R}^n$) to TV error $\varepsilon$, with quasi-polynomial ($O(n^{\text{poly\,log}\left(\frac{n+k}{\varepsilon}\right)})$) time and sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Khashayar Gatmiry , Jonathan Kelner , Holden Lee

We introduce a variational Bayesian neural network where the parameters are governed via a probability distribution on random matrices. Specifically, we employ a matrix variate Gaussian \cite{gupta1999matrix} parameter posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-24 Christos Louizos , Max Welling

Sparse inverse covariance estimation (i.e., edge de-tection) is an important research problem in recent years, wherethe goal is to discover the direct connections between a set ofnodes in a networked system based upon the observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Hang Yin , Xinyue Liu , Xiangnan Kong

We study the problem of detecting a change in the mean of one-dimensional Gaussian process data. This problem is investigated in the setting of increasing domain (customarily employed in time series analysis) and in the setting of fixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Hossein Keshavarz , Clayton Scott , XuanLong Nguyen

Whilst deep neural networks have shown great empirical success, there is still much work to be done to understand their theoretical properties. In this paper, we study the relationship between random, wide, fully connected, feedforward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-17 Alexander G. de G. Matthews , Mark Rowland , Jiri Hron , Richard E. Turner , Zoubin Ghahramani

We study the problem of learning mixtures of $k$ Gaussians in $d$ dimensions. We make no separation assumptions on the underlying mixture components: we only require that the covariance matrices have bounded condition number and that the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-20 Sitan Chen , Vasilis Kontonis , Kulin Shah

The point estimates of ReLU classification networks---arguably the most widely used neural network architecture---have been shown to yield arbitrarily high confidence far away from the training data. This architecture, in conjunction with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-20 Agustinus Kristiadi , Matthias Hein , Philipp Hennig

We prove that conditional diffusion models whose reverse kernels are finite Gaussian mixtures with ReLU-network logits can approximate suitably regular target distributions arbitrarily well in context-averaged conditional KL divergence, up…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Nafiz Ishtiaque , Syed Arefinul Haque , Kazi Ashraful Alam , Fatima Jahara

We show how to treat systematic uncertainties using Bayesian deep networks for regression. First, we analyze how these networks separately trace statistical and systematic uncertainties on the momenta of boosted top quarks forming fat jets.…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2020-12-23 Gregor Kasieczka , Michel Luchmann , Florian Otterpohl , Tilman Plehn

The impressive performance of deep neural networks (DNNs) has immensely strengthened the line of research that aims at theoretically analyzing their effectiveness. This has incited research on the reaction of DNNs to noisy input, namely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Modar Alfadly , Adel Bibi , Emilio Botero , Salman Alsubaihi , Bernard Ghanem
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