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Next-generation galaxy surveys promise unprecedented precision in testing gravity at cosmological scales. However, realising this potential requires accurately modelling the non-linear cosmic web. We address this challenge by exploring…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-20 Julieth Katherine Riveros , Paola Saavedra , Hector J. Hortua , Jorge Enrique Garcia-Farieta , Ivan Olier

Conformal prediction is widely used to equip black-box machine learning models with uncertainty quantification, offering formal coverage guarantees under exchangeable data. However, these guarantees fail when faced with subpopulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Nien-Shao Wang , Duygu Nur Yaldiz , Yavuz Faruk Bakman , Sai Praneeth Karimireddy

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) are the driving force behind the state-of-the-art in image generation. Despite their ability to synthesize high-resolution photo-realistic images, generating content with on-demand conditioning of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Markos Georgopoulos , James Oldfield , Grigorios G Chrysos , Yannis Panagakis

Despite recent advances, the remaining bottlenecks in deep generative models are necessity of extensive training and difficulties with generalization from small number of training examples. We develop a new generative model called…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-06 Sergey Bartunov , Dmitry P. Vetrov

Deep neural networks have made breakthroughs in a wide range of visual understanding tasks. A typical challenge that hinders their real-world applications is that unknown samples may be fed into the system during the testing phase, but…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Xin Sun , Chi Zhang , Guosheng Lin , Keck-Voon Ling

This work addresses the fundamental linear inverse problem in compressive sensing (CS) by introducing a new type of regularizing generative prior. Our proposed method utilizes ideas from classical dictionary-based CS and, in particular,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-15 Benedikt Böck , Sadaf Syed , Wolfgang Utschick

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is challenging due to non-stationarity, inter-variable dependencies, and distribution shifts. While recent diffusion and flow matching models have shown promise, they often ignore…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Yanfeng Yang , Siwei Chen , Pingping Hu , Zhaotong Shen , Yingjie Zhang , Zhuoran Sun , Shuai Li , Ziqi Chen , Kenji Fukumizu

Generic generation and manipulation of text is challenging and has limited success compared to recent deep generative modeling in visual domain. This paper aims at generating plausible natural language sentences, whose attributes are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-14 Zhiting Hu , Zichao Yang , Xiaodan Liang , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

Autoregressive generative models consistently achieve the best results in density estimation tasks involving high dimensional data, such as images or audio. They pose density estimation as a sequence modeling task, where a recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Xi Chen , Nikhil Mishra , Mostafa Rohaninejad , Pieter Abbeel

Stochastic simulation models effectively capture complex system dynamics but are often too slow for real-time decision-making. Traditional metamodeling techniques learn relationships between simulator inputs and a single output summary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 L. Jeff Hong , Yanxi Hou , Qingkai Zhang , Xiaowei Zhang

The problem of nonparametric estimation of the conditional density of a response, given a vector of explanatory variables, is classical and of prominent importance in many prediction problems since the conditional density provides a more…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Catia Scricciolo

A probabilistic expert system emulates the decision-making ability of a human expert through a directional graphical model. The first step in building such systems is to understand data generation mechanism. To this end, one may try to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Vahid Partovi Nia , Xinlin Li , Masoud Asgharian , Shoubo Hu , Zhitang Chen , Yanhui Geng

Clustering functional data is a challenging task due to intrinsic infinite-dimensionality and the need for stable, data-adaptive partitioning. In this work, we propose a clustering framework based on Random Projections, which simultaneously…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Matteo Mori , Laura Anderlucci

Decision making is often based on Bayesian networks. The building blocks for Bayesian networks are its conditional probability tables (CPTs). These tables are obtained by parameter estimation methods, or they are elicited from subject…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Wolfgang Garn , Panos Louvieris

Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…

Traditional statistical inference in cluster randomized trials typically invokes the asymptotic theory that requires the number of clusters to approach infinity. In this article, we propose an alternative conformal causal inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-03 Bingkai Wang , Fan Li , Mengxin Yu

Obtaining high certainty in predictive models is crucial for making informed and trustworthy decisions in many scientific and engineering domains. However, extensive experimentation required for model accuracy can be both costly and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Giorgio Morales , John Sheppard

We present a new method for generating confidence sets within the split conformal prediction framework. Our method performs a trainable transformation of any given conformity score to improve conditional coverage while ensuring exact…

Recent text-to-image diffusion models are able to learn and synthesize images containing novel, personalized concepts (e.g., their own pets or specific items) with just a few examples for training. This paper tackles two interconnected…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-02-26 Chun-Hsiao Yeh , Ta-Ying Cheng , He-Yen Hsieh , Chuan-En Lin , Yi Ma , Andrew Markham , Niki Trigoni , H. T. Kung , Yubei Chen