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We study multiple change-points detection using multi-samples tests based on U-statistics for absolutely regular observations. Our results extend those of Ngatchou-Wandji et al. (2022) concerned with the study of one single changepoint. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-25 Joseph Ngatchou-Wandji , Echarif Elharfaoui , Michel Harel

Structural breaks have been commonly seen in applications. Specifically for detection of change points in time, research gap still remains on the setting in ultra high dimension, where the covariates may bear spurious correlations. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Xin Liu , Liwen Zhang , Zhen Zhang

Sequential change-point detection plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications, where timely identification of distributional shifts can greatly mitigate adverse outcomes. Classical methods commonly rely on parametric density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-23 Wenbin Zhou , Liyan Xie , Zhigang Peng , Shixiang Zhu

Score matching is a vital tool for learning the distribution of data with applications across many areas including diffusion processes, energy based modelling, and graphical model estimation. Despite all these applications, little work…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Josh Givens , Song Liu , Henry W J Reeve

Heteroscedasticity -- where the variance of a variable changes with other variables -- is pervasive in real data, and elucidating why it arises from the perspective of statistical moments is crucial in scientific knowledge discovery and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Yoichi Chikahara

Designing control inputs for a system that involves dynamical responses in multiple timescales is nontrivial. This paper proposes a parameterized time-warping function to enable a non-uniformly sampling along a prediction horizon given some…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-22 Zehui Lu , Shaoshuai Mou

Spatial count data models are used to explain and predict the frequency of phenomena such as traffic accidents in geographically distinct entities such as census tracts or road segments. These models are typically estimated using Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Prateek Bansal , Rico Krueger , Daniel J. Graham

Exposure measurement error is a ubiquitous but often overlooked challenge in causal inference with observational data. Existing methods accounting for exposure measurement error largely rely on restrictive parametric assumptions, while…

Most statistical process monitoring methods for multichannel profiles focus solely on the mean and are almost ineffective when changes involve the covariance structure. Although it is known to be crucial, covariance monitoring requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-06 Christian Capezza , Davide Forcina , Antonio Lepore , Biagio Palumbo

We study a statistical procedure based on higher criticism (HC) to address the sparse multi-stream quickest change-point detection problem. Namely, we aim to detect a potential change in the distribution of multiple data streams at some…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Tingnan Gong , Alon Kipnis , Yao Xie

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Score-based methods are powerful across machine learning, but they face a paradox: theoretically path-independent, yet practically path-dependent. We resolve this by proving that practical training objectives differ from the ideal,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Wei Chen , Jiacheng Li , Shigui Li , Zhiqi Lin , Junmei Yang , John Paisley , Delu Zeng

Existing visual change detectors usually adopt CNNs or Transformers for feature representation learning and focus on learning effective representation for the changed regions between images. Although good performance can be obtained by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Bo Jiang , Zitian Wang , Xixi Wang , Ziyan Zhang , Lan Chen , Xiao Wang , Bin Luo

This study introduces a data-driven, machine learning-based method to detect suitable control variables and instruments for assessing the causal effect of a treatment on an outcome in observational data. Our approach tests the joint…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Nicolas Apfel , Julia Hatamyar , Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck

Weighting methods are popular tools for estimating causal effects; assessing their robustness under unobserved confounding is important in practice. In the following paper, we introduce a new set of sensitivity models called "variance-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-14 Melody Huang , Samuel D. Pimentel

The ability to quickly and accurately identify covariate shift at test time is a critical and often overlooked component of safe machine learning systems deployed in high-risk domains. While methods exist for detecting when predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Tom Ginsberg , Zhongyuan Liang , Rahul G. Krishnan

Principal component analysis (PCA) is a tool to capture factors that explain variation in data. Across domains, data are now collected across multiple contexts (for example, individuals with different diseases, cells of different types, or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-22 Kexin Wang , Salil Bhate , João M. Pereira , Joe Kileel , Matylda Figlerowicz , Anna Seigal

A first step when fitting multilevel models to continuous responses is to explore the degree of clustering in the data. Researchers fit variance-component models and then report the proportion of variation in the response that is due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-17 George Leckie , William Browne , Harvey Goldstein , Juan Merlo , Peter Austin

In this paper, we introduce two robust, nonparametric methods for multiple change-point detection in the variability of a multivariate sequence of observations. We demonstrate that changes in ranks generated from data depth functions can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Kelly Ramsay , Shoja'eddin Chenouri