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This work is concerned with the estimation of hard-to-reach population sizes using a single respondent-driven sampling (RDS) survey, a variant of chain-referral sampling that leverages social relationships to reach members of a hidden…

The network scale-up method enables researchers to estimate the size of hidden populations, such as drug injectors and sex workers, using sampled social network data. The basic scale-up estimator offers advantages over other size estimation…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-14 Dennis M. Feehan , Matthew J. Salganik

We propose an interdisciplinary framework that combines Bayesian predictive inference, a well-established tool in Machine Learning, with Formal Methods rooted in the computer science community. Bayesian predictive inference allows for…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-21 Laura Vana , Ennio Visconti , Laura Nenzi , Annalisa Cadonna , Gregor Kastner

Our global population contributes visual content on platforms like Instagram, attempting to express themselves and engage their audiences, at an unprecedented and increasing rate. In this paper, we revisit the popularity prediction on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Christoffer Riis , Damian Konrad Kowalczyk , Lars Kai Hansen

Spatial aggregation with respect to a population distribution involves estimating aggregate quantities for a population based on an observation of individuals in a subpopulation. In this context, a geostatistical workflow must account for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-15 John Paige , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Andrea Riebler , Jon Wakefield

Decision-makers often observe the occurrence of events through a reporting process. City governments, for example, rely on resident reports to find and then resolve urban infrastructural problems such as fallen street trees, flooded…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Gabriel Agostini , Emma Pierson , Nikhil Garg

The United Nations regularly publishes projections of the populations of all the world's countries broken down by age and sex. These projections are the de facto standard and are widely used by international organizations, governments and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-20 Adrian E. Raftery , Leontine Alkema , Patrick Gerland

Modern studies of societal phenomena rely on the availability of large datasets capturing attributes and activities of synthetic, city-level, populations. For instance, in epidemiology, synthetic population datasets are necessary to study…

Databases · Computer Science 2016-02-26 Hao Wu , Yue Ning , Prithwish Chakraborty , Jilles Vreeken , Nikolaj Tatti , Naren Ramakrishnan

In many statistical problems, a more coarse-grained model may be suitable for population-level behaviour, whereas a more detailed model is appropriate for accurate modelling of individual behaviour. This raises the question of how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-02 Mingjun Zhong , Nigel Goddard , Charles Sutton

Increasing pressures on the environment are generating an ever-increasing need to manage animal and plant populations sustainably, and to protect and rebuild endangered populations. Effective management requires reliable mathematical…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-09-29 Stephen T. Buckland , Ken B. Newman , Carmen Fernández , Len Thomas , John Harwood

Existing estimates of human migration are limited in their scope, reliability, and timeliness, prompting the United Nations and the Global Compact on Migration to call for improved data collection. Using privacy protected records from three…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Guanghua Chi , Guy J. Abel , Drew Johnston , Eugenia Giraudy , Mike Bailey

Today, our more-than-ever digital lives leave significant footprints in cyberspace. Large scale collections of these socially generated footprints, often known as big data, could help us to re-investigate different aspects of our social…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-05 Taha Yasseri , Jonathan Bright

Supporting the health and well-being of dynamic populations around the world requires governmental agencies, organizations and researchers to understand and reason over complex relationships between human behavior and local contexts in…

Timely population displacement estimates are critical for humanitarian response during disasters, but traditional surveys and field assessments are slow. Mobile phone data enables near real-time tracking, yet existing approaches apply…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Rajius Idzalika , Muhammad Rheza Muztahid , Radityo Eko Prasojo

This paper investigates the usage patterns of Facebook among different demographics in the United States, focusing on the consumption of political information and its variability across age, gender, and ethnicity. Employing a novel data…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-12 Joao Couto , Kiran Garimella

Censuses are fundamental building blocks of most modern-day societies, yet collected every ten years at best. We propose an extension of the widely popular census updating technique Structure Preserving Estimation by incorporating auxiliary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-24 Till Koebe , Alejandra Arias-Salazar , Natalia Rojas-Perilla , Timo Schmid

We present a Bayesian hierarchical framework to analyze photometric galaxy survey data with stellar population synthesis (SPS) models. Our method couples robust modeling of spectral energy distributions with a population model and a noise…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-18 Boris Leistedt , Justin Alsing , Hiranya Peiris , Daniel Mortlock , Joel Leja

Synthetic contact networks are useful for modeling epidemic spread and social transmission, but data to infer realistic contact patterns that take account of assortative connections at the geographic and economic levels is limited. We…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Alexander Y. Tulchinsky , Fardad Haghpanah , Alisa Hamilton , Nodar Kipshidze , Eili Y. Klein

As we shift more of our lives into the virtual domain, the volume of data shared on the web keeps increasing and presents a threat to our privacy. This works contributes to the understanding of privacy implications of such data sharing by…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-07-29 Seong Joon Oh , Rodrigo Benenson , Mario Fritz , Bernt Schiele

As gravitational-wave catalogs grow, they will become increasingly computationally expensive to analyze in their entirety, especially when inferring astrophysical source populations with high-dimensional, flexible models. Bayesian…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-25 Noah E. Wolfe , Matthew Mould , John Veitch , Salvatore Vitale