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Data-driven learning is generalized to consider history-dependent multi-fidelity data, while quantifying epistemic uncertainty and disentangling it from data noise (aleatoric uncertainty). This generalization is hierarchical and adapts to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Jiaxiang Yi , Bernardo P. Ferreira , Miguel A. Bessa

Many real-world situations allow for the acquisition of additional relevant information when making an assessment with limited or uncertain data. However, traditional ML approaches either require all features to be acquired beforehand or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Yang Li , Junier B. Oliva

We investigate active learning in Gaussian Process state-space models (GPSSM). Our problem is to actively steer the system through latent states by determining its inputs such that the underlying dynamics can be optimally learned by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Hon Sum Alec Yu , Dingling Yao , Christoph Zimmer , Marc Toussaint , Duy Nguyen-Tuong

The uncertainty quantification and risk modeling are hot topics in the operation and planning of energy systems. The system operators and planners are decision-makers that need to handle the uncertainty of input data of their models. As an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-03 Majid Majidi , Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatlooa , Alireza Soroudi

Active learning for continuous regression has lacked an acquisition function that targets epistemic uncertainty when the predictive distribution is multimodal: variance misses modal disagreement, and information-theoretic targets like BALD…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Leonardo Ferreira Guilhoto , Akshat Kaushal , Paris Perdikaris

Scientific discovery can be framed as a thermodynamic process in which an agent invests physical work to acquire information about an environment under a finite work budget. Using established results about the thermodynamics of computing,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Mihir Rao

Active learning is proposed for selection of the next operating points in the design of experiments, for identifying linear parameter-varying systems. We extend existing approaches found in literature to multiple-input multiple-output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-05 Robert Chin , Alejandro I. Maass , Nalika Ulapane , Chris Manzie , Iman Shames , Dragan Nešić , Jonathan E. Rowe , Hayato Nakada

The accuracy of simulation-based forecasting in chaotic systems is heavily dependent on high-quality estimates of the system state at the time the forecast is initialized. Data assimilation methods are used to infer these initial conditions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Michael McCabe , Jed Brown

The use of imitation learning to learn a single policy for a complex task that has multiple modes or hierarchical structure can be challenging. In fact, previous work has shown that when the modes are known, learning separate policies for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-13 Arjun Sharma , Mohit Sharma , Nicholas Rhinehart , Kris M. Kitani

In the last three decades, several measures of complexity have been proposed. Up to this point, most of such measures have only been developed for finite spaces. In these scenarios the baseline distribution is uniform. This makes sense…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-15 Daniel Andrés Díaz-Pachón , Robert J. Marks

Active matter, as other types of self-organizing systems, relies on the take-up of energy that can be used for different actions, such as active motion or structure formation. Here we provide an agent-based framework to model these…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-12-26 Frank Schweitzer

One of the most complex tasks of decision making and planning is to gather information. This task becomes even more complex when the state is high-dimensional and its belief cannot be expressed with a parametric distribution. Although the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Gilad Rotman , Vadim Indelman

We try to establish a unified information theoretic approach to learning and to explore some of its applications. First, we define {\em predictive information} as the mutual information between the past and the future of a time series,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Ilya Nemenman

Travel decisions tend to exhibit sensitivity to uncertainty and information processing constraints. These behavioural conditions can be characterized by a generative learning process. We propose a data-driven generative model version of…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-29 Melvin Wong , Bilal Farooq

To make decisions we are guided by the evidence we collect, as well as the opinions of friends and neighbors. How do we integrate our private beliefs with information we obtain from our social network? To understand the strategies humans…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Bhargav Karamched , Simon Stolarczyk , Zachary Kilpatrick , Krešimir Josić

In this work, we demonstrate the Empirical Bayes approach to learning a Dynamic Bayesian Network. By starting with several point estimates of structure and weights, we can use a data-driven prior to subsequently obtain a model to quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Apaar , Aarya Khandelwal , Parth Sandeep Rastogi , Bapi Chatterjee , Jakub Mareček

Eliciting information to reduce uncertainty about a latent entity is a critical task in many application domains, e.g., assessing individual student learning outcomes, diagnosing underlying diseases, or learning user preferences. Though…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Jimmy Wang , Thomas Zollo , Richard Zemel , Hongseok Namkoong

Opinion Dynamics lacks a theoretical basis. In this article, I propose to use a decision-theoretic framework, based on the updating of subjective probabilities, as that basis. We will see we get a basic tool for a better understanding of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-11-21 Andre C. R. Martins

Multi-agent active search requires autonomous agents to choose sensing actions that efficiently locate targets. In a realistic setting, agents also must consider the costs that their decisions incur. Previously proposed active search…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-06 Arundhati Banerjee , Ramina Ghods , Jeff Schneider

Adaptive dynamical systems arise in a multitude of contexts, e.g., optimization, control, communications, signal processing, and machine learning. A precise characterization of their fundamental limitations is therefore of paramount…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-10-13 Maxim Raginsky
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