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We study the problem of system identification for stochastic continuous-time dynamics, based on a single finite-length state trajectory. We present a method for estimating the possibly unstable open-loop matrix by employing properly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Reza Sadeghi Hafshejani , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Fradonbeh

We present two approaches to system identification, i.e. the identification of partial differential equations (PDEs) from measurement data. The first is a regression-based Variational System Identification procedure that is advantageous in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-28 Zhenlin Wang , Bowei Wu , Krishna Garikipati , Xun Huan

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice

Learning how complex dynamical systems evolve over time is a key challenge in system identification. For safety critical systems, it is often crucial that the learned model is guaranteed to converge to some equilibrium point. To this end,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Andreas Schlaginhaufen , Philippe Wenk , Andreas Krause , Florian Dörfler

In this paper, we propose a data-driven framework for model discovery of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from a single trajectory, without requiring the ergodicity or stationary assumption on the underlying continuous process. By…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Munawar Ali , Purba Das , Qi Feng , Liyao Gao , Guang Lin

Identifying dynamical systems from experimental data is a notably difficult task. Prior knowledge generally helps, but the extent of this knowledge varies with the application, and customized models are often needed. Neural ordinary…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-13 Mona Buisson-Fenet , Valery Morgenthaler , Sebastian Trimpe , Florent Di Meglio

This paper considers the filtering problem which consists in reconstructing the state of a dynamical system with partial observations coming from sensor measurements, and the knowledge that the dynamics are governed by a physical PDE model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-01 Joubine Aghili , Joy Zialesi Atokple , Marie Billaud-Friess , Guillaume Garnier , Olga Mula , Norbert Tognon

We present an algorithm for the efficient sampling of conditional paths of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). While unconditional path sampling of SDEs is straightforward, albeit expensive for high dimensional systems of SDEs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Panagiotis Stinis

Inferring dynamical models from low-resolution temporal data continues to be a significant challenge in biophysics, especially within transcriptomics, where separating molecular programs from noise remains an important open problem. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Victor Chardès , Suryanarayana Maddu , Michael J. Shelley

Learning network dynamics from the empirical structure and spatio-temporal observation data is crucial to revealing the interaction mechanisms of complex networks in a wide range of domains. However, most existing methods only aim at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Jiaxu Cui , Bingyi Sun , Jiming Liu , Bo Yang

In this paper we construct a framework for doing statistical inference for discretely observed stochastic differential equations (SDEs) where the driving noise has 'memory'. Classical SDE models for inference assume the driving noise to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-05 Martin Lysy , Natesh S. Pillai

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equations is challenging due to the presence of a latent diffusion process. Working with an Euler-Maruyama discretisation for the diffusion, we use variational inference to jointly learn the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-15 Thomas Ryder , Andrew Golightly , A. Stephen McGough , Dennis Prangle

This paper provides a unifying theoretical framework for stochastic optimization algorithms by means of a latent stochastic variational problem. Using techniques from stochastic control, the solution to the variational problem is shown to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Philippe Casgrain

Parameter estimation for non-stationary stochastic differential equations (SDE) with an arbitrary nonlinear drift, and nonlinear diffusion is accomplished in combination with a non-parametric clustering methodology. Such a model-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Vyacheslav Boyko , Sebastian Krumscheid , Nikki Vercauteren

We study the fundamental problem of learning a marginally stable unknown nonlinear dynamical system. We describe an algorithm for this problem, based on the technique of spectral filtering, which learns a mapping from past observations to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Evan Dogariu , Anand Brahmbhatt , Elad Hazan

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are well suited to modelling noisy and irregularly sampled time series found in finance, physics, and machine learning. Traditional approaches require costly numerical solvers to sample between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Naoki Kiyohara , Edward Johns , Yingzhen Li

Stochastic dynamics has emerged as one of the key themes ranging from models in applications to theoretical foundations in mathematics. One class of stochastic dynamics problems that has received considerable attention recently are…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Christian Kuehn , James MacLaurin , Giulio Zucal

In this study, we develop a stochastic optimal control approach with reinforcement learning structure to learn the unknown parameters appeared in the drift and diffusion terms of the stochastic differential equation. By choosing an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-22 Shuzhen Yang

We address the path-wise control of systems described by a set of nonlinear stochastic differential equations. For this class of systems, we introduce a notion of stochastic relative degree and a change of coordinates which transforms the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-14 Alberto Mellone , Giordano Scarciotti

Automated analysis of complex systems based on multiple readouts remains a challenge. Change point detection algorithms are aimed to locating abrupt changes in the time series behaviour of a process. In this paper, we present a novel change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Artem Ryzhikov , Mikhail Hushchyn , Denis Derkach