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Existing generative models, such as diffusion and auto-regressive networks, are inherently static, relying on a fixed set of pretrained parameters to handle all inputs. In contrast, humans flexibly adapt their internal generative…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Minh-Tuan Tran , Xuan-May Le , Quan Hung Tran , Mehrtash Harandi , Dinh Phung , Trung Le

Ordinary differential equation models are used to describe dynamic processes across biology. To perform likelihood-based parameter inference on these models, it is necessary to specify a statistical process representing the contribution of…

Causal discovery in time series is a rapidly evolving field with a wide variety of applications in other areas such as climate science and neuroscience. Traditional approaches assume a stationary causal graph, which can be adapted to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-26 Carles Balsells-Rodas , Yixin Wang , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Yingzhen Li

We present a general and flexible framework for detecting regime changes in complex, non-stationary data across multi-trial experiments. Traditional change point detection methods focus on identifying abrupt changes within a single time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Anass B. El-Yaagoubi , Jean-Marc Freyermuth , Hernando Ombao

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

In microbiome and genomic studies, the regression of compositional data has been a crucial tool for identifying microbial taxa or genes that are associated with clinical phenotypes. To account for the variation in sequencing depth, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-11 Pixu Shi , Yuchen Zhou , Anru R. Zhang

Tensor decomposition is a fundamental tool for analyzing multi-dimensional data by learning low-rank factors to represent high-order interactions. While recent works on temporal tensor decomposition have made significant progress by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Panqi Chen , Lei Cheng , Jianlong Li , Weichang Li , Weiqing Liu , Jiang Bian , Shikai Fang

We develop a new class of dynamic multivariate Poisson count models that allow for fast online updating and we refer to these models as multivariate Poisson-scaled beta (MPSB). The MPSB model allows for serial dependence in the counts as…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-16 Tevfik Aktekin , Nicholas G. Polson , Refik Soyer

This paper studies linear reconstruction of partially observed functional data which are recorded on a discrete grid. We propose a novel estimation approach based on approximate factor models with increasing rank taking into account…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-22 Maximilian Ofner , Siegfried Hörmann

In many practical applications, evaluating the joint impact of combinations of environmental variables is important for risk management and structural design analysis. When such variables are considered simultaneously, non-stationarity can…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 C. J. R. Murphy-Barltrop , J. L. Wadsworth

Evaluating robustness under temporal distribution shift remains an open challenge. Existing metrics quantify the average decline in performance, but fail to capture how models adapt to evolving data. As a result, temporal degradation is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-09 Lorenzo Iovine , Giacomo Ziffer , Emanuele Della Valle

Inferring causal relations from observational time series data is a key problem across science and engineering whenever experimental interventions are infeasible or unethical. Increasing data availability over the past decades has spurred…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-02 Elena Saggioro , Jana de Wiljes , Marlene Kretschmer , Jakob Runge

The independent component model is a latent variable model where the components of the observed random vector are linear combinations of latent independent variables. The aim is to find an estimate for a transformation matrix back to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-12 Joni Virta , Klaus Nordhausen , Hannu Oja

We consider the estimation of large covariance and precision matrices from high-dimensional sub-Gaussian or heavier-tailed observations with slowly decaying temporal dependence. The temporal dependence is allowed to be long-range so with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Hai Shu , Bin Nan

Varying coefficient models are widely used to characterize dynamic associations between longitudinal outcomes and covariates. Existing work on varying coefficient models, however, all assumes that observation times are independent of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Yu Gu , Yangjianchen Xu , Peijun Sang

Wearable sensor data offer opportunities for personalized health monitoring, yet deriving actionable insights from their complex, longitudinal data streams is challenging. This paper introduces a framework to learn personalized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Ajan Subramanian , Amir M. Rahmani

To characterize the dynamical behavior of many-body quantum systems, one is usually interested in the evolution of so-called order-parameters rather than in characterizing the full quantum state. In many situations, these quantities…

Disentangled representations seek to recover latent factors of variation underlying observed data, yet their identifiability is still not fully understood. We introduce a unified framework in which disentanglement is achieved through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Stefan Matthes , Zhiwei Han , Hao Shen

Inference of causality in time series has been principally based on the prediction paradigm. Nonetheless, the predictive causality approach may overlook the simultaneous and reciprocal nature of causal interactions observed in real world…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-10-24 Albert C. Yang , Norden E. Huang , Chung-Kang Peng

Independent Component Analysis (ICA) is a classical method for recovering latent variables with useful identifiability properties. For independent variables, cumulant tensors are diagonal; relaxing independence yields tensors whose zero…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Alvaro Ribot , Anna Seigal , Piotr Zwiernik