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A method of simultaneously optimizing both the structure of neural networks and the connection weights in a single training loop can reduce the enormous computational cost of neural architecture search. We focus on the probabilistic…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Shota Saito , Shinichi Shirakawa

Classification models are very sensitive to data uncertainty, and finding robust classifiers that are less sensitive to data uncertainty has raised great interest in the machine learning literature. This paper aims to construct robust…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-01 Vali Asimit , Ioannis Kyriakou , Simone Santoni , Salvatore Scognamiglio , Rui Zhu

Existing variance reduction techniques used in stochastic simulations for rare event analysis still require a substantial number of model evaluations to estimate small failure probabilities. In the context of complex, nonlinear finite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-04 Liuyun Xu , Seymour M. J. Spence

In this paper, we consider a stochastic Model Predictive Control able to account for effects of additive stochastic disturbance with unbounded support, and requiring no restrictive assumption on either independence nor Gaussianity. We…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-17 Martina Mammarella , Teodoro Alamo , Sergio Lucia , Fabrizio Dabbene

Establishing a low-dimensional representation of the data leads to efficient data learning strategies. In many cases, the reduced dimension needs to be explicitly stated and estimated from the data. We explore the estimation of dimension in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-10 Wei Q. Deng , Radu V. Craiu

We propose and analyze a method for computing failure probabilities of systems modeled as numerical deterministic models (e.g., PDEs) with uncertain input data. A failure occurs when a functional of the solution to the model is below (or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Daniel Elfverson , Fredrik Hellman , Axel Målqvist

With this paper, we contribute to the growing research area of feature-based analysis of bio-inspired computing. In this research area, problem instances are classified according to different features of the underlying problem in terms of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-02-10 Shayan Poursoltan , Frank Neumann

We are motivated by the problem of performing failure prediction for safety-critical robotic systems with high-dimensional sensor observations (e.g., vision). Given access to a black-box control policy (e.g., in the form of a neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Alec Farid , David Snyder , Allen Z. Ren , Anirudha Majumdar

Sparse Bayesian learning is a state-of-the-art supervised learning algorithm that can choose a subset of relevant samples from the input data and make reliable probabilistic predictions. However, in the presence of high-dimensional data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Bingbing Jiang , Chang Li , Maarten de Rijke , Xin Yao , Huanhuan Chen

Currently, many verification algorithms are available to improve the reliability of software systems. Selecting the appropriate verification algorithm typically demands domain expertise and non-trivial manpower. An automated algorithm…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Jie Su , Liansai Deng , Cheng Wen , Rong Wang , Zhi Ma , Nan Zhang , Cong Tian , Zhenhua Duan , Shengchao Qin

Evaluating failure probability for complex engineering systems is a computationally intensive task. While the Monte Carlo method is easy to implement, it converges slowly and, hence, requires numerous repeated simulations of a complex…

Computation · Statistics 2023-06-27 Mujing Li , Yani Feng , Guanjie Wang

We here consider the subset simulation method which approaches a failure event using a decreasing sequence of nested intermediate failure events. The method resembles importance sampling, which actively explores a probability space by…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-16 Kenan Šehić , Mirza Karamehmedović

Motivated by penalized likelihood maximization in complex models, we study optimization problems where neither the function to optimize nor its gradient have an explicit expression, but its gradient can be approximated by a Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-28 Gersende Fort , Edouard Ollier , Adeline Samson

We consider a suboptimal solution path algorithm for the Support Vector Machine. The solution path algorithm is an effective tool for solving a sequence of a parametrized optimization problems in machine learning. The path of the solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-05-04 Masayuki Karasuyama , Ichiro Takeuchi

This paper is concerned with an important issue in finite mixture modelling, the selection of the number of mixing components. We propose a new penalized likelihood method for model selection of finite multivariate Gaussian mixture models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-17 Tao Huang , Heng Peng , Kun Zhang

Support vector machine modeling is a new approach in machine learning for classification showing good performance on forecasting problems of small samples and high dimensions. Later, it promoted to Support Vector Regression (SVR) for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Mohammadreza Ghanbari , Mahdi Goldani

We introduce the Probabilistic Generative Adversarial Network (PGAN), a new GAN variant based on a new kind of objective function. The central idea is to integrate a probabilistic model (a Gaussian Mixture Model, in our case) into the GAN…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-08 Hamid Eghbal-zadeh , Gerhard Widmer

This study conducts a benchmarking study, comparing 23 different statistical and machine learning methods in a credit scoring application. In order to do so, the models' performance is evaluated over four different data sets in combination…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-31 Anna Stelzer

We investigate Monte Carlo based algorithms for solving stochastic control problems with probabilistic constraints. Our motivation comes from microgrid management, where the controller tries to optimally dispatch a diesel generator while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Alessandro Balata , Michael Ludkovski , Aditya Maheshwari , Jan Palczewski

Chance constrained program where one seeks to minimize an objective over decisions which satisfy randomly disturbed constraints with a given probability is computationally intractable. This paper proposes an approximate approach to address…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-23 Xun Shen , Jiancang Zhuang , Xingguo Zhang