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This paper explores how to enhance existing masked time-series modeling by randomly dropping sub-sequence level patches of time series. On this basis, a simple yet effective method named DropPatch is proposed, which has two remarkable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-23 Tianyu Qiu , Yi Xie , Yun Xiong , Hao Niu , Xiaofeng Gao

Process Model Forecasting (PMF) aims to predict how the control-flow structure of a process evolves over time by modeling the temporal dynamics of directly-follows (DF) relations, complementing predictive process monitoring that focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Yongbo Yu , Jari Peeperkorn , Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Self-supervised learning has been actively studied in time series domain recently, especially for masked reconstruction. Most of these methods follow the "Pre-training + Fine-tuning" paradigm in which a new decoder replaces the pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Hao Liu , Jinrui Gan , Xiaoxuan Fan , Yi Zhang , Chuanxian Luo , Jing Zhang , Guangxin Jiang , Yucheng Qian , Changwei Zhao , Huan Ma , Zhenyu Guo

The performance of time series forecasting has recently been greatly improved by the introduction of transformers. In this paper, we propose a general multi-scale framework that can be applied to the state-of-the-art transformer-based time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Amin Shabani , Amir Abdi , Lili Meng , Tristan Sylvain

Conventional deep models have achieved unprecedented success in time series forecasting. However, facing the challenge of cross-domain generalization, existing studies utilize statistical prior as prompt engineering fails under the huge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Xiangkai Ma , Xiaobin Hong , Mingkai Lin , Han Zhang , Wenzhong Li , Sanglu Lu

Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Sanjay Chakraborty , Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Fredrik Heintz

Deep learning and pre-trained models have shown great success in time series forecasting. However, in the tourism industry, time series data often exhibit a leading time property, presenting a 2D structure. This introduces unique challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Yuhua Liao , Zetian Wang , Peng Wei , Qiangqiang Nie , Zhenhua Zhang

Time series forecasting plays a critical role in domains such as energy, finance, and healthcare, where accurate predictions inform decision-making under uncertainty. Although Transformer-based models have demonstrated success in sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Ali Forootani , Mohammad Khosravi

Research on long-term time series prediction has primarily relied on Transformer and MLP models, while the potential of convolutional networks in this domain remains underexplored. To address this, we propose a novel multi-scale time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Chenghan Li , Mingchen Li , Yipu Liao , Ruisheng Diao

Human experts typically integrate numerical and textual multimodal information to analyze time series. However, most traditional deep learning predictors rely solely on unimodal numerical data, using a fixed-length window for training and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jinming Wu , Lei Zhang , Jianxin Liao

Time series forecasting drives operational decisions in areas like finance, transportation, and energy. While supervised learning approaches achieve strong performance, they require domain-specific training, feature engineering, and ongoing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Kavin Soni , Debanshu Das , Vamshi Guduguntla

Diffusion models are powerful, but they require a lot of time and data to train. We propose Patch Diffusion, a generic patch-wise training framework, to significantly reduce the training time costs while improving data efficiency, which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Zhendong Wang , Yifan Jiang , Huangjie Zheng , Peihao Wang , Pengcheng He , Zhangyang Wang , Weizhu Chen , Mingyuan Zhou

Time series analysis finds wide applications in fields such as weather forecasting, anomaly detection, and behavior recognition. Previous methods attempted to model temporal variations directly using 1D time series. However, this has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Qiang Wu , Gechang Yao , Zhixi Feng , Shuyuan Yang

Time series forecasting is a critical and practical problem in many real-world applications, especially for industrial scenarios, where load forecasting underpins the intelligent operation of modern systems like clouds, power grids and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Shaoyuan Huang , Tiancheng Zhang , Zhongtian Zhang , Xiaofei Wang , Lanjun Wang , Xin Wang

Recently, there has been a growing interest in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), which involves predicting long-term future values by analyzing a large amount of historical time-series data to identify patterns and trends. There…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Aitian Ma , Dongsheng Luo , Mo Sha

We present a mask-piloted Transformer which improves masked-attention in Mask2Former for image segmentation. The improvement is based on our observation that Mask2Former suffers from inconsistent mask predictions between consecutive decoder…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Hao Zhang , Feng Li , Huaizhe Xu , Shijia Huang , Shilong Liu , Lionel M. Ni , Lei Zhang

The recent breakthrough of Transformers in deep learning has drawn significant attention of the time series community due to their ability to capture long-range dependencies. However, like other deep learning models, Transformers face…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-15 Subina Khanal , Seshu Tirupathi , Giulio Zizzo , Ambrish Rawat , Torben Bach Pedersen

Large pre-trained models have been vital in recent advancements in domains like language and vision, making model training for individual downstream tasks more efficient and provide superior performance. However, tackling time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Harshavardhan Kamarthi , B. Aditya Prakash

Time series analysis is widely used in extensive areas. Recently, to reduce labeling expenses and benefit various tasks, self-supervised pre-training has attracted immense interest. One mainstream paradigm is masked modeling, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Jiaxiang Dong , Haixu Wu , Haoran Zhang , Li Zhang , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

Motivated by recent advances in large language models for Natural Language Processing (NLP), we design a time-series foundation model for forecasting whose out-of-the-box zero-shot performance on a variety of public datasets comes close to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-19 Abhimanyu Das , Weihao Kong , Rajat Sen , Yichen Zhou
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