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One common approach for dose optimization is a two-stage design, which initially conducts dose escalation to identify the maximum tolerated dose (MTD), followed by a randomization stage where patients are assigned to two or more doses to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-11 Yixuan Zhao , Rachael Liu , Jianchang Lin , Ying Yuan

Dose-escalation trials in oncology drug development still today typically aim to identify 1-size-fits-all dose recommendations, as arbitrary quantiles of the toxicity thresholds evident in patient samples. In the late 1990s efforts to…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-03 David C. Norris

Large variability between cell lines brings a difficult optimization problem of drug selection for cancer therapy. Standard approaches use prediction of value for this purpose, corresponding e.g. to expected value of their distribution.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-15 Jarek Duda

Recently, the strategy for dose optimization in oncology has shifted to conduct Phase 2 randomized controlled trials with multiple doses. Optimal biologic dose selection from Phase 1 trial data to determine candidate doses for Phase 2…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-14 Masahiro Kojima

Agent-based simulation with a synthetic population can help us compare different treatment conditions while keeping everything else constant within the same population (i.e., as digital twins). Such population-scale simulations require…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Abdulrahman A. Ahmed , M. Amin Rahimian , Mark S. Roberts

If explicit, formal consideration of clinical pharmacology at all informs the design and conduct of modern oncology dose-finding trials, the designs themselves hardly attest to this. Yet in conducting a trial, investigators affirm that they…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-25 David C. Norris

There is a movement in design of experiments away from the classic randomization put forward by Fisher, Cochran and others to one based on optimization. In fixed-sample trials comparing two groups, measurements of subjects are known in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-22 Adam Kapelner , Abba M. Krieger , Uri Shalit , David Azriel

We study the problem of finding the optimal dosage in early stage clinical trials through the multi-armed bandit lens. We advocate the use of the Thompson Sampling principle, a flexible algorithm that can accommodate different types of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-09 Maryam Aziz , Emilie Kaufmann , Marie-Karelle Riviere

We consider the optimal design problem for identifying effective dose combinations within drug combination studies where the effect of the combination of two drugs is investigated. Drug combination studies are becoming increasingly…

Decision-making in personalized medicine such as cancer therapy or critical care must often make choices for dosage combinations, i.e., multiple continuous treatments. Existing work for this task has modeled the effect of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-30 Jonas Schweisthal , Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

Consider a setup in which a decision maker is informed about the population by a finite sample and based on that sample has to decide whether or not to apply a certain treatment. We work out finite sample minimax regret treatment rules…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-08 Patrik Guggenberger , Nihal Mehta , Nikita Pavlov

The literature on "mechanism design from samples," which has flourished in recent years at the interface of economics and computer science, offers a bridge between the classic computer-science approach of worst-case analysis (corresponding…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-07-03 Moshe Babaioff , Yannai A. Gonczarowski , Yishay Mansour , Shay Moran

An objective of phase I dose-finding trials is to find the maximum tolerated dose; the dose with a particular risk of toxicity. Frequently, this risk is assessed across the first cycle of therapy. However, in oncology, a course of treatment…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-03 Helen Barnett , Oliver Boix , Dimintris Kontos , Thomas Jaki

Consider an experiment, where a new drug is tested for the first time on human subjects - healthy volunteers. Such experiments are often performed as dose-escalation studies: a set of increasing doses is pre-selected, individuals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-17 Samuel Rosa , Radoslav Harman

We consider a dose-optimization design for first-in-human oncology trial that aims to identify a suitable dose for late-phase drug development. The proposed approach, called the Pharmacometrics-Enabled DOse OPtimization (PEDOOP) design,…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-19 Shijie Yuan , Zhanbo Huang , Jiaxin Liu , Yuan Ji

The principle of allocating an equal number of patients to each arm in a randomized controlled trial remains widely believed to be optimal for maximising statistical power. However, this long-held belief only holds true if the treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Lukas Pin , Stef Baas , David S. Robertson , Sofía S. Villar

Broadening eligibility criteria in cancer trials has been advocated to represent the true patient population more accurately. While the advantages are clear in terms of generalizability and recruitment, novel dose-finding designs are needed…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-12 Rebecca B. Silva , Bin Cheng , Richard D. Carvajal , Shing M. Lee

With the development of novel therapies such as molecularly targeted agents and immunotherapy, the maximum tolerated dose paradigm that "more is better" does not necessarily hold anymore. In this context, doses and schedules of novel…

Early phase, personalized dose-finding trials for combination therapies seek to identify patient-specific optimal biological dose (OBD) combinations, which are defined as safe dose combinations which maximize therapeutic benefit for a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-18 James Willard , Shirin Golchi , Erica EM Moodie

We consider the optimal strategy for laboratory testing of biological samples when we wish to know the results for each sample rather than the average prevalence of positive samples. If the proportion of positive samples is low considerable…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-07-29 Brian G. Williams