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Understanding infectious disease spread remains a critical public health challenge, particularly given the interplay between household dynamics and community transmission patterns. Traditional epidemiological models often oversimplify these…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Houda Yaqine , Christiane Fuchs

First principles modeling of physical systems has led to significant technological advances across all branches of science. For nonlinear systems, however, small modeling errors can lead to significant deviations from the true, measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-19 Kadierdan Kaheman , Eurika Kaiser , Benjamin Strom , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton

The SINDy algorithm has been successfully used to identify the governing equations of dynamical systems from time series data. However, SINDy assumes the user has prior knowledge of the variables in the system and of a function library that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Andrew O'Brien

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

In Part 1, we introduced a stochastic model of an infectious disease, based on the BDI (birth and death with immigration) process. We showed that random processes defined by this model can capture the essence of the stochastic, often…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Hisashi Kobayashi

The sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) is a regression framework for the discovery of parsimonious dynamic models and governing equations from time-series data. As with all system identification methods, noisy measurements…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-01 Kadierdan Kaheman , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

In this paper, we address the challenge of deriving dynamical models from sparse and noisy data. High-quality data is crucial for symbolic regression algorithms; limited and noisy data can present modeling challenges. To overcome this, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Junette Hsin , Shubhankar Agarwal , Adam Thorpe , Luis Sentis , David Fridovich-Keil

This study addresses the challenge of predicting network dynamics, such as forecasting disease spread in social networks or estimating species populations in predator-prey networks. Accurate predictions in large networks are difficult due…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Rui Luo

Predicting epidemic dynamics is of great value in understanding and controlling diffusion processes, such as infectious disease spread and information propagation. This task is intractable, especially when surveillance resources are very…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-04 Hongbin Pei , Bo Yang , Jiming Liu , Lei Dong

We develop data-driven dynamical models of the nonlinear aeroelastic effects on a long-span suspension bridge from sparse, noisy sensor measurements which monitor the bridge. Using the {\em sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics}…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2018-09-18 Shanwu Li , Eurika Kaiser , Shujin Laima , Hui Li , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Individual-based models of contagious processes are useful for predicting epidemic trajectories and informing intervention strategies. In such models, the incorporation of contact network information can capture the non-randomness and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-09 Maxwell H. Wang , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The spread of infectious diseases crucially depends on the pattern of contacts among individuals. Knowledge of these patterns is thus essential to inform models and computational efforts. Few empirical studies are however available that…

System identification, the process of deriving mathematical models of dynamical systems from observed input-output data, has undergone a paradigm shift with the advent of learning-based methods. Addressing the intricate challenges of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Arunabh Singh , Joyjit Mukherjee

There are economic and physical limitations when applying prevention and control strategies for urban vector borne diseases. Consequently, there are increasing concerns and interest in designing efficient strategies and regulations that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-12 Jorge Velázquez-Castro , Andrés Anzo-Hernández , Beatriz Bonilla-Capilla , Moisés Soto-Bajo , Andrés Fraguela-Collar

We address the problem of learning the dynamics of an unknown non-parametric system linking a target and a feature time series. The feature time series is measured on a sparse and irregular grid, while we have access to only a few points of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Linus Bleistein , Adeline Fermanian , Anne-Sophie Jannot , Agathe Guilloux

A physics-informed neural network (PINN) embedded with the susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model is devised to understand the temporal evolution dynamics of infectious diseases. Firstly, the effectiveness of this approach is demonstrated…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Horst Stoecker , Lingxiao Wang , Kai Zhou

Pattern-forming systems can exhibit a diverse array of complex behaviors as external parameters are varied, enabling a variety of useful functions in biological and engineered systems. First-principles derivations of the underlying…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-11-20 Zachary G. Nicolaou , Guanyu Huo , Yihui Chen , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

SINDy is a method for learning system of differential equations from data by solving a sparse linear regression optimization problem [Brunton et al., 2016]. In this article, we propose an extension of the SINDy method that learns systems of…

Memory has a great impact on the evolution of every process related to human societies. Among them, the evolution of an epidemic is directly related to the individuals' experiences. Indeed, any real epidemic process is clearly sustained by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-03-10 M. Saeedian , M. Khalighi , N. Azimi-Tafreshi , G. R. Jafari , M. Ausloos

Forced oscillations may jeopardize the secure operation of power systems. To mitigate forced oscillations, locating the sources is critical. In this paper, leveraging on Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy), an online purely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-13 Yaojie Cai , Xiaozhe Wang , Geza Joos , Innocent Kamwa