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This paper investigates biological models that represent the transition equation from a system in the past to a system in the future. It is shown that finite-time Lyapunov exponents calculated along a locally pullback attractive solution…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Jesús Dueñas , Iacopo P. Longo , Rafael Obaya

The importance of the Allee effect in studying extinction vulnerability is widely recognized by researchers, and neglecting it could adversely impact the management of threatened or exploited populations [1]. In this article, we examine a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-21 Rajesh Ranjan Patra , Sarit Maitra

A wide variety of physical systems ranging from the firing of neurons to eutrophication of lakes to the presence of Arctic summer sea ice exhibit a phenomenon known as tipping. In mathematical models, tipping can be caused by bifurcations,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-14 Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel , Alice Nadeau , Andrew Roberts , Andrew Steyer

We propose a stochastic logistic model with mate limitation and stochastic immigration. Incorporating stochastic immigration into a continuous time Markov chain model, we derive and analyze the associated master equation. By a standard…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Chuang Xu

An ecological system with multiple stable equilibria is prone to undergo catastrophic change or regime shift from one steady-state to another. It should be noted that, if one of the steady states is an extinction state, the catastrophic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-18 Anurag Sau , Sabyasachi Bhattacharya , Bapi Saha

We study the evolution in discrete time of certain age-structured populations, such as adults and juveniles, with a Ricker fitness function. We determine conditions for the convergence of orbits to the origin (extinction) in the presence of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-10 N. Lazaryan , H. Sedaghat

Tipping points associated with bifurcations (B-tipping) or induced by noise (N-tipping) are recognized mechanisms that may potentially lead to sudden climate change. We focus here a novel class of tipping points, where a sufficiently rapid…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Peter Ashwin , Sebastian Wieczorek , Renato Vitolo , Peter Cox

The strong Allee effect plays an important role on the evolution of population in ecological systems. One important concept is the Allee threshold that determines the persistence or extinction of the population in a long time. In general, a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-08-05 Fanze Kong , Juncheng Wei

In this article, we develop a predator-prey model with Allee effect and prey group defense. The model has three equilibrium points i.e. the trivial point, the predator extinction point, and the coexistence point. All equilibrium points are…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-18 Resmawan Resmawan , Agus Suryanto , Isnani Darti , Hasan S Panigoro

We propose an approximation for the probability of tipping when the speed of parameter change and additive white noise interact to cause tipping. Our approximation is valid for small to moderate drift speeds and helps to estimate the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-12-14 Paul Ritchie , Jan Sieber

Tipping points have been shown to be ubiquitous, both in models and empirically in a range of physical and biological systems. The question of how tipping points cascade through systems has been less well studied and is an important one. A…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Abhishek Mallela , Alan Hastings

We discuss tipping phenomena (critical transitions) in nonautonomous systems using an example of a bistable ecosystem model with environmental changes represented by time-varying parameters [Scheffer et al., Ecosystems, 11 (2008), pp.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Paul E. O'Keeffe , Sebastian Wieczorek

Many physical systems are forced by external inputs, which can sometimes take the form of chaotic variation. A particular example is found in applications related to weather and climate, where chaotic variation is prevalent across various…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-17 Courtney Quinn , Hassan Alkhayuon

We consider the rates of noise-induced switching between the stable states of dissipative dynamical systems with delay and also the rates of noise-induced extinction, where such systems model population dynamics. We study a class of systems…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-01-27 Ira B. Schwartz , Lora Billings , Thomas W. Carr , Mark Dykman

Rate-induced tipping (R-tipping) occurs when a ramp parameter changes rapidly enough to cause the system to tip between co-existing, attracting states, while noise-induced tipping (N-tipping) occurs when there are random transitions between…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-02 Katherine Slyman , Emmanuel Fleurantin , Christopher K. R. T. Jones

We consider the system of reaction-diffusion equations proposed in [8] as a population dynamics model. The first equation stands for the population density and models the ecological effects, namely dispersion and growth with a Allee effect…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-01-23 Matthieu Alfaro , Arnaud Ducrot

Diffusion-driven instability and bifurcation analysis are studied in a predator-prey model with herd behavior and quadratic mortality by incorporating multiple Allee effect into prey species. The existence and stability of the equilibria of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-17 Jianglong Xiao , Yonghui Xia

Many species see their range shifted poleward in response to global warming and need to keep pace in order to survive. To understand the effect of climate change on species ranges and its consequences on population dynamics, we consider a…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Juliette Bouhours , Thomas Giletti

We use interacting particle systems to investigate survival and extinction of a species with colonies located on each site of $\mathbb {Z}^d$. In each of the four models studied, an individual in a local population can reproduce, die or…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-15 Davide Borrello

The Allee effect is an important phenomenon in population biology characterized by positive density dependence, that is a positive correlation between population density and individual fitness. However, the effect is not well studied in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Rana D. Parshad , Emmanuel Quansah , Kelly Black , Nitu Kumari , Ranjit K. Upadhyay , S. K. Tiwari