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Standard causal inference characterizes treatment effect through averages, but the counterfactual distributions could be different in not only the central tendency but also spread and shape. To provide a comprehensive evaluation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-04 Steven G. Xu , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich

Reduced-rank regression recognises the possibility of a rank-deficient matrix of coefficients. We propose a novel Bayesian model for estimating the rank of the coefficient matrix, which obviates the need for post-processing steps and allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 Maria F. Pintado , Matteo Iacopini , Luca Rossini , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

Psychiatric and social epidemiology often involves assessing the effects of environmental exposure on outcomes that are difficult to measure directly. To address this problem, it is common to measure outcomes using a comprehensive battery…

When estimating population prevalence from a non-random sample, it is important to adjust for differences between sample and population. However, adjustment for multiple factors requires analysis that can be difficult to understand and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Swen Kuh , Lauren Kennedy , Qixuan Chen , Andrew Gelman

Wildland fire smoke exposures are an increasing threat to public health, and thus there is a growing need for studying the effects of protective behaviors on reducing health outcomes. Emerging smartphone applications provide unprecedented…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Lili Wu , Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich , Ana G. Rappold

Although Bayesian density estimation using discrete mixtures has good performance in modest dimensions, there is a lack of statistical and computational scalability to high-dimensional multivariate cases. To combat the curse of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Ye Wang , Antonio Canale , David Dunson

Joint modeling of longitudinal and survival data has become increasingly important in medical research, particularly for understanding disease progression in chronic conditions where both repeated biomarker measurements and time-to-event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Nithisha Suryadevara , Vivek Reddy Srigiri

Statistical models often require inputs that are not completely known. This can occur when inputs are measured with error, indirectly, or when they are predicted using another model. In environmental epidemiology, air pollution exposure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Konstantin Larin , Daniel R. Kowal

Motivated by analyzing a national data base of annual air pollution and cardiovascular disease mortality rate for 3100 counties in the U.S. (areal data), we develop a novel statistical framework to automatically detect spatially varying…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-19 Shuo Chen , Chengsheng Jiang , Lance Waller

Estimation of epidemiological and population parameters from molecular sequence data has become central to the understanding of infectious disease dynamics. Various models have been proposed to infer details of the dynamics that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-25 Alex Popinga , Tim Vaughan , Tanja Stadler , Alexei Drummond

Reliable mortality estimates at the subnational level are essential in the study of health inequalities within a country. One of the difficulties in producing such estimates is the presence of small populations, where the stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-12-05 Monica Alexander , Emilio Zagheni , Magali Barbieri

Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of reproductive age are important to understand the population at…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-16 Monica Alexander , Leontine Alkema

Substance use disorders (SUDs) are a serious public health concern in the United States. Alcohol and cannabis are two of the most widely used substances. For adolescent/youth users of alcohol or cannabis, we propose a joint Bayesian…

The rapid increase of smoking-related diseases and deaths globally is driving us to find an effective approach to reduce the smoking rate. This study aims to determine whether indoor smoking bans at workplaces can effectively reduce the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-02-25 Tianjiao He

Epidemics are inherently stochastic, and stochastic models provide an appropriate way to describe and analyse such phenomena. Given temporal incidence data consisting of, for example, the number of new infections or removals in a given time…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-24 Sam A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Colin S. Gillespie , Theodore Kypraios

Motivated by the increasing use of and rapid changes in array technologies, we consider the prediction problem of fitting a linear regression relating a continuous outcome $Y$ to a large number of covariates $\mathbf {X}$, for example,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-13 Philip S. Boonstra , Bhramar Mukherjee , Jeremy M. G. Taylor

The flexibility of the Bayesian approach to account for covariates with measurement error is combined with semiparametric regression models for a class of continuous, discrete and mixed univariate response distributions with potentially all…

Air pollution is a great concern because of its impact on human health and on the environment. Statistical models play an important role in improving knowledge of this complex spatio-temporal phenomenon and in supporting public agencies and…

Applications · Statistics 2015-03-17 Michela Cameletti , Rosaria Ignaccolo , Stefano Bande

Deterministic compartmental models are predominantly used in the modeling of infectious diseases, though stochastic models are considered more realistic, yet are complicated to estimate due to missing data. In this paper we present a novel…

Computation · Statistics 2022-06-22 Shuying Wang , Stephen G. Walker

Small area models are mixed effects regression models that link the small areas and borrow strength from similar domains. When the auxiliary variables used in the models are measured with error, small area estimators that ignore the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Serena Arima , Silvia Polettini