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A common problem when forecasting rare events, such as recessions, is limited data availability. Recent advancements in deep learning and generative adversarial networks (GANs) make it possible to produce high-fidelity synthetic data in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Sam Dannels

Traffic flow forecasting is a critical spatio-temporal data mining task with wide-ranging applications in intelligent route planning and dynamic traffic management. Recent advancements in deep learning, particularly through Graph Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Weiyang Kong , Kaiqi Wu , Sen Zhang , Yubao Liu

A critical aspect of power systems research is the availability of suitable data, access to which is limited by privacy concerns and the sensitive nature of energy infrastructure. This lack of data, in turn, hinders the development of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Minas Chatzos , Mathieu Tanneau , Pascal Van Hentenryck

In the realm of generative models for graphs, extensive research has been conducted. However, most existing methods struggle with large graphs due to the complexity of representing the entire joint distribution across all node pairs and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-15 Andreas Bergmeister , Karolis Martinkus , Nathanaël Perraudin , Roger Wattenhofer

Long-term forecasting of multivariate urban data poses a significant challenge due to the complex spatiotemporal dependencies inherent in such datasets. This paper presents DST, a novel multivariate time-series forecasting model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Amirhossein Sohrabbeig , Omid Ardakanian , Petr Musilek

Generative models for network time series (also known as dynamic graphs) have tremendous potential in fields such as epidemiology, biology and economics, where complex graph-based dynamics are core objects of study. Designing flexible and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Jase Clarkson , Mihai Cucuringu , Andrew Elliott , Gesine Reinert

Domain generalization aim to train models to effectively perform on samples that are unseen and outside of the distribution. Adversarial data augmentation (ADA) is a widely used technique in domain generalization. It enhances the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Byeong Tak Lee , Joon-myoung Kwon , Yong-Yeon Jo

Scalable spatial GPs for massive datasets can be built via sparse Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) where a small number of directed edges is sufficient to flexibly characterize spatial dependence. The DAG can be used to devise fast algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Michele Peruzzi , Sudipto Banerjee , David B. Dunson , Andrew O. Finley

In this paper, we explore the application of Gaussian Processes (GPs) for predicting mean-reverting time series with an underlying structure, using relatively unexplored functional and augmented data structures. While many conventional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Narayan Tondapu

We introduce a Gaussian process-based model for handling of non-stationarity. The warping is achieved non-parametrically, through imposing a prior on the relative change of distance between subsequent observation inputs. The model allows…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 David Tolpin

The usage of medical image data for the training of large-scale machine learning approaches is particularly challenging due to its scarce availability and the costly generation of data annotations, typically requiring the engagement of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Joshua Niemeijer , Jan Ehrhardt , Hristina Uzunova , Heinz Handels

In recent years, there has been a surge in the prevalence of high- and multi-dimensional temporal data across various scientific disciplines. These datasets are characterized by their vast size and challenging potential for analysis. Such…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Vanessa Freitas Silva , Maria Eduarda Silva , Pedro Ribeiro , Fernando Silva

Dealing with missing values and incomplete time series is a labor-intensive, tedious, inevitable task when handling data coming from real-world applications. Effective spatio-temporal representations would allow imputation methods to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Andrea Cini , Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi

Time-series data augmentation mitigates the issue of insufficient training data for deep learning models. Yet, existing augmentation methods are mainly designed for classification, where class labels can be preserved even if augmentation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Xiyuan Zhang , Ranak Roy Chowdhury , Jingbo Shang , Rajesh Gupta , Dezhi Hong

Forecasting univariate time series in the financial market is a challenging endeavor. While numerous statistical and machine learning models have been introduced to address this challenge, they typically concentrate solely on analyzing…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Marco Gregnanin , Johannes De Smedt , Giorgio Gnecco , Maurizio Parton

Graph neural networks (GNNs), especially dynamic GNNs, have become a research hotspot in spatio-temporal forecasting problems. While many dynamic graph construction methods have been developed, relatively few of them explore the causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Guojun Liang , Prayag Tiwari , Sławomir Nowaczyk , Stefan Byttner , Fernando Alonso-Fernandez

With the increasing demands of training graph neural networks (GNNs) on large-scale graphs, graph data condensation has emerged as a critical technique to relieve the storage and time costs during the training phase. It aims to condense the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Zhanyu Liu , Chaolv Zeng , Guanjie Zheng

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

Multivariate time series classification (MTSC) is an important data mining task, which can be effectively solved by popular deep learning technology. Unfortunately, the existing deep learning-based methods neglect the hidden dependencies in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Huaiyuan Liu , Xianzhang Liu , Donghua Yang , Zhiyu Liang , Hongzhi Wang , Yong Cui , Jun Gu

Reliable machine learning and statistical analysis rely on diverse, well-distributed training data. However, real-world datasets are often limited in size and exhibit underrepresentation across key subpopulations, leading to biased…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Xinyu Tian , Xiaotong Shen
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