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Energy-Based Models (EBMs) have proven to be a highly effective approach for modelling densities on finite-dimensional spaces. Their ability to incorporate domain-specific choices and constraints into the structure of the model through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-24 Jen Ning Lim , Sebastian Vollmer , Lorenz Wolf , Andrew Duncan

Gradient Boosting Machines (GBM) are among the go-to algorithms on tabular data, which produce state of the art results in many prediction tasks. Despite its popularity, the GBM framework suffers from a fundamental flaw in its base…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Afek Ilay Adler , Amichai Painsky

Tree ensembles, such as random forest and boosted trees, are renowned for their high prediction performance, whereas their interpretability is critically limited. In this paper, we propose a post processing method that improves the model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-20 Satoshi Hara , Kohei Hayashi

A crucial design decision for any robot learning pipeline is the choice of policy representation: what type of model should be used to generate the next set of robot actions? Owing to the inherent multi-modal nature of many robotic tasks,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Sumeet Singh , Stephen Tu , Vikas Sindhwani

The economic and banking importance of the small and medium enterprise (SME) sector is well recognized in contemporary society. Business credit loans are very important for the operation of SMEs, and the revenue is a key indicator of credit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Zebang Zhang , Kui Zhao , Kai Huang , Quanhui Jia , Yanming Fang , Quan Yu

Linear mixed models are widely used for clustered data, but their reliance on parametric forms limits flexibility in complex and high-dimensional settings. In contrast, gradient boosting methods achieve high predictive accuracy through…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Mitchell L. Prevett , Francis K. C. Hui , Zhi Yang Tho , A. H. Welsh , Anton H. Westveld

We present a unified probabilistic gradient boosting framework for regression tasks that models and predicts the entire conditional distribution of a univariate response variable as a function of covariates. Our likelihood-based approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-05 Alexander März , Thomas Kneib

How the brain performs credit assignment is a fundamental unsolved problem in neuroscience. Many `biologically plausible' algorithms have been proposed, which compute gradients that approximate those computed by backpropagation (BP), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-05 Beren Millidge , Yuhang Song , Tommaso Salvatori , Thomas Lukasiewicz , Rafal Bogacz

We propose a novel approach for using unsupervised boosting to create an ensemble of generative models, where models are trained in sequence to correct earlier mistakes. Our meta-algorithmic framework can leverage any existing base learner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

Previous research on EMA data of mental disorders was mainly focused on multivariate regression-based approaches modeling each individual separately. This paper goes a step further towards exploring the use of non-linear interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Mandani Ntekouli , Gerasimos Spanakis , Lourens Waldorp , Anne Roefs

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to assess prediction quality of a machine learning model. In the case of Extreme Learning Machines (ELM), most methods proposed in the literature make strong assumptions on the data, ignore the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Fabian Guignard , Federico Amato , Mikhail Kanevski

Score-based generative models can effectively learn the distribution of data by estimating the gradient of the distribution. Due to the multi-step denoising characteristic, researchers have recently considered combining score-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Changyuan Zhao , Hongyang Du , Guangyuan Liu , Dusit Niyato

Tree ensembles such as random forests (RFs) and gradient boosting machines (GBMs) are among the most widely used supervised learners, yet their theoretical properties remain incompletely understood. We adopt a spectral perspective on these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Binh Duc Vu , David S. Watson

In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-08 John C. Yannotty , Thomas J. Santner , Richard J. Furnstahl , Matthew T. Pratola

Intelligibility and accurate uncertainty estimation are crucial for reliable decision-making. In this paper, we propose EviNAM, an extension of evidential learning that integrates the interpretability of Neural Additive Models (NAMs) with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Sören Schleibaum , Anton Frederik Thielmann , Julian Teusch , Benjamin Säfken , Jörg P. Müller

Feature-importance methods show promise in transforming machine learning models from predictive engines into tools for scientific discovery. However, due to data sampling and algorithmic stochasticity, expressive models can be unstable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Joseph Paillard , Angel Reyero Lobo , Denis A. Engemann , Bertrand Thirion

Given functional data from a survival process with time-dependent covariates, we derive a smooth convex representation for its nonparametric log-likelihood functional and obtain its functional gradient. From this, we devise a generic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-07 Donald K. K. Lee , Ningyuan Chen , Hemant Ishwaran

Combining machine learning with econometric analysis is becoming increasingly prevalent in both research and practice. A common empirical strategy involves the application of predictive modeling techniques to 'mine' variables of interest…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-22 Mochen Yang , Edward McFowland , Gordon Burtch , Gediminas Adomavicius

Ensemble methods such as random forests have transformed the landscape of supervised learning, offering highly accurate prediction through the aggregation of multiple weak learners. However, despite their effectiveness, these methods often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Massimo Aria , Agostino Gnasso , Carmela Iorio , Marjolein Fokkema

This paper establishes a precise high-dimensional asymptotic theory for boosting on separable data, taking statistical and computational perspectives. We consider a high-dimensional setting where the number of features (weak learners) $p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Tengyuan Liang , Pragya Sur