Related papers: A new fine-scale Berry-Esseen-type Gumbel-limit th…

A consequence of de Finetti's representation theorem is that for every infinite sequence of exchangeable 0-1 random variables $(X_k)_{k\geq1}$, there exists a probability measure $\mu$ on the Borel sets of $[0,1]$ such that $\bar X_n =…

Recent advances in extreme value theory have established $\ell$-Pareto processes as the natural limits for extreme events defined in terms of exceedances of a risk functional. Here we provide methods for the practical modelling of data…

We give a new, self-contained proof of the multidimensional central limit theorem using the technique of ``doubling variables," which is traditionally used to prove uniqueness of solutions of partial differential equations (PDEs). Our…

We settle a conjecture by Bik and Marigliano stating that the degree of a one-dimensional discrete model with rational maximum likelihood estimator is bounded above by a linear function in the size of its support, therefore showing that…

We show that the probability that a multilinear polynomial $f$ of independent random variables exceeds its mean by $\lambda$ is at most $e^{-\lambda^2 / (R^q Var(f))}$ for sufficiently small $\lambda$, where $R$ is an absolute constant.…

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

Let $X_1,\ldots,X_n$ be independent identically distributed random vectors in $\mathbb{R}^d$. We consider upper bounds on $\max_x \mathbb{P}(a_1X_1+\cdots+a_nX_n=x)$ under various restrictions on $X_i$ and the weights $a_i$. When…

We obtain Berry-Esseen-type bounds for the sum of random variables with a dependency graph and uniformly bounded moments of order $\delta \in (2,\infty]$ using a Fourier transform approach. Our bounds improve the state-of-the-art in the…

We show that algebraic varieties with maximum likelihood degree one are exactly the images of reduced A-discriminantal varieties under monomial maps with finite fibers. The maximum likelihood estimator corresponding to such a variety is…

Given a sequence \xi_1, \xi_2,... of X-valued, exchangeable random elements, let q(\xi^(n)) and p_m(\xi^(n)) stand for posterior and predictive distribution, respectively, given \xi^(n) = (\xi_1,..., \xi_n). We provide an upper bound for…

We consider the Grenander estimator that is the maximum likelihood estimator for non-increasing densities. We prove uniform central limit theorems for certain subclasses of bounded variation functions and for H\"older balls of smoothness…

Consider an ergodic measure preserving dynamical system $(T,X,\mu)$, and an observable $\phi:X\to\mathbb{R}$. For the time series $X_n(x)=\phi(T^{n}(x))$, we establish limit laws for the maximum process $M_n=\max_{k\leq n}X_k$ in the case…

Consider a finite field $\mathbb{F}_q$ and positive integers $d,m,r$ with $1\leq r\leq \binom{m+d}{d}$. Let $S_d(m)$ be the $\mathbb{F}_q$ vector space of all homogeneous polynomials of degree $d$ in $X_0,\dots,X_m$. Let $e_r(d,m)$ be the…

Let \[Y_j=f_*(X_j)+\xi_j,\qquad j=1,...,n,\] where $X,X_1,...,X_n$ are i.i.d. random variables in a measurable space $(S,\mathcal{A})$ with distribution $\Pi$ and $\xi,\xi_1,... ,\xi_n$ are i.i.d. random variables with ${\mathbb{E}}\xi=0$…

Popular iterative algorithms such as boosting methods and coordinate descent on linear models converge to the maximum $\ell_1$-margin classifier, a.k.a. sparse hard-margin SVM, in high dimensional regimes where the data is linearly…

Let ${\mathcal D}(n)$ be the maximal determinant for $n \times n$ $\{\pm 1\}$-matrices, and $\mathcal R(n) = {\mathcal D}(n)/n^{n/2}$ be the ratio of ${\mathcal D}(n)$ to the Hadamard upper bound. Using the probabilistic method, we prove…

We prove a quantitative version of the bound on the smallest singular value of a Bernoulli covariance matrix (due to Bai and Yin). Then we use this bound, together with several recent developments, to show that the distance from a random…

If $x_1,\dots,x_m$ are finitely many points in $\mathbb{R}^d$, let $E_\epsilon=\cup_{i=1}^m\,x_i+Q_\epsilon$, where $Q_\epsilon=\{x\in \mathbb{R}^d,\,\,|x_i|\le \epsilon/2, \, i=1,...,d\}$ and let $\hat f$ denote the Fourier transform of…

We establish a strong law of large numbers and a central limit theorem in the Bures-Wasserstein space of covariance operators -- or equivalently centred Gaussian measures -- over a general separable Hilbert space. Specifically, we show that…

Consider a stationary, weakly dependent sequence of random variables. Given only mild conditions, allowing for polynomial decay of the autocovariance function, we show a Berry-Esseen bound of optimal order $n^{-1/2}$ for studentized…