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Methods to correct class imbalance, i.e. imbalance between the frequency of outcome events and non-events, are receiving increasing interest for developing prediction models. We examined the effect of imbalance correction on the performance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-21 Ruben van den Goorbergh , Maarten van Smeden , Dirk Timmerman , Ben Van Calster

This paper analyzes the possibilities of using the generalized ridge regression to mitigate multicollinearity in a multiple linear regression model. For this purpose, we obtain the expressions for the estimated variance, the coefficient of…

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for causal inference, and justify simple comparisons across treatment groups. Regression adjustment provides a convenient way to incorporate covariate information for additional efficiency. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Anqi Zhao , Peng Ding

The information flow-based quantitative causality analysis has been widely applied in different disciplines because of its origin from first principles, its concise form, and its computational efficiency. So far the algorithm for its…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-03-08 X. San Liang

Given a high-dimensional covariate matrix and a response vector, ridge-regularized sparse linear regression selects a subset of features that explains the relationship between covariates and the response in an interpretable manner. To…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Ryan Cory-Wright , Andrés Gómez

As deep learning inference is increasingly deployed in shared and cloud-based settings, a growing concern is input repurposing, in which data submitted for one task is reused by unauthorized models for another. Existing privacy defenses…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Zinan Guo , Zihan Wang , Chuan Yan , Liuhuo Wan , Ethan Ma , Guangdong Bai

Clinical prediction models are estimated using a sample of limited size from the target population, leading to uncertainty in predictions, even when the model is correctly specified. Generally, not all patient profiles are observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Doranne Thomassen , Saskia le Cessie , Hans van Houwelingen , Ewout Steyerberg

Inference and Estimation in Missing Information (MI) scenarios are important topics in Statistical Learning Theory and Machine Learning (ML). In ML literature, attempts have been made to enhance prediction through precise feature selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-26 Ahmadreza Moradipari , Sina Shahsavari , Ashkan Esmaeili , Farokh Marvasti

We revisit the theory of importance weighted variational inference (IWVI), a promising strategy for learning latent variable models. IWVI uses new variational bounds, known as Monte Carlo objectives (MCOs), obtained by replacing intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-27 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

Contemporary data assimilation often involves millions of prediction variables. The classical Kalman filter is no longer computationally feasible in such a high dimensional context. This problem can often be resolved by exploiting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Multiple imputation has become one of the standard methods in drawing inferences in many incomplete data applications. Applications of multiple imputation in relatively more complex settings, such as high-dimensional clustered data, require…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Qiushuang Li , Recai Yucel

With the violation of the assumption of homoskedasticity, least squares estimators of the variance become inefficient and statistical inference conducted with invalid standard errors leads to misleading rejection rates. Despite a vast…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-01 Annalivia Polselli

Model-based reinforcement learning is one approach to increase sample efficiency. However, the accuracy of the dynamics model and the resulting compounding error over modelled trajectories are commonly regarded as key limitations. A natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-08 Daniel Palenicek , Michael Lutter , Joao Carvalho , Jan Peters

When developing risk prediction models, shrinkage methods are recommended, especially when the sample size is limited. Several earlier studies have shown that the shrinkage of model coefficients can reduce overfitting of the prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-29 Ben Van Calster , Maarten van Smeden , Ewout W. Steyerberg

Every student in statistics or data science learns early on that when the sample size largely exceeds the number of variables, fitting a logistic model produces estimates that are approximately unbiased. Every student also learns that there…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-08 Pragya Sur , Emmanuel J. Candes

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) achieve ever-stronger performance on visual-language tasks. Even as traditional visual question answering (VQA) benchmarks approach saturation, reliable deployment requires satisfying low error…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Hector G. Rodriguez , Marcus Rohrbach

Many modern unsupervised or semi-supervised machine learning algorithms rely on Bayesian probabilistic models. These models are usually intractable and thus require approximate inference. Variational inference (VI) lets us approximate a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Cheng Zhang , Judith Butepage , Hedvig Kjellstrom , Stephan Mandt

We propose a novel distributional regression model for a multivariate response vector based on a copula process over the covariate space. It uses the implicit copula of a Gaussian multivariate regression, which we call a ``regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-06 Nadja Klein , Michael Stanley Smith , David Nott , Ryan Chisholm

Multi-collinearity is a wide-spread phenomenon in modern statistical applications and when ignored, can negatively impact model selection and statistical inference. Classic tools and measures that were developed for "$n>p$" data are not…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Wei Q. Deng , Radu V. Craiu , Lei Sun

In prediction tasks with multi-class outcomes, identifying covariates specifically associated with one or more outcome classes can be important. Conventional variable importance measures (VIMs) from random forests (RFs), like permutation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Roman Hornung , Alexander Hapfelmeier
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