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The statistical literature is known to be inconsistent in the use of the terms "permutation test" and "randomization test". Several authors succesfully argue that these terms should be used to refer to two distinct classes of tests and that…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-23 Jesse Hemerik , Jelle J. Goeman

In this paper, we propose an easy-to-implement residual-based specification testing procedure for detecting structural changes in factor models, which is powerful against both smooth and abrupt structural changes with unknown break dates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Bin Peng , Liangjun Su , Yayi Yan

This work presents the first statistical performance guarantees for group-invariant generative models. Many real data, such as images and molecules, are invariant to certain group symmetries, which can be taken advantage of to learn more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Ziyu Chen , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Wei Zhu

This paper introduces a flexible time-varying network vector autoregressive model framework for large-scale time series. A latent group structure is imposed on the heterogeneous and node-specific time-varying momentum and network spillover…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Bin Peng , Songqiao Tang , Weibiao Wu

We develop tools for selective inference in the setting of group sparsity, including the construction of confidence intervals and p-values for testing selected groups of variables. Our main technical result gives the precise distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-28 Fan Yang , Rina Foygel Barber , Prateek Jain , John Lafferty

We propose a novel resampling-based method to construct an asymptotically exact test for any subset of hypotheses on coefficients in high-dimensional linear regression. It can be embedded into any multiple testing procedure to make…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-26 Anna Vesely , Jelle J. Goeman , Livio Finos

For general repeated measures designs the Wald-type statistic (WTS) is an asymptotically valid procedure allowing for unequal covariance matrices and possibly non-normal multivariate observations. The drawback of this procedure is the poor…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-24 Sarah Friedrich , Edgar Brunner , Markus Pauly

Throughout the last decade, random forests have established themselves as among the most accurate and popular supervised learning methods. While their black-box nature has made their mathematical analysis difficult, recent work has…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Tim Coleman , Wei Peng , Lucas Mentch

Variable selection can be performed by testing conditional independence (CI) between each predictor and the response, given the other predictors. A doubly robust and powerful option for these CI tests is the projected covariance measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-10 Abhinav Chakraborty , Jeffrey Zhang , Eugene Katsevich

Generalized linear models usually assume a common dispersion parameter, an assumption that is seldom true in practice. Consequently, standard parametric methods may suffer appreciable loss of type I error control. As an alternative, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-16 Riccardo De Santis , Jelle J. Goeman , Jesse Hemerik , Samuel Davenport , Livio Finos

We propose a general new method, the conditional permutation test, for testing the conditional independence of variables $X$ and $Y$ given a potentially high-dimensional random vector $Z$ that may contain confounding factors. The proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-08 Thomas B. Berrett , Yi Wang , Rina Foygel Barber , Richard J. Samworth

In group testing, simple binary-output tests are designed to identify a small number $t$ of defective items that are present in a large population of $N$ items. Each test takes as input a group of items and produces a binary output…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-04-11 Alexander Barg , Arya Mazumdar

Considered here is a hypothesis test for the coefficients in the change-plane regression models to detect the existence of a change plane. The test that is considered is from the class of test problems in which some parameters are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Xu Liu , Jian Huang , Yong Zhou , Feipeng Zhang , Panpan Ren

Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-25 David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Dave Zachariah

The explicit incorporation of task-specific inductive biases through symmetry has emerged as a general design precept in the development of high-performance machine learning models. For example, group equivariant neural networks have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Mircea Petrache , Shubhendu Trivedi

We consider the problem of detecting the presence of a submatrix with larger-than-usual values in a large data matrix. This problem was considered in (Butucea and Ingster, 2013) under a one-parameter exponential family, and one of the test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Ery Arias-Castro , Yuchao Liu

Overparameterized models that achieve zero training error are observed to generalize well on average, but degrade in performance when faced with data that is under-represented in the training sample. In this work, we study an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-13 Kuo-Wei Lai , Vidya Muthukumar

When data analysts train a classifier and check if its accuracy is significantly different from chance, they are implicitly performing a two-sample test. We investigate the statistical properties of this flexible approach in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Ilmun Kim , Aaditya Ramdas , Aarti Singh , Larry Wasserman

Classification is a fundamental task in supervised learning, while achieving valid misclassification rate control remains challenging due to possibly the limited predictive capability of the classifiers or the intrinsic complexity of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yinrui Sun , Yin Xia

Standard training via empirical risk minimization (ERM) can produce models that achieve high accuracy on average but low accuracy on certain groups, especially in the presence of spurious correlations between the input and label. Prior…

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