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This paper explores the effects of simulated moments on the performance of inference methods based on moment inequalities. Commonly used confidence sets for parameters are level sets of criterion functions whose boundary points may depend…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-12 Hiroaki Kaido , Jiaxuan Li , Marc Rysman

We develop novel empirical Bernstein inequalities for the variance of bounded random variables. Our inequalities hold under constant conditional variance and mean, without further assumptions like independence or identical distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Aaditya Ramdas

Statistical inference of the high-dimensional regression coefficients is challenging because the uncertainty introduced by the model selection procedure is hard to account for. A critical question remains unsettled; that is, is it possible…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-06 Xiaorui Zhu , Yichen Qin , Peng Wang

The problem is in the estimation of the fraction of population with a sensitive characteristic. We consider the Item Count Technique an indirect method of questioning designed to protect respondents' privacy. The exact confidence interval…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-21 Stanislaw Jaworski , Wojciech Zielinski

We derive inferential procedures for large sample sizes that remain valid under data-dependent significance levels (so-called "post-hoc valid inference"). Classical statistical tools require that the significance level -- the "type-I error"…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Ben Chugg , Etienne Gauthier , Michael I. Jordan , Aaditya Ramdas , Ian Waudby-Smith

We consider a longitudinal data structure consisting of baseline covariates, time-varying treatment variables, intermediate time-dependent covariates, and a possibly time dependent outcome. Previous studies have shown that estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Linh Tran , Maya Petersen , Joshua Schwab , Mark J van der Laan

We derive the joint asymptotic distribution of empirical quantiles and expected shortfalls under general conditions on the distribution of the underlying observations. In particular, we do not assume that the distribution function is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Tobias Zwingmann , Hajo Holzmann

We suggest general methods to construct asymptotically uniformly valid confidence intervals post-model-selection. The constructions are based on principles recently proposed by Berk et al. (2013). In particular the candidate models used can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-15 François Bachoc , David Preinerstorfer , Lukas Steinberger

In this paper we study some asymptotic properties of the kernel conditional quantile estimator with randomly left-truncated data which exhibit some kind of dependence. We extend the result obtained by Lemdani, Ould-Sa\"id and Poulin [16] in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-08 Elias Ould-Saïd , Djabrane Yahia , Abdelhakim Necir

Existing conformal prediction algorithms estimate prediction intervals at target confidence levels to characterize the performance of a regression model on new test samples. However, considering an autonomous system consisting of multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Yunye Gong , Yi Yao , Xiao Lin , Ajay Divakaran , Melinda Gervasio

Given additional distributional information in the form of moment restrictions, kernel density and distribution function estimators with implied generalised empirical likelihood probabilities as weights achieve a reduction in variance due…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-08 Vitaliy Oryshchenko , Richard J. Smith

Walley's Imprecise Dirichlet Model (IDM) for categorical data overcomes several fundamental problems which other approaches to uncertainty suffer from. Yet, to be useful in practice, one needs efficient ways for computing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-16 Marcus Hutter

Grey-scale local algorithms have been suggested as a fast way of estimating surface area from grey-scale digital images. Their asymptotic mean has already been described. In this paper, the asymptotic behaviour of the variance is studied in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-24 Anne Marie Svane

This paper is concerned with estimation and inference for the location of a change point in the mean of independent high-dimensional data. Our change point location estimator maximizes a new U-statistic based objective function, and its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-12 Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

We introduce uncertainty regions to perform inference on partial correlations when data are missing not at random. These uncertainty regions are shown to have a desired asymptotic coverage. Their finite sample performance is illustrated via…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Tetiana Gorbach , Xavier de Luna

This paper shows how to carry out efficient asymptotic variance reduction when estimating volatility in the presence of stochastic volatility and microstructure noise with the realized kernels (RK) from [Barndorff-Nielsen et al., 2008] and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-28 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

Quantile regression is a powerful data analysis tool that accommodates heterogeneous covariate-response relationships. We find that by coupling the asymmetric Laplace working likelihood with appropriate shrinkage priors, we can deliver…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-02 Yuanzhi Li , Xuming He

Asymptotic solutions are derived for inhomogeneous differential equations having a large real or complex parameter and a simple turning point. They involve Scorer functions and three slowly varying analytic coefficient functions. The…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-03-02 T. M. Dunster

In the literature, quite a few measures have been proposed for quantifying the deviation of a probability distribution from symmetry. The most popular of these skewness measures are based on the third centralized moment and on quantiles.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Andreas Eberl , Bernhard Klar

Canay (2011)'s two-step estimator of quantile panel data models, due to its simple intuition and low computational cost, has been widely used in empirical studies in recent years. In this paper, we revisit the estimator of Canay (2011) and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-11-13 Liang Chen , Yulong Huo