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We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

If multiway cluster-robust standard errors are used routinely in applied economics, surprisingly few theoretical results justify this practice. This paper aims to fill this gap. We first prove, under nearly the same conditions as with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-06 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

Suppose that we are interested in the comparison of two independent categorical variables. Suppose also that the population is divided into subpopulations or groups. Notice that the distribution of the target variable may vary across…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-08 M. V. Alba-Fernández , M. D. Jiménez--Gamero , F. J. Ariza-López

Confidence intervals are a popular way to visualize and analyze data distributions. Unlike p-values, they can convey information both about statistical significance as well as effect size. However, very little work exists on applying…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-23 Jussi Korpela , Emilia Oikarinen , Kai Puolamäki , Antti Ukkonen

I propose a nonparametric iid bootstrap procedure for the empirical likelihood, the exponential tilting, and the exponentially tilted empirical likelihood estimators that achieves asymptotic refinements for t tests and confidence intervals,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Seojeong Lee

We study the empirical likelihood approach to construct confidence intervals for the optimal value and the optimality gap of a given solution, henceforth quantify the statistical uncertainty of sample average approximation, for optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Henry Lam , Enlu Zhou

Following White's approach of robust multiple linear regression, we give asymptotic confidence intervals for the multiple correlation coefficient R2 under minimal moment conditions. We also give the asymptotic joint distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 J Dedecker , Odelia Guedj , Marie-Luce Taupin

We show that confidence intervals in a variance component model, with asymptotically correct uniform coverage probability, can be obtained by inverting certain test-statistics based on the score for the restricted likelihood. The results…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Yiqiao Zhang , Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

Recent research has shown that interval estimators with good coverage properties are achievable for some functions of quantiles, even when sample sizes are not large. Motivated by this, we consider interval estimators for the ratios of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Maxwell Cairns , Luke A. Prendergast

We compare two recently proposed methods that combine ideas from conformal inference and quantile regression to produce locally adaptive and marginally valid prediction intervals under sample exchangeability (Romano et al., 2019;…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 Matteo Sesia , Emmanuel J. Candès

Corrected confidence intervals are developed for the mean of the second component of a bivariate normal process when the first component is being monitored sequentially. This is accomplished by constructing a first approximation to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. C. Weng , D. S. Coad

The variance of primes in short intervals relates to the Riemann Hypothesis, Montgomery's Pair Correlation Conjecture and the Hardy--Littlewood Conjecture. In regards to its asymptotics, very little is known unconditionally. We study the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-31 Ofir Gorodetsky

Consider the observation of n iid realizations of an experiment with d>1 possible outcomes, which corresponds to a single observation of a multinomial distribution M(n,p) where p is an unknown discrete distribution on {1,...,d}. In many…

Computation · Statistics 2010-06-15 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

Causal inference with observational studies often relies on the assumptions of unconfoundedness and overlap of covariate distributions in different treatment groups. The overlap assumption is violated when some units have propensity scores…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Shu Yang , Peng Ding

Confidence intervals based on the central limit theorem (CLT) are a cornerstone of classical statistics. Despite being only asymptotically valid, they are ubiquitous because they permit statistical inference under weak assumptions and can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-15 Ian Waudby-Smith , David Arbour , Ritwik Sinha , Edward H. Kennedy , Aaditya Ramdas

Popular measures of meta-analysis heterogeneity, such as $I^2$, cannot be considered measures of population heterogeneity since they are dependant on samples sizes within studies. The coefficient of variation (CV) recently introduced and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Maxwell Cairns , Luke Prendergast

We develop a collection of methods for adjusting the predictions of quantile regression to ensure coverage. Our methods are model agnostic and can be used to correct for high-dimensional overfitting bias with only minimal assumptions.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-10 Isaac Gibbs , John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

Estimating the mode of a unimodal distribution is a classical problem in statistics. Although there are several approaches for point-estimation of mode in the literature, very little has been explored about the interval-estimation of mode.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Manit Paul , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Semiparametric models are often considered for analyzing longitudinal data for a good balance between flexibility and parsimony. In this paper, we study a class of marginal partially linear quantile models with possibly varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-19 Huixia Judy Wang , Zhongyi Zhu , Jianhui Zhou

The paper presents a construction of a quantitative measure of variability for parameter estimates in the data fitting problem under interval uncertainty. It shows the degree of variability and ambiguity of the estimate, and the need for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Sergey P. Shary