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The entropic risk measure is widely used in high-stakes decision-making across economics, management science, finance, and safety-critical control systems because it captures tail risks associated with uncertain losses. However, when data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Utsav Sadana , Erick Delage , Angelos Georghiou

We consider the problem of extrapolating treatment effects across heterogeneous populations (``sites"/``contexts"). We consider an idealized scenario in which the researcher observes cross-sectional data for a large number of units across…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-03 Konrad Menzel

Nested case-control (NCC) is a sampling method widely used for developing and evaluating risk models with expensive biomarkers on large prospective cohort studies. The biomarker values are typically obtained on a sub-cohort, consisting of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Qian M. Zhou , Xuan Wang , Yingye Zheng , Tianxi Cai

Conditional power calculations are frequently used to guide the decision whether or not to stop a trial for futility or to modify planned sample size. These ignore the information in short-term endpoints and baseline covariates, and thereby…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-11 Kelly Van Lancker , An Vandebosch , Stijn Vansteelandt

Regression with distribution-valued responses and Euclidean predictors has gained increasing scientific relevance. While methodology for univariate distributional data has advanced rapidly in recent years, multivariate distributions, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Junyoung Park , Irina Gaynanova

The analysis of randomized controlled trials is often complicated by intercurrent events (IEs) -- events that occur after treatment initiation and affect either the interpretation or existence of outcome measurements. Examples include…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Sizhu Lu , Yanyao Yi , Yongming Qu , Huayu Karen Liu , Ting Ye , Peng Ding

Mutual Information (MI) is a crucial measure for capturing dependencies between variables, but exact computation is challenging in high dimensions with intractable likelihoods, impacting accuracy and robustness. One idea is to use an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-13 Forough Fazeliasl , Michael Minyi Zhang , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong

Externally controlled trials are crucial in clinical development when randomized controlled trials are unethical or impractical. These trials consist of a full treatment arm with the experimental treatment and a full external control arm.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Chenyin Gao , Xiang Zhang , Shu Yang

Network experiments are powerful tools for studying spillover effects, which avoid endogeneity by randomly assigning treatments to units over networks. However, it is non-trivial to analyze network experiments properly without imposing…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-09 Mengsi Gao , Peng Ding

Current status censoring or case I interval censoring takes place when subjects in a study are observed just once to check if a particular event has occurred. If the event is recurring, the data are classified as current count data; if…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Pavithra Hariharan , P. G. Sankaran

Background: Subgroup analyses are frequently conducted in randomized clinical trials to assess evidence of heterogeneous treatment effect across patient subpopulations. Although randomization balances covariates within subgroups in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Siyun Yang , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

Motivated by two case studies using primary care records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink, we describe statistical methods that facilitate the analysis of tall data, with very large numbers of observations. Our focus is on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-14 Kirsty Rhodes , Rebecca Turner , Rupert Payne , Ian White

To use historical controls for indirect comparison with single-arm trials, the population difference between data sources should be adjusted to reduce confounding bias. The adjustment is more difficult for time-to-event data with a cure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Jixian Wang , Hongtao Zhang , Ram Tiwari

We develop an empirical Bayes procedure for estimating the cell means in an unbalanced, two-way additive model with fixed effects. We employ a hierarchical model, which reflects exchangeability of the effects within treatment and within…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-30 Lawrence D. Brown , Gourab Mukherjee , Asaf Weinstein

In this paper, we propose a robust method to estimate the average treatment effects in observational studies when the number of potential confounders is possibly much greater than the sample size. We first use a class of penalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-21 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Kosuke Imai

In this paper, we present a model free approach to calculate long-acting insulin doses for Type 2 Diabetic (T2D) subjects in order to bring their blood glucose (BG) concentration to be within a safe range. The proposed strategy tunes the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-29 Mohamad Al Ahdab , Torben Knudsen , Jakob Stoustrup , John Leth

We consider a situation where the distribution of a random variable is being estimated by the empirical distribution of noisy measurements of that variable. This is common practice in, for example, teacher value-added models and other…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-08 Koen Jochmans , Martin Weidner

Utilizing non-concurrent control data (NCC) in the analysis of late-entering arms in platform trials has recently received considerable attention. While incorporating NCC can lead to increased power and lower sample sizes, it might…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-12 Pavla Krotka , Martin Posch , Mohamed Gewily , Günter Höglinger , Marta Bofill Roig

Case-control sampling is a commonly used retrospective sampling design to alleviate imbalanced structure of binary data. When fitting the logistic regression model with case-control data, although the slope parameter of the model can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-03 Hengchao Shi , Xinyi Liu , Ming Zheng , Wen Yu

Randomization tests are based on a re-randomization of existing data to gain data-dependent critical values that lead to exact hypothesis tests under special circumstances. However, it is not always possible to re-randomize data in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-20 Dennis Dobler