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Large language models are moving from static text generators toward real-world decision-support systems, where forecasting is a composite capability that links information gathering, evidence integration, situational judgment, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Yiding Ma , Chengyun Ruan , Kaibo Huang , Zhongliang Yang , Linna Zhou

Time series forecasting in real-world applications requires both high predictive accuracy and interpretable uncertainty quantification. Traditional point prediction methods often fail to capture the inherent uncertainty in time series data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Zhen Zhou , Zhirui Wang , Qi Hong , Yunyang Shi , Ziyuan Gu , Zhiyuan Liu

Addressing the disparity between forecasts and actual results can enable individuals to expand their thought processes and stimulate self-reflection, thus promoting accurate planning. In this research, we present **PreAct**, an agent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Dayuan Fu , Jianzhao Huang , Siyuan Lu , Guanting Dong , Yejie Wang , Keqing He , Weiran Xu

Traditional robot task planning methods face challenges when dealing with highly unstructured environments and complex tasks. We propose a task planning method that combines human expertise with an LLM and have designed an LLM prompt…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-09 Yue Zhen , Sheng Bi , Lu Xing-tong , Pan Wei-qin , Shi Hai-peng , Chen Zi-rui , Fang Yi-shu

Future event prediction (FEP) is a long-standing and crucial task in the world, as understanding the evolution of events enables early risk identification, informed decision-making, and strategic planning. Existing work typically treats…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-15 Yong Guan , Hao Peng , Xiaozhi Wang , Lei Hou , Juanzi Li

Modern high-stakes systems, such as healthcare or robotics, often generate vast streaming event sequences. Our goal is to design an efficient, plug-and-play tool to elicit logic tree-based explanations from Large Language Models (LLMs) to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Zitao Song , Chao Yang , Chaojie Wang , Bo An , Shuang Li

Our work aims at studying tools offered to learners and tutors involved in face-to-face or blended project-based learning activities. To understand better the needs and expectations of each actor, we are especially interested in the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2009-11-03 Christine Michel , Elise Garrot-Lavoué

Anticipating supply chain disruptions before they materialize is a core challenge for firms and policymakers alike. A key difficulty is learning to reason reliably about infrequent, high-impact events from noisy and unstructured inputs - a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Benjamin Turtel , Paul Wilczewski , Kris Skotheim

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making across many real-world applications. Despite substantial progress, most existing methods still treat forecasting as a static, single-pass regression problem. In contrast, human…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Xiaohan Zhang , Tian Gao , Mingyue Cheng , Bokai Pan , Ze Guo , Yaguo Liu , Xiaoyu Tao , Qi Liu

Analyzing ideological discourse even in the age of LLMs remains a challenge, as these models often struggle to capture the key elements that shape real-world narratives. Specifically, LLMs fail to focus on characteristic elements driving…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Nishanth Nakshatri , Nikhil Mehta , Siyi Liu , Sihao Chen , Daniel J. Hopkins , Dan Roth , Dan Goldwasser

Time series forecasting is not just numerical extrapolation, but often requires reasoning with unstructured contextual data such as news or events. While specialized Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at forecasting based on…

The autonomous driving industry is increasingly adopting end-to-end learning from sensory inputs to minimize human biases in system design. Traditional end-to-end driving models, however, suffer from long-tail events due to rare or unseen…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Ran Tian , Boyi Li , Xinshuo Weng , Yuxiao Chen , Edward Schmerling , Yue Wang , Boris Ivanovic , Marco Pavone

We introduce TFRBench, the first benchmark designed to evaluate the reasoning capabilities of forecasting systems. Traditionally, time-series forecasting has been evaluated solely on numerical accuracy, treating foundation models as ``black…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Md Atik Ahamed , Mihir Parmar , Palash Goyal , Yiwen Song , Long T. Le , Qiang Cheng , Chun-Liang Li , Hamid Palangi , Jinsung Yoon , Tomas Pfister

This paper introduces the Emirates Multi-Task (EMT) dataset, designed to support multi-task benchmarking within a unified framework. It comprises over 30,000 frames from a dash-camera perspective and 570,000 annotated bounding boxes,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Nadya Abdel Madjid , Murad Mebrahtu , Abdulrahman Ahmad , Abdelmoamen Nasser , Bilal Hassan , Naoufel Werghi , Jorge Dias , Majid Khonji

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as intelligent agents that reason, plan, and interact with their environments. To effectively scale to long-horizon scenarios, a key capability for such agents is a memory mechanism…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Yuyang Hu , Jiongnan Liu , Jiejun Tan , Yutao Zhu , Zhicheng Dou

Predicting wildfire risk is a reasoning-intensive spatial problem that requires the integration of visual, climatic, and geographic factors to infer continuous risk maps. Existing methods lack the causal reasoning and multimodal…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Mario Markov , Stefan Maria Ailuro , Luc Van Gool , Konrad Schindler , Danda Pani Paudel

Demand forecasting is a cornerstone of e-commerce operations, directly impacting inventory planning and fulfillment scheduling. However, existing forecasting systems often fail during high-impact periods such as flash sales, holiday…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Congcong Hu , Yuang Shi , Fan Huang , Yang Xiang , Zhou Ye , Ming Jin , Shiyu Wang

Most existing time-to-event methods focus on either single-event or competing-risks settings, leaving multi-event scenarios relatively underexplored. In many healthcare applications, for example, a patient may experience multiple clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Christian Marius Lillelund , Ali Hossein Gharari Foomani , Weijie Sun , Shi-ang Qi , Russell Greiner

Event relations are crucial for narrative understanding and reasoning. Governed by nuanced logic, event relation extraction (ERE) is a challenging task that demands thorough semantic understanding and rigorous logical reasoning. In this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Meiqi Chen , Yubo Ma , Kaitao Song , Yixin Cao , Yan Zhang , Dongsheng Li

Event reasoning is a fundamental ability that underlies many applications. It requires event schema knowledge to perform global reasoning and needs to deal with the diversity of the inter-event relations and the reasoning paradigms. How…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Zhengwei Tao , Zhi Jin , Yifan Zhang , Xiancai Chen , Haiyan Zhao , Jia Li , Bing Liang , Chongyang Tao , Qun Liu , Kam-Fai Wong