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The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

We consider the problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a random signal observed through unknown translations (modeled by cyclic shifts) and corrupted by noise. Solving this problem allows to discover low-rank structures masked by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Boris Landa , Yoel Shkolnisky

In modern data analysis, it is common to select a model before performing statistical inference. Selective inference tools make adjustments for the model selection process in order to ensure reliable inference post selection. In this paper,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Yumeng Wang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Xuming He

This paper develops a new statistical inference theory for the precision matrix of high-frequency data in a high-dimensional setting. The focus is not only on point estimation but also on interval estimation and hypothesis testing for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-20 Yuta Koike

This paper studies the inference of the regression coefficient matrix under multivariate response linear regressions in the presence of hidden variables. A novel procedure for constructing confidence intervals of entries of the coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 Xin Bing , Wei Cheng , Huijie Feng , Yang Ning

We show how pre-averaging can be applied to the problem of measuring the ex-post covariance of financial asset returns under microstructure noise and non-synchronous trading. A pre-averaged realised covariance is proposed, and we present an…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Kim Christensen , Silja Kinnebrock , Mark Podolskij

Dynamic factor models are often estimated by point-estimation methods, disregarding parameter uncertainty. We propose a method accounting for parameter uncertainty by means of posterior approximation, using variational inference. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-14 Erik Spånberg

We propose a general framework for nonasymptotic covariance matrix estimation making use of concentration inequality-based confidence sets. We specify this framework for the estimation of large sparse covariance matrices through…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-17 Adam B Kashlak , Linglong Kong

Big data is ubiquitous in practices, and it has also led to heavy computation burden. To reduce the calculation cost and ensure the effectiveness of parameter estimators, an optimal subset sampling method is proposed to estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-16 Haohui Han , Liya Fu

This paper presents the nonparametric inference for nonlinear volatility functionals of general multivariate It\^o semimartingales, in high-frequency and noisy setting. Pre-averaging and truncation enable simultaneous handling of noise and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Richard Y. Chen

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

This paper considers the estimation and inference of the low-rank components in high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models, where each dimension of the matrix-variates ($p \times q$) is comparable to or greater than the number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-20 Elynn Y. Chen , Jianqing Fan

We propose a new estimator for the spot covariance matrix of a multi-dimensional continuous semi-martingale log asset price process which is subject to noise and non-synchronous observations. The estimator is constructed based on a local…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Peter Malec , Markus Reiß

A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Ivan Kojadinovic , Kristina Stemikovskaya

This paper introduces an econometric framework for analyzing cross-sectional dependence in the idiosyncratic volatilities of assets using high frequency data. We first consider the estimation of standard measures of dependence in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Ilze Kalnina , Kokouvi Tewou

This paper develops an inferential theory for high-dimensional matrix-variate factor models with missing observations. We propose an easy-to-use all-purpose method that involves two straightforward steps. First, we perform principal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-26 Yongxia Zhang , Jinwen Liang , Liwen Xu , Keming Yu , Maozai Tian

Portfolio allocation with gross-exposure constraint is an effective method to increase the efficiency and stability of selected portfolios among a vast pool of assets, as demonstrated in Fan et al (2008). The required high-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-29 Jianqing Fan , Yingying Li , Ke Yu

In practice, observations are often contaminated by noise, making the resulting sample covariance matrix to be an information-plus-noise-type covariance matrix. Aiming to make inferences about the spectra of the underlying true covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-25 Ningning Xia , Xinghua Zheng

The analysis of the intraday dynamics of correlations among high-frequency returns is challenging due to the presence of asynchronous trading and market microstructure noise. Both effects may lead to significant data reduction and may…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-06 Giuseppe Buccheri , Giacomo Bormetti , Fulvio Corsi , Fabrizio Lillo

This paper studies the problem of estimating the covariance of a collection of vectors using only highly compressed measurements of each vector. An estimator based on back-projections of these compressive samples is proposed and analyzed. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Martin Azizyan , Akshay Krishnamurthy , Aarti Singh