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Related papers: Taming the Heavy Tail: Age-Optimal Preemption

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This paper considers the problem of minimizing the time average of a controlled stochastic process subject to multiple time average constraints on other related processes. The probability distribution of the random events in the system is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-20 Xiaohan Wei , Hao Yu , Michael J. Neely

We study the problem of optimizing the decisions of a preemptively capable transmitter to minimize the Age of Incorrect Information (AoII) when the communication channel has a random delay. We consider a slotted-time system where a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Yutao Chen , Anthony Ephremides

Markov automata combine non-determinism, probabilistic branching, and exponentially distributed delays. This compositional variant of continuous-time Markov decision processes is used in reliability engineering, performance evaluation and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Tim Quatmann , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

This paper considers optimal control of dynamical systems which are represented by nonlinear stochastic differential equations. It is well-known that the optimal control policy for this problem can be obtained as a function of a value…

Robotics · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Oktay Arslan , Evangelos Theodorou , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Uncertainty in perception, actuation, and the environment often require multiple attempts for a robotic task to be successful. We study a class of problems providing (1) low-entropy indicators of terminal success / failure, and (2)…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-27 James Watson , Nikolaus Correll

Thompson Sampling provides an efficient technique to introduce prior knowledge in the multi-armed bandit problem, along with providing remarkable empirical performance. In this paper, we revisit the Thompson Sampling algorithm under rewards…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Abhimanyu Dubey , Alex Pentland

A phase-type distribution is the distribution of the time until absorption in a finite state-space time-homogeneous Markov jump process, with one absorbing state and the rest being transient. These distributions are mathematically tractable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-08 Martin Bladt , Jorge Yslas

In this paper, we consider a class of continuous-time, continuous-space stochastic optimal control problems. Building upon recent advances in Markov chain approximation methods and sampling-based algorithms for deterministic path planning,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2012-02-27 Vu Anh Huynh , Sertac Karaman , Emilio Frazzoli

Inventory and queueing systems are often designed by controlling weighted combination of some time-averaged performance metrics (like cumulative holding, shortage, server-utilization or congestion costs); but real-world constraints, like…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Madhu Dhiman , Veeraruna Kavitha , Nandyala Hemachandra

We consider the problem of controlling a Markov decision process (MDP) with a large state space, so as to minimize average cost. Since it is intractable to compete with the optimal policy for large scale problems, we pursue the more modest…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-28 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Peter L. Bartlett , Alan Malek

Recent works in Learning-Based Model Predictive Control of dynamical systems show impressive sample complexity performances using criteria from Information Theory to accelerate the learning procedure. However, the sequential exploration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Rémy Hosseinkhan-Boucher , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin

Motivated by applications in computing and telecommunication systems, we investigate the problem of estimating p-quantile of steady-state sojourn times in a single-server multi-class queueing system with non-preemptive priorities for p…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Jin Guang , Guiyu Hong , Xinyun Chen , Xi Peng , Li Chen , Bo Bai , Gong Zhang

In this paper, we consider a class of stochastic optimal control problems with risk constraints that are expressed as bounded probabilities of failure for particular initial states. We present here a martingale approach that diffuses a risk…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-07-09 Vu Anh Huynh , Leonid Kogan , Emilio Frazzoli

Insurance data can be asymmetric with heavy tails, causing inadequate adjustments of the usually applied models. To deal with this issue, hierarchical models for collective risk with heavy-tails of the claims distributions that take also…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Pamela M. Chiroque-Solano , Fernando A. S. Moura

We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Marco Bee , Flavio Santi

Motivated by the study of the time evolution of random dynamical systems arising in a vast variety of domains --- ranging from physics to ecology ---, we establish conditions for the occurrence of a non-trivial asymptotic behaviour for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Vladimir Belitsky , Mikhail Menshikov , Dimitri Petritis , Marina Vachkovskaia

Traffic congestion has lead to an increasing emphasis on management measures for a more efficient utilization of existing infrastructure. In this context, this paper proposes a novel framework that integrates real-time optimization of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Samarth Gupta , Ravi Seshadri , Bilge Atasoy , A. Arun Prakash , Francisco Pereira , Gary Tan , Moshe Ben-Akiva

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We study the asymptotic response time tail in the M/G/n multi-server queue with heavy-tailed (regularly varying) job sizes, a setting representative of modern computing workloads. For single-server systems, tail optimization is well…

Performance · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Zhouzi Li , Mor Harchol-Balter , Alan Scheller-Wolf