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This article presents a rigorous analysis for efficient statistically accurate algorithms for solving the Fokker-Planck equations associated with high-dimensional nonlinear turbulent dynamical systems with conditional Gaussian structures.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-19 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Bayesian estimation is a vital tool in robotics as it allows systems to update the robot state belief using incomplete information from noisy sensors. To render the state estimation problem tractable, many systems assume that the motion and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Miguel Saavedra-Ruiz , Steven A. Parkison , Ria Arora , James Richard Forbes , Liam Paull

We present a quantum algorithm based on repeated measurement to solve initial-value problems for nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), which may be generated from partial differential equations in plasma physics. We map a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 Joseph Andress , Alexander Engel , Yuan Shi , Scott Parker

Gaussian state space models have been used for decades as generative models of sequential data. They admit an intuitive probabilistic interpretation, have a simple functional form, and enjoy widespread adoption. We introduce a unified…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-06 Rahul G. Krishnan , Uri Shalit , David Sontag

State estimation remains a fundamental challenge across numerous domains, from autonomous driving, aircraft tracking to quantum system control. Although Bayesian filtering has been the cornerstone solution, its classical model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Yangguang He , Wenhao Li , Minzhe Li , Juan Zhang , Xiangfeng Wang , Bo Jin

We implement a wireless indoor navigation system based on the variational Gaussian process state-space model (GPSSM) with smartphone-collected WiFi received signal strength (RSS) and inertial measurement unit (IMU) readings. We adapt the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-19 Ang Xie , Feng Yin , Bo Ai , Shuguang Cui

This paper proposes a novel low-rank approximation to the multivariate State-Space Model. The Stochastic Partial Differential Equation (SPDE) approach is applied component-wise to the independent-in-time Mat\'ern Gaussian innovation term in…

This paper focuses on developing a method to obtain an uncertain linear fractional transformation (LFT) system that adequately captures the dynamics of a nonlinear time-invariant system over some desired envelope. First, the nonlinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-02 Sourav Sinha , Devaprakash Muniraj , Mazen Farhood

This paper introduces a systematic approach to synthesize linear parameter-varying (LPV) representations of nonlinear (NL) systems which are described by input affine state-space (SS) representations. The conversion approach results in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-29 Hossam S. Abbas , Roland Tóth , Mihály Petreczky , Nader Meskin , Javad Mohammadpour Velni , Patrick J. W. Koelewijn

The Linear Inverse Model (LIM) is a class of data-driven methods that construct approximate linear stochastic models to represent complex observational data. The stochastic forcing can be modeled using either Gaussian white noise or…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Justin Lien , Hiroyasu Ando

This short note gives a new framework for dealing with nonlinear sampled-data systems. We introduce a new idea of lifting, which is well known for linear systems, but not successfully generalized to nonlinear systems. This paper introduces…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-17 Yutaka Yamamoto , Kaoru Yamamoto

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu

We introduce a new sequential methodology to calibrate the fixed parameters and track the stochastic dynamical variables of a state-space system. The proposed method is based on the nested hybrid filtering (NHF) framework of [1], that…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-24 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Joaquín Míguez

Motivated by the maneuvering target tracking with sensors such as radar and sonar, this paper considers the joint and recursive estimation of the dynamic state and the time-varying process noise covariance in nonlinear state space models.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-09 Hua Lan , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Qiang Cheng

We compute probabilistic controlled invariant sets for nonlinear systems using Gaussian process state space models, which are data-driven models that account for unmodeled and unknown nonlinear dynamics. We propose a semidefinite…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Paul Griffioen , Bingzhuo Zhong , Murat Arcak , Majid Zamani , Marco Caccamo

We demonstrate that backward stochastic differential equations (BSDE) may be reformulated as ordinary functional differential equations on certain path spaces. In this framework, neither It\^{o}'s integrals nor martingale representation…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-20 Gechun Liang , Terry Lyons , Zhongmin Qian

Structural equation models (SEMs) are commonly used to study the structural relationship between observed variables and latent constructs. Recently, Bayesian fitting procedures for SEMs have received more attention thanks to their potential…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-12 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini , Francis K. C. Hui

We tackle the problem of system identification, where we select inputs, observe the corresponding outputs from the true system, and optimize the parameters of our model to best fit the data. We propose a practical and computationally…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-02 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez