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The paper addresses state estimation for discrete-time systems with binary (threshold) measurements by following a Maximum A posteriori Probability (MAP) approach and exploiting a Moving Horizon (MH) approximation of the MAP cost-function.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-09 Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Nicola Forti , Stefano Gherardini

In order to rigorously define maximum-a-posteriori estimators for nonparametric Bayesian inverse problems for general Banach space valued parameters, we derive and prove certain previously postulated but unproven bounds on small ball…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Philipp Wacker

We have recently introduced an any-space algorithm for exact inference in Bayesian networks, called Recursive Conditioning, RC, which allows one to trade space with time at increments of X-bytes, where X is the number of bytes needed to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Adnan Darwiche

We study the inverse problem of estimating a field $u$ from data comprising a finite set of nonlinear functionals of $u$, subject to additive noise; we denote this observed data by $y$. Our interest is in the reconstruction of piecewise…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Matthew M. Dunlop , Andrew M. Stuart

Model counting of Disjunctive Normal Form (DNF) formulas is a critical problem in applications such as probabilistic inference and network reliability. For example, it is often used for query evaluation in probabilistic databases. Due to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Paul Burkhardt , David G. Harris , Kevin T Schmitt

We describe a general approach for maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference in a class of discrete-continuous factor graphs commonly encountered in robotics applications. While there are openly available tools providing flexible and easy-to-use…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Kevin J. Doherty , Ziqi Lu , Kurran Singh , John J. Leonard

We present a theoretical analysis of Maximum a Posteriori (MAP) sequence estimation for binary symmetric hidden Markov processes. We reduce the MAP estimation to the energy minimization of an appropriately defined Ising spin model, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-06-11 Armen Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan

We present a probabilistic model with discrete latent variables that control the computation time in deep learning models such as ResNets and LSTMs. A prior on the latent variables expresses the preference for faster computation. The amount…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-04 Michael Figurnov , Artem Sobolev , Dmitry Vetrov

Given that machine learning algorithms are increasingly being deployed to aid in high stakes decision-making, uncertainty quantification methods that wrap around these black box models such as conformal prediction have received much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-09 Kayla E. Scharfstein , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) estimation is the main Bayesian estimation methodology in imaging sciences, where high dimensionality is often addressed by using Bayesian models that are log-concave and whose posterior mode can be computed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-21 Marcelo Pereyra

In this paper we describe how MAP inference can be used to sample efficiently from Gibbs distributions. Specifically, we provide means for drawing either approximate or unbiased samples from Gibbs' distributions by introducing low…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-10-01 Tamir Hazan , Subhransu Maji , Tommi Jaakkola

Prediction sets capture uncertainty by predicting sets of labels rather than individual labels, enabling downstream decisions to conservatively account for all plausible outcomes. Conformal inference algorithms construct prediction sets…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-20 Wenwen Si , Sangdon Park , Insup Lee , Edgar Dobriban , Osbert Bastani

The maximum likelihood (ML) and maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimation techniques are widely used to address the direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation problems, an important topic in sensor array processing. Conventionally the ML estimators…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-31 Xin Zhang , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Marius Pesavento

This study presents a Bayesian maximum \textit{a~posteriori} (MAP) framework for dynamical system identification from time-series data. This is shown to be equivalent to a generalized Tikhonov regularization, providing a rational…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-29 Robert K. Niven , Laurent Cordier , Ali Mohammad-Djafari , Markus Abel , Markus Quade

The Bayesian formulation of inverse problems is attractive for three primary reasons: it provides a clear modelling framework; means for uncertainty quantification; and it allows for principled learning of hyperparameters. The posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Matthew M. Dunlop , Tapio Helin , Andrew M. Stuart

We introduce a novel technique for verification and model synthesis of sequential programs. Our technique is based on learning a regular model of the set of feasible paths in a program, and testing whether this model contains an incorrect…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-11-04 Yu-Fang Chen , Chiao Hsieh , Ondřej Lengál , Tsung-Ju Lii , Ming-Hsien Tsai , Bow-Yaw Wang , Farn Wang

In the optimization of dynamic systems, the variables typically have constraints. Such problems can be modeled as a Constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP). This paper considers the peak Constrained Markov Decision Process (PCMDP), where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-15 Qinbo Bai , Vaneet Aggarwal , Ather Gattami

We consider the problem of sampling from a posterior distribution arising in Bayesian inverse problems in science, engineering, and imaging. Our method belongs to the family of independence Metropolis-Hastings (IMH) sampling algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Youguang Chen , George Biros

This paper presents an approach for learning vision-based planners that provably generalize to novel environments (i.e., environments unseen during training). We leverage the Probably Approximately Correct (PAC)-Bayes framework to obtain an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Sushant Veer , Anirudha Majumdar

We consider the inverse problem of estimating an unknown function $u$ from noisy measurements $y$ of a known, possibly nonlinear, map $\mathcal{G}$ applied to $u$. We adopt a Bayesian approach to the problem and work in a setting where the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Masoumeh Dashti , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss
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