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We consider determining change points in a time series of age-specific mortality and fertility curves observed over time. We propose two detection methods for identifying these change points. The first method uses a functional cumulative…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-04 Han Lin Shang

Mortality rates are often disaggregated by different attributes, such as sex, state, education, religion or ethnicity. Forecasting mortality rates at the national and sub-national levels plays an important role in making social policies…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-01 Han Lin Shang

Mortality patterns at a subnational level or across subpopulations are often used to examine the health of a population. In small populations, however, death counts are erratic. To deal with this problem, demographers have proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Esther Denecke , Pavel Grigoriev , Roland Rau

The weather phenomenon of frost poses great threats to agriculture. As recent frost prediction methods are based on on-site historical data and sensors, extra development and deployment time are required for data collection in any new site.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Ian Zhou , Justin Lipman , Mehran Abolhasan , Negin Shariati

The combination of several socio-economic data bases originating from different administrative sources collected on several different partitions of a geographic zone of interest into administrative units induces the so called areal…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-30 Van Huyen Do , Christine Thomas-Agnan , Anne Vanhems

In recent years, improvements in all-cause mortality rates and life expectancies for males and females in England and Wales have slowed down. In this paper, cause-specific mortality data for England and Wales from 2001 to 2018 are used to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-25 Alexander M. T. L. Yiu , Torsten Kleinow , George Streftaris

One way to investigate the precision of estimates likely to result from planned experiments and planned epidemiological studies is to simulate a large number of possible outcomes and analyse the sets of possible results. This appears to be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-28 G. K. Robinson , L. M. Ryan

We propose a new approach to identifying geographical clustering and hotspots of inequality from decadal census data. We use diffusion mapping to study the 181,408 Output Areas in England and Wales, which allows us to decompose the feature…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-02-20 Gezhi Xiu , Huanfa Chen

This paper presents a statistical analysis of structural changes in the Central England temperature series, one of the longest surface temperature records available. A changepoint analysis is performed to detect abrupt changes, which can be…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-19 Xueheng Shi , Claudie Beaulieu , Rebecca Killick , Robert Lund

Change-point detection methods are proposed for the case of temporary failures, or transient changes, when an unexpected disorder is ultimately followed by a readjustment and return to the initial state. A base distribution of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Baron Michael , Malov Sergey

Local authorities in England, such as Leicestershire County Council (LCC), provide Early Help services that can be offered at any point in a young person's life when they experience difficulties that cannot be supported by universal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Eufrásio de A. Lima Neto , Jonathan Bailiss , Axel Finke , Jo Miller , Georgina Cosma

There is an increasing interest in using image-generating diffusion models for deep data augmentation and image morphing. In this context, it is useful to interpolate between latents produced by inverting a set of input images, in order to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Erik Landolsi , Fredrik Kahl

When modeling sub-national mortality rates, it is important to incorporate any possible correlation among sub-populations to improve forecast accuracy. Moreover, forecasts at the sub-national level should aggregate consistently across the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-17 Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang

This manuscript proposes a significant step in our long-run investigation of infant mortality across species. Since 2016 (Berrut et al. 2016) a succession of studies (Bois et al. 2019) have traced infant mortality from organisms of high…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2021-03-26 Eduardo M. Garcia-Roger , Peter Richmond , Bertrand M. Roehner

Rare diseases such as inborn errors of immunity (IEI) require early diagnosis to prevent end organ damage and improve quality of life. Hurdles in accessing and curating large scale electronic health record (EHR) data limit routine data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Nishad Kulkarni , Alexandra K. Martinson , Nicholas L. Rider , Michael Keller , Syed Muhammad Anwar

Although traditional literature on mortality modeling has focused on single countries in isolation, recent contributions have progressively moved toward joint models for multiple countries. Besides favoring borrowing of information to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-08 Giovanni Romanò , Emanuele Aliverti , Daniele Durante

Existing datasets available to address crucial problems, such as child mortality and family planning discontinuation in developing countries, are not ample for data-driven approaches. This is partly due to disjoint data collection efforts…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-01 Girmaw Abebe Tadesse , Celia Cintas , Skyler Speakman , Komminist Weldemariam

Interpolating between points is a problem connected simultaneously with finding geodesics and study of generative models. In the case of geodesics, we search for the curves with the shortest length, while in the case of generative models we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Łukasz Struski , Michał Sadowski , Tomasz Danel , Jacek Tabor , Igor T. Podolak

To analyze and project age-specific mortality or morbidity rates age-period-cohort (APC) models are very popular. Bayesian approaches facilitate estimation and improve predictions by assigning smoothing priors to age, period and cohort…

Applications · Statistics 2012-03-21 Andrea Riebler , Leonhard Held , Håvard Rue

The quality of datasets is a critical issue in big data mining. More interesting things could be mined from datasets with higher quality. The existence of missing values in geographical data would worsen the quality of big datasets. To…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-21 Kaifeng Gao , Gang Mei , Salvatore Cuomo , Francesco Piccialli , Nengxiong Xu
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