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We study the identification of binary choice models with fixed effects. We propose a condition called sign saturation and show that this condition is sufficient for identifying the model. In particular, this condition can guarantee…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-18 Yinchu Zhu

Behavioral cloning reduces policy learning to supervised learning by training a discriminative model to predict expert actions given observations. Such discriminative models are non-causal: the training procedure is unaware of the causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Pim de Haan , Dinesh Jayaraman , Sergey Levine

In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

A fundamental challenge in causal inference with observational data is correct specification of a causal model. When there is model uncertainty, analysts may seek to use estimates from multiple candidate models that rely on distinct, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Rohit Bhattacharya , Ina Ocelli , Ted Westling

Researchers commonly use difference-in-differences (DiD) designs to evaluate public policy interventions. While methods exist for estimating effects in the context of binary interventions, policies often result in varied exposures across…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Gary Hettinger , Youjin Lee , Nandita Mitra

Influence diagnosis is an integrated component of data analysis, but is severely under-investigated in a high-dimensional setting. One of the key challenges, even in a fixed-dimensional setting, is how to deal with multiple influential…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-07 Junlong Zhao , Chao Liu , Lu Niu , Chenlei Leng

In this paper we study the problems of estimating heterogeneity in causal effects in experimental or observational studies and conducting inference about the magnitude of the differences in treatment effects across subsets of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-08 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

We consider repeated measurement designs when a residual or carry-over effect may be present in at most one later period. Since assuming an additive model may be unrealistic for some applications and leads to biased estimation of treatment…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-20 R. A. Bailey , P. Druilhet

This paper studies the testability of identifying restrictions commonly employed to assign a causal interpretation to two stage least squares (TSLS) estimators based on Bartik instruments. For homogeneous effects models applied to short…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-29 Jinyong Hahn , Guido Kuersteiner , Andres Santos , Wavid Willigrod

An important task in early phase drug development is to identify patients, which respond better or worse to an experimental treatment. While a variety of different subgroup identification methods have been developed for the situation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-22 Marius Thomas , Björn Bornkamp , Heidi Seibold

In-context system identification aims at constructing meta-models to describe classes of systems, differently from traditional approaches that model single systems. This paradigm facilitates the leveraging of knowledge acquired from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Dario Piga , Filippo Pura , Marco Forgione

We systematically investigate issues due to mis-specification that arise in estimating causal effects when (treatment) interference is informed by a network available pre-intervention, i.e., in situations where the outcome of a unit may…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-22 Vishesh Karwa , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Applied Difference-in-Differences studies often involve outcomes that are discrete, mixed, censored, or otherwise non-continuously distributed, while policy questions frequently concern distributional effects rather than mean effects alone.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-22 Nelly K. Djuazon , Emmanuel Selorm Tsyawo

A crossover trial is an efficient trial design when there is no carry-over effect. To reduce the impact of the biological carry-over effect, a washout period is often designed. However, the carry-over effect remains an outstanding concern…

Applications · Statistics 2024-03-06 Danni Shi , Ting Ye

The analysis of environmental mixtures is of growing importance in environmental epidemiology, and one of the key goals in such analyses is to identify exposures and their interactions that are associated with adverse health outcomes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Srijata Samanta , Joseph Antonelli

To effectively optimize and personalize treatments, it is necessary to investigate the heterogeneity of treatment effects. With the wide range of users being treated over many online controlled experiments, the typical approach of manually…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-07 John Cai , Weinan Wang

Applied work under interference typically models outcomes as functions of own treatment and a low-dimensional exposure mapping of others' treatments, even when that mapping may be misspecified. We ask what policy object such exposure-based…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-27 Yechan Park , Xiaodong Yang

Three-level data structures arising from repeated measures on individuals clustered within larger units are common in health research studies. Missing data are prominent in such studies and are often handled via multiple imputation (MI).…

Interference or spillover effects arise when an individual's outcome (e.g., health) is influenced not only by their own treatment (e.g., vaccination) but also by the treatment of others, creating challenges for evaluating treatment effects.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-12 Martin Huber , Jannis Kueck , Mara Mattes

In this paper we introduce a simple Monte Carlo method for simulating the dynamics of a crowd. Within our model a collection of hard-disk agents is subjected to a series of two-stage steps, implying (i) the displacement of one specific…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-19 Francesco Piazza