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We study how individuals trade off outcome ("what") and process ("how") utility in high-stakes strategic decisions, namely professional tennis. Using optimality conditions and the second-service rule, we derive a sufficient condition for…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-25 Arnaud Dupuy

Individual sports competitions provide a natural setting for examining the relative importance of talent and luck/chance in achieving success. The belief that success is primarily due to individual abilities and hard work rather than…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-14 Chiara Zappalá , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

Designing fair algorithmic decision systems requires balancing model performance with fairness toward affected individuals: More fairness might require sacrificing some performance and vice versa, yet the space of possible trade-offs is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Mieke Wilms , Christoph Heitz

People, robots, and companies mostly divide time and effort among projects, and \defined{shared effort games} model people investing resources in public endeavors and sharing the generated values. In linear $\theta$ sharing (effort) games,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Gleb Polevoy , Stojan Trajanovski , Mathijs de Weerdt

The allocation of resources plays an important role in the completion of system objectives and tasks, especially in the presence of strategic adversaries. Optimal allocation strategies are becoming increasingly more complex, given that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-07 Keith Paarporn , Adel Aghajan , Jason R. Marden

We consider two-player contests with the possibility of ties and study the effect of different tie-breaking rules on effort. For ratio-form and difference-form contests that admit pure-strategy Nash equilibrium, we find that the effort of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-02-05 Sumit Goel , Amit Goyal

Value functions are used in sports applications to determine the optimal action players should employ. However, most literature implicitly assumes that the player can perform the prescribed action with known and fixed probability of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Timothy C. Y. Chan , Douglas S. Fearing , Craig Fernandes , Stephanie Kovalchik

This paper considers information sharing in a multi-player repeated game. Every round, each player observes a subset of components of a random vector and then takes a control action. The utility earned by each player depends on the full…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-31 Michael J. Neely

We investigate the tradeoffs between fairness and efficiency when allocating indivisible items over time. Suppose T items arrive over time and must be allocated upon arrival, immediately and irrevocably, to one of n agents. Agent i assigns…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-05-18 David Zeng , Alexandros Psomas

Probabilistic properties of tennis scoring systems are examined and compared with best-of-K systems. A model, where each player has his/her own probability of winning his/her service point and which remains invariant for the duration of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Edsel A. Pena , Dip Das , Yuexuan Wu

There has been a surge of recent interest in automatically learning policies to target treatment decisions based on rich individual covariates. In addition, practitioners want confidence that the learned policy has better performance than…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Hamsa Bastani , Osbert Bastani , Bryce McLaughlin

We study $n$-dimensional contests between two players with heterogeneous effort costs, where each dimension (battle) is modeled as a Tullock contest. Prize-allocation rules are identity-independent, budget-balanced, and weakly increasing in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-31 Siyuan Fan , Zhonghong Kuang , Jingfeng Lu

We consider a general class of round-robin tournament models of equally strong players. In these models, each of the $n$ players competes against every other player exactly once. For each match between two players, the outcome is a value…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Yaakov Malinovsky

We study the optimal allocation of prizes in rank-order tournaments with loss averse agents. Prize sharing becomes increasingly optimal with loss aversion because more equitable prizes reduce the marginal psychological cost of anticipated…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-05 Dmitry Ryvkin , Qin Wu

We study games with incomplete information and characterize when a feasible outcome is Pareto efficient. Outcomes with excessive randomization are inefficient: generically, the total number of action profiles across states must be strictly…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-12-09 Itai Arieli , Yakov Babichenko , Atulya Jain , Rann Smorodinsky

Scheduling a sports tournament is a complex optimization problem, which requires a large number of hard constraints to satisfy. Despite the availability of several such constraints in the literature, there remains a gap since most of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-18 Syed Rameez Naqvi , Adnan Ahmad , S. M. Riazul Islam , Tallha Akram , M. Abdullah-Al-Wadud , Atif Alamri

Ranking athletes by their performance in competitions and tournaments is common in every popular sport and has significant benefits that contribute to both the organization and strategic aspects of competitions. Although rankings are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-28 Bogdán Asztalos , Boldizsár Balázs , Gergely Palla , Tamás Vicsek

With the aid of mathematical modelling (basic tool is the random walk with absorbing barriers) we derive subsequent formulas to study the effect of different versions of possible rules. For different rules the probability of winning a game,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-30 G. Szigeti

Organizations consist of individuals connected by their responsibilities, incentives, and reporting structure. These connections are aptly represented by a network, hierarchical or other, which is often used to divide tasks. A primary goal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-03-09 Swaprava Nath , Balakrishnan , Narayanaswamy

We add the assumption that players know their opponents' payoff functions and rationality to a model of non-equilibrium learning in signaling games. Agents are born into player roles and play against random opponents every period.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-01-16 Drew Fudenberg , Kevin He
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