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For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

For testing goodness of fit, we consider a class of U-statistics of overlapping spacings of order two, and investigate their asymptotic properties. The standard U-statistic theory is not directly applicable here as the overlapping spacings…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Rahul Singh , Neeraj Misra

Unsupervised anomaly detection in time-series has been extensively investigated in the literature. Notwithstanding the relevance of this topic in numerous application fields, a comprehensive and extensive evaluation of recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Nesryne Mejri , Laura Lopez-Fuentes , Kankana Roy , Pavel Chernakov , Enjie Ghorbel , Djamila Aouada

We develop an anomaly-detection method when systematic anomalies, possibly statistically very similar to genuine inputs, are affecting control systems at the input and/or output stages. The method allows anomaly-free inputs (i.e., those…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-01 Ning Sun , Chen Yang , Ričardas Zitikis

We describe two families of statistical tests to detect partial correlation in vectorial timeseries. The tests measure whether an observed timeseries Y can be predicted from a second series X, even after accounting for a third series Z…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-25 Kenneth D. Harris , Alex E. Yuan

Continuous and strictly positive data that exhibit skewness and outliers frequently arise in many applied disciplines. Log-symmetric distributions provide a flexible framework for modeling such data. In this article, we develop new…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Ganesh Vishnu Avhad , Sudheesh K. Kattumannil

Natural and social multivariate systems are commonly studied through sets of simultaneous and time-spaced measurements of the observables that drive their dynamics, i.e., through sets of time series. Typically, this is done via hypothesis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-01 Riccardo Marcaccioli , Giacomo Livan

Assume that we have a random sample from an absolutely continuous distribution (univariate, or multivariate) with a known functional form and some unknown parameters. In this paper, we have studied several parametric tests based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Rahul Singh , Neeraj Misra

Irreversibility is commonly quantified by entropy production. An external observer can estimate it through measuring an observable that is antisymmetric under time-reversal like a current. We introduce a general framework that, inter alia,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-07-05 Jann van der Meer , Julius Degünther , Udo Seifert

We propose a new approach to sequential testing which is an adaptive (on-line) extension of the (off-line) framework developed in [10]. It relies upon testing of pairs of hypotheses in the case where each hypothesis states that the vector…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-27 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

A survey of goodness-of-fit and symmetry tests based on the characterization properties of distributions is presented. This approach became popular in recent years. In most cases the test statistics are functionals of $U$-empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-07 Ya. Yu. Nikitin

Consider $d$ dependent change point tests, each based on a CUSUM-statistic. We provide an asymptotic theory that allows us to deal with the maximum over all test statistics as both the sample size $n$ and $d$ tend to infinity. We achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Moritz Jirak

This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

We propose a nonparametric procedure to test for changes in correlation matrices at an unknown point in time. The new test requires only mild assumptions on the serial dependence structure and has considerable power in finite samples. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Dominik Wied

Although classical spectral analysis is a natural approach to characterise linear systems, it cannot describe a chaotic dynamics. Here, we propose the ordinal spectrum, a method based on a spectral transformation of symbolic sequences, to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-08 Mario Chavez , Johann H. Martinez

Order patterns apply well to many fields, because of minimal stationarity assumptions. Here we fix the methodology of patterns of length 3 by introducing an orthogonal system of four pattern contrasts. These contrasts are statistically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-02 Christoph Bandt

We propose a method to establish time reversal symmetry violation at future neutrino oscillation experiments in a largely model-independent way. We introduce a general parametrization of flavour transition probabilities which holds under…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2022-03-14 Thomas Schwetz , Alejandro Segarra

The core challenge in unsupervised anomaly detection is identifying abnormal patterns without prior knowledge of their characteristics. While existing methods have addressed aspects of this problem, they often struggle to learn a robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Prithul Sarker , Sushmita Sarker , Nicholas G. Murray , Alireza Tavakkoli

Two new omnibus tests of uniformity for data on the hypersphere are proposed. The new test statistics exploit closed-form expressions for orthogonal polynomials, feature tuning parameters, and are related to a "smooth maximum" function and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-14 Alberto Fernández-de-Marcos , Eduardo García-Portugués

Ordinary differential equations have been used to model dynamical systems in a broad range. Model checking for parametric ordinary differential equations is a necessary step to check whether the assumed models are plausible. In this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Ran Liu , Yun Fang , Lixing Zhu
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