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Ferromagnetic exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are nonlinear exponential tilts of Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi models, under which the presence of certain subgraphs such as triangles may be emphasized. These models are mixtures of metastable…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vilas Winstein

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are flexible probability models allowing edge dependency. However, it is known that, to a first-order approximation, many ERGMs behave like Erd\"os-R\'enyi random graphs, where edges are independent.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Wen-Yi Ding , Xiao Fang

Folklore belief holds that metastable wells in low-temperature statistical mechanics models exhibit high-temperature behavior. We make this rigorous in the exponential random graph model (ERGM) through the lens of concentration of measure.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Vilas Winstein

We consider general Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) where the sufficient statistics are functions of homomorphism counts for a fixed collection of simple graphs $F_k$. Whereas previous work has shown a degeneracy phenomenon in dense…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Nicholas A. Cook , Amir Dembo

The exponential random graph model (ERGM) is a central object in the study of clustering properties in social networks as well as canonical ensembles in statistical physics. Despite some breakthrough works in the mathematical understanding…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-06 Shirshendu Ganguly , Kyeongsik Nam

We extend the classical edge-triangle Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) to an inhomogeneous setting in which vertices carry types determined by an underlying partition. This leads to a block-structured ERGM where interaction parameters…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-19 Elena Magnanini

We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Angelo Mele , Lingjiong Zhu

We derive normal approximation bounds in the Wasserstein distance for sums of weighted U-statistics, based on a general distance bound for functionals of independent random variables of arbitrary distributions. Those bounds are applied to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-28 Nicolas Privault , Grzegorz Serafin

We study high-dimensional random geometric graphs (RGGs) of edge-density $p$ with vertices uniformly distributed on the $d$-dimensional torus and edges inserted between sufficiently close vertices with respect to an $L_q$-norm. We focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Samuel Baguley , Andreas Göbel , Marcus Pappik , Leon Schiller

We provide a general bound on the Wasserstein distance between two arbitrary distributions of sequences of Bernoulli random variables. The bound is in terms of a mixing quantity for the Glauber dynamics of one of the sequences, and a simple…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Gesine Reinert , Nathan Ross

Statistical inference can be performed by minimizing, over the parameter space, the Wasserstein distance between model distributions and the empirical distribution of the data. We study asymptotic properties of such minimum Wasserstein…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-13 Espen Bernton , Pierre E. Jacob , Mathieu Gerber , Christian P. Robert

In this article, exponential contraction in Wasserstein distance for heat semigroups of diffusion processes on Riemannian manifolds is established under curvature conditions where Ricci curvature is not necessarily required to be…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2020-01-20 Li-Juan Cheng , Anton Thalmaier , Shao-Qin Zhang

This work presents several expected generalization error bounds based on the Wasserstein distance. More specifically, it introduces full-dataset, single-letter, and random-subset bounds, and their analogues in the randomized subsample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-29 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Germán Bassi , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

Learning algorithms for implicit generative models can optimize a variety of criteria that measure how the data distribution differs from the implicit model distribution, including the Wasserstein distance, the Energy distance, and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-23 Leon Bottou , Martin Arjovsky , David Lopez-Paz , Maxime Oquab

As opposed to standard empirical risk minimization (ERM), distributionally robust optimization aims to minimize the worst-case risk over a larger ambiguity set containing the original empirical distribution of the training data. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-06 Jaeho Lee , Maxim Raginsky

I propose an estimation algorithm for Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGM), a popular statistical network model for estimating the structural parameters of strategic network formation in economics and finance. Existing methods often…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-09 Yoon Choi

Gromov--Wasserstein (GW) distances compare graphs, shapes, and point clouds through internal distances, without requiring a common coordinate system. This invariance is powerful, but discrete GW is a nonconvex quadratic optimal transport…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ao Xu , Tieru Wu

We introduce the observable Wasserstein distance, a framework for deriving lower bounds on the Wasserstein distance between probability measures on Polish metric spaces, designed to bypass the computational intractability of exact optimal…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Edivaldo Lopes dos Santos , Leandro Vicente Mauri , Washington Mio , Tom Needham

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Exponential random graph models, or ERGMs, are a flexible and general class of models for modeling dependent data. While the early literature has shown them to be powerful in capturing many network features of interest, recent work…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-10 Vishesh Karwa , Sonja Petrović , Denis Bajić
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