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Training a diverse ensemble of models has several practical applications such as providing candidates for model selection with better out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, and enabling the detection of OOD samples via Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Alexander Rubinstein , Luca Scimeca , Damien Teney , Seong Joon Oh

Outliers can seriously distort statistical inference by inducing excessive sensitivity in the likelihood function, thereby compromising the reliability of Bayesian estimation. To address this issue, we develop a robust Bayesian estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Jeongho Lee , Junmo Song

Unnormalized (or energy-based) models provide a flexible framework for capturing the characteristics of data with complex dependency structures. However, the application of standard Bayesian inference methods has been severely limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Naruki Sonobe , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Daichi Mochihashi , Takeru Matsuda

The problem of source separation is by its very nature an inductive inference problem. There is not enough information to deduce the solution, so one must use any available information to infer the most probable solution. We demonstrate…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Kevin H. Knuth

Attribution maps for semantic segmentation are almost always judged by visual plausibility. Yet looking convincing does not guarantee that the highlighted pixels actually drive the model's prediction, nor that attribution credit stays…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Abu Noman Md Sakib , OFM Riaz Rahman Aranya , Kevin Desai , Zijie Zhang

In many applications, different populations are compared using data that are sampled in a biased manner. Under sampling biases, standard methods that estimate the difference between the population means yield unreliable inferences. Here we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Dave Zachariah , Petre Stoica

Complex simulator-based models are now routinely used to perform inference across the sciences and engineering, but existing inference methods are often unable to account for outliers and other extreme values in data which occur due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Charita Dellaporta , Yuga Hikida , François-Xavier Briol

Estimation of permutation entropy (PE) using Bayesian statistical methods is presented for systems where the ordinal pattern sampling follows an independent, multinomial distribution. It is demonstrated that the PE posterior distribution is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-02-09 Douglas J. Little , Joshua P. Toomey , Deb M. Kane

This paper examines the effectiveness of a sparse Bayesian algorithm to estimate multivariate autoregressive coefficients when a large amount of background interference exists. This paper employs computer experiments to compare two methods…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-15 Kensuke Sekihara , Hagai Attias , Julia P. Owen , Srikantan S. Nagarajan

Some large scale inference problems are considered based on using the relative belief ratio as a measure of statistical evidence. This approach is applied to the multiple testing problem. A particular application of this is concerned with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-22 Michael Evans , Jabed Tomal

We present two new source extraction methods, based on Bayesian model selection and using the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). The first is a source detection filter, able to simultaneously detect point sources and estimate the image…

Astrophysics · Physics 2011-02-11 Richard S. Savage , Seb Oliver

In recent years, there has been a growing demand for improved autonomy for in-orbit operations such as rendezvous, docking, and proximity maneuvers, leading to increased interest in employing Deep Learning-based Spacecraft Pose Estimation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Arunkumar Rathinam , Haytam Qadadri , Djamila Aouada

In this paper, we consider the problem of locating the information source with sparse observations. We assume that a piece of information spreads in a network following a heterogeneous susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model and that a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-09-20 Kai Zhu , Lei Ying

The empirical Bayes $g$-modeling approach via the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) is widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the normal means problem, yet theoretical guarantees for uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Taehyun Kim , Bodhisattva Sen

This article introduces a Bayesian nonparametric method for quantifying the relative evidence in a dataset in favour of the dependence or independence of two variables conditional on a third. The approach uses Polya tree priors on spaces of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-15 Onur Teymur , Sarah Filippi

Since the initial work by Ashenfelter and Card in 1985, the use of difference-in-differences (DID) study design has become widespread. However, as pointed out in the literature, this popular quasi-experimental design also suffers estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Xiaoming Wang , Sukun Wang

Hierarchical models are versatile tools for joint modeling of data sets arising from different, but related, sources. Fully Bayesian inference may, however, become computationally prohibitive if the source-specific data models are complex,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-06 Ritabrata Dutta , Paul Blomstedt , Samuel Kaski

The "rare type match problem" is the situation in which the suspect's DNA profile, matching the DNA profile of the crime stain, is not in the database of reference. The evaluation of this match in the light of the two competing hypotheses…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-30 Giulia Cereda , Richard D. Gill

The problem of identifying regions of spatially interesting, different or adversarial behavior is inherent to many practical applications involving distributed multisensor systems. In this work, we develop a general framework stemming from…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-14 Martin Gölz , Abdelhak M. Zoubir , Visa Koivunen

We present a new detection algorithm based on the wavelet transform for the analysis of high energy astronomical images. The wavelet transform, due to its multi-scale structure, is suited for the optimal detection of point-like as well as…