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Detecting abrupt changes in data streams is crucial because they are often triggered by events that have important consequences if left unattended. Quickest change point detection has become a vital sequential analysis primitive that aims…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Marco Fanizza , Christoph Hirche , John Calsamiglia

The advanced operation of future electricity distribution systems is likely to require significant observability of the different parameters of interest (e.g., demand, voltages, currents, etc.). Ensuring completeness of data is, therefore,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-07 Cristian Genes , Iñaki Esnaola , Samir. M. Perlaza , Luis F. Ochoa , Daniel Coca

Power grid outages cause huge economical and societal costs. Disruptions in the power distribution grid are responsible for a significant fraction of electric power unavailability to customers. The impact of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-06-30 Yakup Koc , Abhishek Raman , Martijn Warnier , Tarun Kumar

The impedances of cables and lines used in (multi-conductor) distribution networks are usually unknown or approximated, and may lead to problematic results for any physics-based power system calculation, e.g., (optimal) power flow. Learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Marta Vanin , Frederik Geth , Rahmat Heidari , Dirk Van Hertem

Given increasing risk from climate-induced natural hazards, there is growing interest in the development of methods that can quantitatively measure resilience in power systems. This work quantifies resilience in electric power transmission…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-18 Molly Rose Kelly-Gorham , Paul. D. H. Hines , Ian Dobson

The size distribution of planned and forced outages and following restoration times in power systems have been studied for almost two decades and has drawn great interest as they display heavy tails. Understanding of this phenomenon has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-09 Bálint Hartmann , Shengfeng Deng , Géza Ódor , Jeffrey Kelling

Due to the evolving nature of power systems and the complicated coupling relationship of power devices, it has been a great challenge to identify the contingencies that could trigger cascading blackouts of power systems. This paper aims to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-04-17 Chao Zhai , Gaoxi Xiao , Hehong Zhang , Tso-Chien Pan

The introduction of more renewable energy sources into the energy system increases the variability and weather dependence of electricity generation. Power system simulations are used to assess the adequacy and reliability of the electricity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-02 Laurens P. Stoop , Erik Duijm , Ad J. Feelders , Machteld van den Broek

Electricity theft, the behavior that involves users conducting illegal operations on electrical meters to avoid individual electricity bills, is a common phenomenon in the developing countries. Considering its harmfulness to both power…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-01-22 Wenjie Hu , Yang Yang , Jianbo Wang , Xuanwen Huang , Ziqiang Cheng

We analyze a power distribution line with high penetration of distributed generation and strong variations of power consumption and generation levels. In the presence of uncertainty the statistical description of the system is required to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-06-02 Konstantin S. Turitsyn

We consider the quickest change detection problem where both the parameters of pre- and post- change distributions are unknown, which prevents the use of classical simple hypothesis testing. Without additional assumptions, optimal solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-10 Firas Jarboui , Viannet Perchet

Accurate and reliable electricity price forecasting has significant practical implications for grid management, renewable energy integration, power system planning, and price volatility management. This study focuses on enhancing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-12 Joseph Nyangon , Ruth Akintunde

Complex data in social and natural sciences find effective representation through networks, wherein quantitative and categorical information can be associated with nodes and connecting edges. The internal structure of networks can be…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Fabio Morea , Domenico De Stefano

The validation of data from sensors has become an important issue in the operation and control of modern industrial plants. One approach is to use knowledge based techniques to detect inconsistencies in measured data. This article presents…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Pablo H. Ibarguengoytia , Luis Enrique Sucar , Sunil Vadera

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

Researchers and electricity sector practitioners frequently require the supply curve of electricity markets and the price elasticity of supply for purposes such as price forecasting, policy analyses or market power assessment. It is common…

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of a sequence of independent observations is studied. The pre-change distribution is assumed to be stationary, while the post-change distributions are allowed to be non-stationary.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-26 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Electrical power grids are vulnerable to cascading failures that can lead to large blackouts. Detection and prevention of cascading failures in power grids is impor- tant. Currently, grid operators mainly monitor the state (loading level)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-07-20 Martijn Warnier , Stefan Dulman , Yakup Koç , Eric Pauwels

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a $n\times p$ random matrix based on a sequence of observations having a single unknown change point is considered. The forms of the pre- and post-change distributions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Taposh Banerjee , Hamed Firouzi , Alfred O. Hero

We model power grids transporting electricity generated by intermittent renewable sources as complex networks, where line failures can emerge indirectly by noisy power input at the nodes. By combining concepts from statistical physics and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-27 Tommaso Nesti , Alessandro Zocca , Bert Zwart