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We propose a novel and unified framework for change-point estimation in multivariate time series. The proposed method is fully nonparametric, enjoys effortless tuning and is robust to temporal dependence. One salient and distinct feature of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-12 Zifeng Zhao , Feiyu Jiang , Xiaofeng Shao

We consider linear models with scalar responses and covariates from a separable Hilbert space. The aim is to detect change points in the error distribution, based on sequential residual empirical distribution functions. Expansions for those…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Natalie Neumeyer , Leonie Selk

In quantum and quantum-inspired machine learning, the very first step is to embed the data in quantum space known as Hilbert space. Developing quantum kernel function (QKF), which defines the distances among the samples in the Hilbert…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-08-15 Wei-Ming Li , Shi-Ju Ran

We propose a novel nonparametric approach for linking covariates to Continuous Time Markov Chains (CTMCs) using the mathematical framework of Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces (RKHS). CTMCs provide a robust framework for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Yuchen Han , Arnab Ganguly , Riten Mitra

We study the estimation problem of distribution-on-distribution regression, where both predictors and responses are probability measures. Existing approaches typically rely on a global optimal transport map or tangent-space linearization,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-17 Inga Girshfeld , Xiaohui Chen

We analyse the convergence of sampling algorithms for functions in reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS). To this end, we discuss approximation properties of kernel regression under minimalistic assumptions on both the kernel and the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-21 Armin Iske

This paper introduces an algorithm to select demonstration examples for in-context learning of a query set. Given a set of $n$ examples, how can we quickly select $k$ out of $n$ to best serve as the conditioning for downstream inference?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Ziniu Zhang , Zhenshuo Zhang , Dongyue Li , Lu Wang , Jennifer Dy , Hongyang R. Zhang

Weighted log-rank tests are arguably the most widely used tests by practitioners for the two-sample problem in the context of right-censored data. Many approaches have been considered to make weighted log-rank tests more robust against a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-01 Tamara Fernandez , Nicolas Rivera

Several new methods have been proposed for performing valid inference after model selection. An older method is sampling splitting: use part of the data for model selection and part for inference. In this paper we revisit sample splitting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman , Max G'Sell , Jing Lei

We consider the problem of bandwidth selection by cross-validation from a sequential point of view in a nonparametric regression model. Having in mind that in applications one often aims at estimation, prediction and change detection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland

We consider the problem of goodness-of-fit testing for a model that has at least one unknown parameter that cannot be eliminated by transformation. Examples of such problems can be as simple as testing whether a sample consists of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Sean van der Merwe

We propose a bootstrap testing framework for a general class of hypothesis tests, which allows resampling under the null hypothesis as well as other forms of bootstrapping. We identify combinations of resampling schemes and bootstrap…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Alexis Derumigny , Miltiadis Galanis , Wieger Schipper , Aad van der Vaart

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

This short technical report presents some learning theory results on vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) regression, where the input space is allowed to be non-compact and the output space is a (possibly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-17 Junhyunng Park , Krikamol Muandet

Empirical data can often be considered as samples from a set of probability distributions. Kernel methods have emerged as a natural approach for learning to classify these distributions. Although numerous kernels between distributions have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Oleksii Kachaiev , Stefano Recanatesi

In this paper, we consider the time-inhomogeneous nonlinear time series regression for a general class of locally stationary time series. On one hand, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Tree structured graphical models are powerful at expressing long range or hierarchical dependency among many variables, and have been widely applied in different areas of computer science and statistics. However, existing methods for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-17 Le Song , Han Liu , Ankur Parikh , Eric Xing

The problem of estimating the kernel mean in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) is central to kernel methods in that it is used by classical approaches (e.g., when centering a kernel PCA matrix), and it also forms the core inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-05 Krikamol Muandet , Bharath Sriperumbudur , Bernhard Schölkopf

Kernel-based hypothesis tests offer a flexible, non-parametric tool to detect high-order interactions in multivariate data, beyond pairwise relationships. Yet the scalability of such tests is limited by the computationally demanding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Zhaolu Liu , Robert L. Peach , Mauricio Barahona

We review machine learning methods employing positive definite kernels. These methods formulate learning and estimation problems in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) of functions defined on the data domain, expanded in terms of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Thomas Hofmann , Bernhard Schölkopf , Alexander J. Smola
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