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Several applications in time series forecasting require predicting multiple steps ahead. Despite the vast amount of literature in the topic, both classical and recent deep learning based approaches have mostly focused on minimising…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Ignacio Hounie , Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Alejandro Ribeiro

In exploring Predictive Health Management (PHM) strategies for Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFC), the Transformer model, widely used in data-driven approaches, excels in many fields but struggles with time series analysis due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Zezhi Tang , Xiaoyu Chen , Xin Jin , Benyuan Zhang , Wenyu Liang

Deep learning searches for nonlinear factors for predicting asset returns. Predictability is achieved via multiple layers of composite factors as opposed to additive ones. Viewed in this way, asset pricing studies can be revisited using…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson

Traditional approaches to financial asset allocation start with returns forecasting followed by an optimization stage that decides the optimal asset weights. Any errors made during the forecasting step reduce the accuracy of the asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-08 Damian Kisiel , Denise Gorse

We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

We present a reinforcement-learning (RL) framework for dynamic hedging of equity index option exposures under realistic transaction costs and position limits. We hedge a normalized option-implied equity exposure (one unit of underlying…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Travon Lucius , Christian Koch , Jacob Starling , Julia Zhu , Miguel Urena , Carrie Hu

The industrial multi-generator Wave Energy Converters (WEC) must handle multiple simultaneous waves coming from different directions called spread waves. These complex devices in challenging circumstances need controllers with multiple…

Modeling future traffic conditions often relies heavily on complex spatial-temporal neural networks to capture spatial and temporal correlations, which can overlook the inherent noise in the data. This noise, often manifesting as unexpected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Yuanshao Zhu , Yongchao Ye , Xiangyu Zhao , James J. Q. Yu

Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at understanding context and qualitative nuances but struggle with the rigorous and transparent reasoning required in high-stakes quantitative domains such as financial trading. We propose a model-first…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Xiaoting Kuang , Boken Lin

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is important for various domains but is confronted by challenges in handling the complex temporal-contextual relationships. As multivariate input models underperforming some recent univariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Shihao Yang

Recently, multivariate time series forecasting tasks have garnered increasing attention due to their significant practical applications, leading to the emergence of various deep forecasting models. However, real-world time series exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Jiaxi Hu , Qingsong Wen , Sijie Ruan , Li Liu , Yuxuan Liang

The complex world around us is inherently multimodal and sequential (continuous). Information is scattered across different modalities and requires multiple continuous sensors to be captured. As machine learning leaps towards better…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Amir Zadeh , Chengfeng Mao , Kelly Shi , Yiwei Zhang , Paul Pu Liang , Soujanya Poria , Louis-Philippe Morency

Straddle Option is a financial trading tool that explores volatility premiums in high-volatility markets without predicting price direction. Although deep reinforcement learning has emerged as a powerful approach to trading automation in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-11 Yiran Wan , Xinyu Ying , Shengzhen Xu

Full-waveform inversion (FWI), a popular technique that promises high-resolution models, has helped in improving the salt definition in inverted velocity models. The success of the inversion relies heavily on having prior knowledge of the…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-01-11 Abdullah Alali , Vladimir Kazei , Mahesh Kalita , Tariq Alkhalifah

A promising approach to preserving model performance in linearized transformers is to employ position-based re-weighting functions. However, state-of-the-art re-weighting functions rely heavily on target sequence lengths, making it…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Victor Agostinelli , Sanghyun Hong , Lizhong Chen

Probabilistic forecasting of high dimensional multivariate time series is a notoriously challenging task, both in terms of computational burden and distribution modeling. Most previous work either makes simple distribution assumptions or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Nam Nguyen , Brian Quanz

Normalizing flows are a class of probabilistic generative models which allow for both fast density computation and efficient sampling and are effective at modelling complex distributions like images. A drawback among current methods is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Jason J. Yu , Konstantinos G. Derpanis , Marcus A. Brubaker

Applications of deep learning in financial market prediction has attracted huge attention from investors and researchers. In particular, intra-day prediction at the minute scale, the dramatically fluctuating volume and stock prices within…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-25 Yuze Lu , Hailong Zhang , Qiwen Guo

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

As Transformer-based models have achieved impressive performance on various time series tasks, Long-Term Series Forecasting (LTSF) tasks have also received extensive attention in recent years. However, due to the inherent computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan , Xiaoyan Ma , Dongyang Li , Minggao Zhang
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