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Stock market returns are typically analyzed using standard regression, yet they reside on irregular domains which is a natural scenario for graph signal processing. To this end, we consider a market graph as an intuitive way to represent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-08 Alvaro Arroyo , Bruno Scalzo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

We propose a combination of cluster analysis and stochastic process analysis to characterize high-dimensional complex dynamical systems by few dominating variables. As an example, stock market data are analyzed for which the dynamical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-10 Philip Rinn , Yuriy Stepanov , Joachim Peinke , Thomas Guhr , Rudi Schäfer

The empirical copula process, a fundamental tool for copula inference, is studied in the high dimensional regime where the dimension is allowed to grow to infinity exponentially in the sample size. Under natural, weak smoothness assumptions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-25 Axel Bücher , Cambyse Pakzad

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby

We study spatiotemporal intermittency in a system of coupled sine circle maps. The phase diagram of the system shows parameter regimes where the STI lies in the directed percolation class, as well as regimes which show pure spatial…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Zahera Jabeen , Neelima Gupte

Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting. However, the computational and numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-28 David Salinas , Michael Bohlke-Schneider , Laurent Callot , Roberto Medico , Jan Gasthaus

Building higher-dimensional copulas is generally recognized as a difficult problem. Regular-vines using bivariate copulas provide a flexible class of high-dimensional dependency models. In large dimensions, the drawback of the model is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-07 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

This study outlines a comprehensive methodology utilizing copulas to discern inconsistencies in the behavior exhibited by pairs of financial assets. It introduces a robust approach to establishing the interrelationship between the returns…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Alexander Shulzhenko

In this survey of the spectral properties of substitution dynamical systems we consider primitive aperiodic substitutions and associated dynamical systems: ${\mathbb Z}$-actions and ${\mathbb R}$-actions, the latter viewed as tiling flows.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Alexander I. Bufetov , Boris Solomyak

Dynamical systems have a wide range of applications in mechanics, electrical engineering, chemistry, and so on. In this work, we propose the adaptive spectral Koopman (ASK) method to solve nonlinear autonomous dynamical systems. This novel…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Bian Li , Yi-An Ma , J. Nathan Kutz , Xiu Yang

Normal copula with a correlation coefficient between $-1$ and $1$ is tail independent and so it severely underestimates extreme probabilities. By letting the correlation coefficient in a normal copula depend on the sample size, H\"usler and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-04 Xin Liao , Liang Peng , Zuoxiang Peng , Yanting Zheng

In this paper, we derive copula-based and empirical dependency models (DMs) for simulating non-independent variables, and then propose a new way for determining the distribution of the model outputs conditional on every subset of inputs.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Matieyendou Lamboni

This paper proposes different methods to consistently detect multiple breaks in copula-based dependence measures, mainly focusing on Spearman's $\rho$. The leading model is a factor copula model due to its usefulness for analyzing data in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Marvin Borsch , Alexander Mayer , Dominik Wied

We point out that in the first order time-dependent perturbation theory, the transition probability may behave nonsmoothly in time and have kinks periodically. Moreover, the detailed temporal evolution can be sensitive to the exact…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2015-09-24 J. M. Zhang , Masudul Haque

We introduce a novel generative formulation of deep probabilistic models implementing "soft" constraints on their function dynamics. In particular, we develop a flexible methodological framework where the modeled functions and derivatives…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-19 Marco Lorenzi , Maurizio Filippone

Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

We consider the integration of two-dimensional, piecewise constant functions with respect to copulas. By drawing a connection to linear assignment problems, we can give optimal upper and lower bounds for such integrals and construct the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-26 Markus Hofer , Maria Rita Iacò

Advances in modern technology have enabled the simultaneous recording of neural spiking activity, which statistically can be represented by a multivariate point process. We characterise the second order structure of this process via the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Carla Pinkney , Carolina Euan , Alex Gibberd , Ali Shojaie

This article presents factor copula approaches to model temporal dependency of non-Gaussian (continuous/discrete) longitudinal data. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas which explain the underlying dependence structure of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Subhajit Chattopadhyay

Copulas are essential tools in statistics and probability theory, enabling the study of the dependence structure between random variables independently of their marginal distributions. Among the various types of copulas, Ratio-Type Copulas…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Ziad Adwan , Nicola Sottocornola