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In deterministic optimization, line searches are a standard tool ensuring stability and efficiency. Where only stochastic gradients are available, no direct equivalent has so far been formulated, because uncertain gradients do not allow for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Maren Mahsereci , Philipp Hennig

This book is a graduate-level introduction to probabilistic programming. It not only provides a thorough background for anyone wishing to use a probabilistic programming system, but also introduces the techniques needed to design and build…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-20 Jan-Willem van de Meent , Brooks Paige , Hongseok Yang , Frank Wood

Causal inference can be formalized as Bayesian inference that combines a prior distribution over causal models and likelihoods that account for both observations and interventions. We show that it is possible to implement this approach…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-11-01 Sam Witty , Alexander Lew , David Jensen , Vikash Mansinghka

Probabilistic independence is a useful concept for describing the result of random sampling---a basic operation in all probabilistic languages---and for reasoning about groups of random variables. Nevertheless, existing verification methods…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Gilles Barthe , Justin Hsu , Kevin Liao

The paper introduces mixed networks, a new framework for expressing and reasoning with probabilistic and deterministic information. The framework combines belief networks with constraint networks, defining the semantics and graphical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Rina Dechter , Robert Mateescu

Pearl and Verma developed d-separation as a widely used graphical criterion to reason about the conditional independencies that are implied by the causal structure of a Bayesian network. As acyclic ground probabilistic logic programs…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2023-08-31 Kilian Rückschloß , Felix Weitkämper

We describe Bayesian Layers, a module designed for fast experimentation with neural network uncertainty. It extends neural network libraries with drop-in replacements for common layers. This enables composition via a unified abstraction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Dustin Tran , Michael W. Dusenberry , Mark van der Wilk , Danijar Hafner

Boolean networks can be viewed as functions on the set of binary strings of a given length, described via logical rules. They were introduced as dynamic models into biology, in particular as logical models of intracellular regulatory…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-16 J. García Galofre , M. Pérez Millán , A. Galarza Rial , R. Laubenbacher , A. Dickenstein

Probabilistic argumentation is an alternative to causal modeling with Bayesian networks. Probabilistic argumentation structures (PAS) are defined on families of compatible frames (f.c.f). This is a generalization of the usual multivariate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-09 Juerg Kohlas

Bayesian networks are widely used probabilistic graphical models, whose structure is hard to learn starting from the generated data. O'Gorman et al. have proposed an algorithm to encode this task, i.e., the Bayesian network structure…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2022-11-16 Enrico Zardini , Massimo Rizzoli , Sebastiano Dissegna , Enrico Blanzieri , Davide Pastorello

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are a powerful modeling tool, able to represent any computable probability distribution. Unfortunately, probabilistic program inference is often intractable, and existing PPLs mostly rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Daniel Ritchie , Paul Horsfall , Noah D. Goodman

Probabilistic Logic Programs (PLPs) generalize traditional logic programs and allow the encoding of models combining logical structure and uncertainty. In PLP, inference is performed by summarizing the possible worlds which entail the query…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-30 Arun Nampally , Timothy Zhang , C. R. Ramakrishnan

In this work, we develop applications of the complementary log-log (cloglog) link to problems in Bayesian nonparametrics. Although less commonly used than the probit or logit links, we find that the cloglog link is computationally and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-04 Entejar Alam , Antonio R. Linero

We introduce the Probabilistic Worldbuilding Model (PWM), a new fully-symbolic Bayesian model of semantic parsing and reasoning, as a first step in a research program toward more domain- and task-general NLU and AI. Humans create internal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Abulhair Saparov , Tom M. Mitchell

Large Language Models (LLMs) have rapidly transformed the landscape of artificial intelligence, enabling natural language interfaces and dynamic orchestration of software components. However, their reliance on probabilistic inference limits…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Claudionor Coelho , Yanen Li , Philip Tee

Over the past three decades, the logic programming paradigm has been successfully expanded to support probabilistic modeling, inference and learning. The resulting paradigm of probabilistic logic programming (PLP) and its programming…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Pedro Zuidberg Dos Martires , Luc De Raedt , Angelika Kimmig

Consider a Bayesian inference problem where a variable of interest does not take values in a Euclidean space. These "non-standard" data structures are in reality fairly common. They are frequently used in problems involving latent discrete…

Recent work on loglinear models in probabilistic constraint logic programming is applied to first-order probabilistic reasoning. Probabilities are defined directly on the proofs of atomic formulae, and by marginalisation on the atomic…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-30 James Cussens

In Probabilistic Logic Nilsson uses the device of a probability distribution over a set of possible worlds to assign probabilities to the sentences of a logical language. In his paper Nilsson concentrated on inference and associated…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Fahiem Bacchus

Probability trees are one of the simplest models of causal generative processes. They possess clean semantics and -- unlike causal Bayesian networks -- they can represent context-specific causal dependencies, which are necessary for e.g.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Tim Genewein , Tom McGrath , Grégoire Déletang , Vladimir Mikulik , Miljan Martic , Shane Legg , Pedro A. Ortega