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A robust prediction model invoking the Takens embedding theorem, whose \textit{working hypothesis} is obtained via an inference procedure based on the minimum Fisher information principle, is presented. The coefficients of the ansatz,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-26 R. C. Venkatesan , A. Plastino

We prove lower bounds on the error of any estimator for the mean of a real probability distribution under the knowledge that the distribution belongs to a given set. We apply these lower bounds both to parametric and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Rémy Degenne , Timothée Mathieu

We investigate a semiparametric regression model where one gets noisy non linear non invertible functions of the observations. We focus on the application to bearings-only tracking. We first investigate the least squares estimator and prove…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-17 Elisabeth Gassiat , Benoit Landelle

In this paper we investigate the problem of estimating the regression function in models with correlated observations. The data is obtained from several experimental units each of them forms a time series. We propose a new estimator based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Djihad Benelmadani , Karim Benhenni , Sana Louhichi

We study nonlinear regression of real valued data in an individual sequence manner, where we provide results that are guaranteed to hold without any statistical assumptions. We address the convergence and undertraining issues of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-08 N. Denizcan Vanli , Muhammed O. Sayin , Suleyman S. Kozat

Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification in a general class of non-linear inverse regression models is considered. Analytic conditions on the regression model $\{\mathscr G(\theta): \theta \in \Theta\}$ and on Gaussian process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-16 François Monard , Richard Nickl , Gabriel P. Paternain

This paper develops information geometric representations for nonlinear filters in continuous time. The posterior distribution associated with an abstract nonlinear filtering problem is shown to satisfy a stochastic differential equation on…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Nigel J. Newton

The Fisher Information matrix is a widely used measure for applications ranging from statistical inference, information geometry, experiment design, to the study of criticality in biological systems. Yet there is no commonly accepted…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-17 Omri Har Shemesh , Rick Quax , Borja Miñano , Alfons G. Hoekstra , Peter M. A. Sloot

Classical Fisher-information asymptotics describe the covariance of regular efficient estimators through the local quadratic approximation of the log-likelihood, and thus capture first-order geometry only. In curved models, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Malik Amir , Sourangshu Ghosh

We present a real-time path-integral formulation of the quantum Fisher information for dynamical parameter estimation. For pure states undergoing unitary evolution, we show that the quantum Fisher information can be expressed as a connected…

Ordinary differential equation models are used to describe dynamic processes across biology. To perform likelihood-based parameter inference on these models, it is necessary to specify a statistical process representing the contribution of…

If a functional in an inverse problem can be estimated with parametric rate, then the minimax rate gives no information about the ill-posedness of the problem. To have a more precise lower bound, we study semiparametric efficiency in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-07 Mathias Trabs

We present a novel geometric perspective on the latent space of diffusion models. We first show that the standard pullback approach, utilizing the deterministic probability flow ODE decoder, is fundamentally flawed. It provably forces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Rafał Karczewski , Markus Heinonen , Alison Pouplin , Søren Hauberg , Vikas Garg

In this paper, a uniform (over some parameter space) moment bound for the inverse of Fisher's information matrix is established. This result is then applied to develop moment bounds for the normalized least squares estimate in (nonlinear)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-22 Ngai Hang Chan , Ching-Kang Ing

We consider statistics for stochastic evolution equations in Hilbert space with emphasis on stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We observe a solution process under additional measurement errors and want to estimate a real or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Gregor Pasemann , Markus Reiß

For statistical inference on regression models with a diverging number of covariates, the existing literature typically makes sparsity assumptions on the inverse of the Fisher information matrix. Such assumptions, however, are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Lu Xia , Bin Nan , Yi Li

We study the evolution of the nonlinear version of the Fisher information along the quasilinear heat equation. We also provide a nonlinear version of a recent functional inequality (Cie\'slak--Fuest--Hajduk--Sier\.z\k{e}ga, 2024),…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Tomasz Cieślak , Kentaro Fujie , Tatsuya Hosono

We present a computational and statistical approach for fitting isotonic models under convex differentiable loss functions. We offer a recursive partitioning algorithm which provably and efficiently solves isotonic regression under any such…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-09 Ronny Luss , Saharon Rosset

This paper introduces a computationally efficient algorithm in system theory for solving inverse problems governed by linear partial differential equations (PDEs). We model solutions of linear PDEs using Gaussian processes with priors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-16 Xin Li , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Bogdan Raiţă

This paper introduces a method for efficiently approximating the inverse of the Fisher information matrix, a crucial step in achieving effective variational Bayes inference. A notable aspect of our approach is the avoidance of analytically…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-29 A. Godichon-Baggioni , D. Nguyen , M-N Tran